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Guingamp vs Caen - Clash of strugglers to produce goals

tolu-shotade
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Last updated: 16 Sep 2019
Tolu Shotade 16 Sep 2019
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Tense relegation six-pointer predicted in Ligue 1
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Guingamp vs Caen
Tense clash predicted between French Ligue 1 strugglers Guingamp and Caen (Getty Images)

Guingamp vs Caen Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


Two of the struggling clubs in Ligue 1 clash at the Stade du Roudourou as Guingamp host Caen on Saturday. Both teams are deep in relegation trouble and have struggled at the back in recent matches. BTTS looks the likely outcome here at odds of 2.20 while a draw is also predicted at 3.40.

EA Guingamp Form & Team News


Guingamp are one of the poorest teams in Ligue 1 and have looked prime candidates for relegation throughout the season. They are currently bottom of the table with 24 points, eight from safety.

Jocelyn Gourvennec’s men suffered a 3-0 defeat at Nice last time out. They head into Saturday's clash with just one win from their last eight Ligue 1 matches but are still valued at 1.80 to emerge victorious over Caen.

Guingamp have the worst defence in Ligue 1 and are without a clean sheet in their last five matches. Despite their poor defensive record, Jeremy Sorbon and Papiss Djilobodji should continue their partnership at centre back while top scorer Marcus Thuram is set to retain his place in attack.

Jocelyn Gourvennec
Jocelyn Gourvennec Guingamp have struggled to keep clean sheets this season (Getty Images)

SM Caen Form & Team News


Caen are coming off a 1-0 victory at home against Dijon in their last Ligue 1 fixture. They laboured for much of the contest before Faycal Fajr struck the goal midway through the second half with their only shot on target.

Caen are also in the bottom three, although they occupy the relegation playoff place. Fabien Mercadai's team are three points from safety and have claimed just three wins in their last 10 matches. They are priced at 4.75 to claim the victory on Saturday.

Caen have also struggled at the back, conceding eight goals in their last five matches. Jonathan Gradit and Alexander Djiku often partner in central defence while Enzo Crivelli should continue as the lone man in attack.

Caen
Caen have also struggled at the back, conceding eight goals in their last five matches (Getty Images)

Guingamp vs Caen Head to Head


Guingamp have a 10-5 edge with 11 draws from 26 previous matches against Caen. Both teams have drawn three of the last four meetings with the reverse fixture at the Stade Michel d'Ornano ending 0-0.

Guingamp vs Caen Match Up


Guingamp are poor at the back with Sorbon and Djilobodji both struggling at the moment. They have some quality in attack with Thuram, who is the team's top scorer this season with eight goals.

Caen have also faced similar problems at the back lately and are without a clean sheet in six of their last eight away matches. They are likely to struggle at Guingamp but should hold their own at the other end of the pitch with Crivelli and Casimir Ninga who often combine well in attack.

Guingamp vs Caen Key Statistics


  • Guingamp have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 matches (Ligue 1).
  • Guingamp & Caen have drawn 3 of their last 4 meetings (all competitions).
  • Caen have failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their last 8 away matches (Ligue 1).

Verdict 


Saturday's clash features two of the worst defences in Ligue 1 with Guingamp and Caen both struggling for clean sheets. BTTS is the tip here at 2.20 with both teams also predicted to cancel each other our in a draw.

Best Bet: BTTS Yes @ 2.20 at bet365 – 3 Units
Value Bet: Draw @ 3.40 at bet365 – 1 Unit
Correct Score Tip: 1-1 Draw @ 6.50 at bet365 – 1 Unit

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