Wolfsburg vs Augsburg - Wolves can punish Augsburg at the Volkswagen Arena

Wolfsburg have comfortably won their last five home matches against bottom half Bundesliga clubs
wolfsburg celebrate
Wolfsburg can celebrate another home win against average Bundesliga clubs when they host Augsburg at the Volkswagen Arena (Getty Images)

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


Wolfsburg will relish a return home to the Volkswagen Arena where they have a great record against average Bundesliga clubs. Augsburg are one of those and are likely to struggle having conceded four goals in two of their last three Bundesliga matches. I am tipping Wolfsburg to cover the -1 handicap at 2.00.

VfL Wolfsburg Form & Team News


Wolfsburg have to win to guarantee a spot in the UEFA Europa League next season. Bruno Labbadia’s side will be happy to return home after a disappointing 3-0 defeat at Stuttgart last time out.

The match was closer than the score line suggested, but Labbadia could make some changes here with three points necessary. Felix Klaus’ position is under threat from Daniel Ginczek and Yunus Malli.

Left back Jérôme Roussillon should return here in a big boost for the Wolves and central defender John Anthony Brooks could also come back into the starting side. Goalkeeper Koen Casteels is still injured and won’t feature against Augsburg alongside midfielder Joshua Guilavogui.

Wolfsburg are paying 1.40 to record another home win that is fine to add to multibets and accumulators. I am leaning towards the -1 handicap market here due to Wolfsburg’s fine home form against teams in the bottom half of the Bundesliga. They have defeated Stuttgart 2-0, Mainz 3-0, Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-2, Hannover 3-1 and Nürnberg 2-0 since December.

Jérôme Roussillon
Wolfsburg left-back Jerome Roussillon could return from injury against Augsburg (Getty Images)

FC Augsburg Form & Team News


Augsburg’s upturn in form under new manager Martin Schmidt was short lived with the club suffering two heavy defeats in their last three matches. A 4-1 home defeat against Bayer Leverkusen was followed by a 0-0 draw at Schalke and a 4-3 home defeat against Hertha Berlin.

André Hahn gave Augsburg the lead and two goals to Michael Gregoritsch made it 3-2, but Schmidt’s side couldn’t hold on and they conceded a late penalty to lose the game. The statistics weren’t pretty, Augsburg with 39% possession, losing the shot count 24-5 and the corner count 9-1.

It could be a long 90 minutes at Wolfsburg with a number of players injured. Raphael Framberger, Philipp Max, Rani Khedira, Ja-Cheol Koo, Dong-Won Ji and striker Sergio Córdova and Alfred Finnbogason are all likely to miss out here and Kostas tafylidis is doubtful.

Augsburg are paying 7.50 to claim a win at Wolfsburg where they have won three in seven attempts. A draw could be more likely at 4.50 if you think they can turn around their poor form from recent weeks.

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Head to Head


Little separates Wolfsburg and Augsburg since 2011, Augsburg with a 6-4 advantage and five draws. The reverse fixture in December was a 3-2 Wolfsburg win in Augsburg.

Josuha Guilavogui and Admir Mehmedi put Wolfsburg 2-0 up at the WWK Arena, Rani Khedira and Sergio Córdova restored parity for Augsburg with Yannick Gerhardt scoring Wolfsburg\s winner in the 89th minute.

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Match Up


Wolfsburg will be looking to top scorer Wout Weghorst who has scored 14 Bundesliga goals this season. The big Dutch striker has the size, strength and skill to trouble a depleted and out of form Augsburg defence.

Wout Weghorst celebrate
Wolfsburg's Wout Weghorst and Admir Mehmedi will pose problems for Augsburg's leaking defence (Getty Images)

Wolfsburg vs Augsburg Key Statistics


  • Wolfsburg have won their last 5 home matches against bottom half Bundesliga clubs by 2+ goals.
  • Wolfsburg have scored 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 home matches (Bundesliga).
  • Augsburg have lost 2 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches.
  • Augsburg have conceded 4 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches (Bundesliga).

Verdict


Wolfsburg have been breezing past poor Bundesliga clubs at home which is set to continue against Augsburg. I think the Wolves can cover the -1 handicap for the sixth straight match against teams in the bottom half of the Bundesliga at 2.00.

Best Bet: Wolfsburg -1 Handicap @ 2.00 at bet365 - 4 Units
Correct Score Tip: Wolfsburg Win 2-0 @ 10.00 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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Matthew Marshall 16 May 2019

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