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Atalanta vs Napoli Predictions & Tips - Back BTTS in the Coppa Italia

  • Atalanta vs Napoli predictions for Wednesday’s Coppa Italia match
  • The semi-final second leg is being played at 7.45pm GMT at Gewiss Stadium
  • Napoli have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 6 matches against Atalanta
  • I am backing BTTS and over 3.5 goals in Bergamo
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
Atalanta Napoli
Atalanta have seen over 3.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 Serie A matches against Napoli (Getty Images)
mat-marshall
Mat Marshall 09 Feb 2021
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Atalanta vs Napoli Predictions


Atalanta and Napoli are predicted to produce BTTS in the Coppa Italia semi-final second leg. With both sides missing key central defenders, over 3.5 goals is my value bet.

  • Atalanta are undefeated in 16 of their last 17 matches (all competitions).
  • Atalanta have drawn 4 of their last 7 matches (all competitions).
  • Atalanta have seen BTTS & over 3.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches (all competitions).
  • Atalanta have drawn 2 of their last 4 matches against Napoli (all competitions).
  • Atalanta have seen over 3.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches against Napoli (Serie A).
  • Napoli have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 6 matches against Atalanta (all competitions).
  • Napoli are undefeated in 3 of their last 4 matches (all competitions).

Head to Head


Napoli have a 49-30 advantage against Atalanta with 35 draws in 114 matches. 

Napoli won 4-1 at home in Serie A this season before a 0-0 draw in Naples in the Coppa Italia semi-final first leg.

Atalanta Form


Atalanta are undefeated in 16 of their last 17 matches in all competitions. They won 3-0 at AC Milan and reached the Coppa Italia semi-finals after a 3-2 home win against Lazio. 

Gian Piero Gasperini’s side suffered a 3-1 home defeat to Lazio in Serie A. It was an poor performance, Mario Pasalic making it 2-1 in the 79th minute before conceding again 3 minutes later.

Atalanta drew 0-0 at Napoli in the Coppa Italia semi-final first leg. They had more chances and will be disappointed not to win.

Atalanta’s last match was a 3-3 home draw against Torino. Goals to Josip Ilicic, Robin Gosens and Luis Muriel established a 3-0 lead before they fell apart at the back.

Atalanta Injuries & Team News


Atalanta centre back Cristian Romero is suspended.

Right backs Hans Hateboer and Joakim Maehle are injured which should see Robin Gosens switch to the right flank.

Napoli Form


Napoli lost 2-0 against Juventus in the Italian Super Cup and returned to Serie A with a 3-1 defeat at Hellas Verona.

Gennaro Gattuso’s side bounced back with a 4-2 home win against Spezia in the Coppa Italia quarter-finals. I Partenopei then won 2-0 at home against Parma.

Napoli were slightly fortunate to draw 0-0 at home against Atalanta in the Coppa Italia semi-final first leg. Gattuso matched Atalanta 's 3-4-3 formation which backfired.

Napoli’s last match was a 2-1 defeat at Genoa. They had 66% possession 26-4 shots and 2.09-1.09 expected goals but couldn’t find an equaliser after Matteo Politano’s 79th minute goal.

Napoli Injuries & Team News


Forward Dries Mertens is out with an ankle injury. Centre back Kostas Manolas is doubtful with an ankle injury of his own.

Centre back Kalidou Koulibaly, left back Faouzi Ghoulam and midfielder Fabián Ruiz are unavailable after testing positive for corona virus. 

Expect forwards Lorenzo Insigne and Victor Osimhen to start here.

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AU

Verdict

Napoli and Atalanta have strong attacks and key players missing in central defence. Expect BTTS in Bergamo with a 2-2 draw a real possibility.

Best Bet: BTTS Yes BTTS $1.53 at Ladbrokes Australia - 5 Units
Value Bet: Over 3.5 Goals Total Goals $2.55 at betfair - 2 Units
Value Bet: Draw Full Time Result $4.00 at betfair - 1 Unit
Correct Score Tip: 2-2 Draw Correct Score $12.00 at Betstar Australia - 1 Unit

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