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New York City FC vs Toronto Live Stream & Predictions – Home Advantage in MLS

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: 01 Jul 2025
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Vedran Ostojic 01 Jul 2025
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  • New York City FC have won 7 of their 10 home games
  • We are backing them to beat struggling Toronto
  • Watch New York City FC vs Toronto live in MLS
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Andres Perea of New York City FC (Getty Images)

New York City FC vs Toronto Preview 


New York City FC are one of the strongest hosts in the Eastern Conference, while Toronto have lost more than half of their MLS appearances this season. I am backing the Pigeons to win. 
  • New York City FC vs Toronto Preview 
  • Stats 
  • HTH 
  • New York City FC Form 
  • Toronto Form 
  • Team News 
  • Predicted Starting Lineups  

Stats 


  • New York City FC have won 3 of their last 4 home matches. 
  • New York City FC have won their last 5 matches against Toronto. 
  • Toronto have lost 3 of their last 6 away matches. 

HTH 


New York City FC have a 12-9 advantage against Toronto with 7 draws in 28 matches. 

They last met in April, the game being won by New York City FC 1-0 in Canada. 

New York City FC Form 


New York City FC have been battling inconsistency throughout the entire 2025 campaign, currently sitting in 9th place on the Eastern Conference with 28 points after 19 rounds. 

Pascal Jensen’s side has secured just one win in their last four matches. After losing to Houston Dynamo 3-0 at home and drawing at Nashville 2-2, they defeated Atlanta United 4-0 in front of their crowd. 

New York City FC failed to connect though and suffered a 1-0 defeat to Montreal last weekend in Canada despite having 0.83 expected goals, 68% possession and 11 shots. 

Hannes Wolf has been their standout player so far, recording eight goals and three assists in 19 MLS appearances. 

Toronto Form 


Toronto’s chances to participate in the MLS playoffs have been reduced to a minimum after collecting just 17 points across 19 matches. 

They suffered back to back home defeats to Nashville 2-1 and Philadelphia Union 2-1 in late May, while starting June with another loss in Canada to Charlotte 2-0. 

Three-game losing run has ended with a 1-1 draw against New York Red Bulls last week, while claiming all three points against Portland Timbers 3-0 on Sunday. 

Team News 


New York City will be without Matt Freese who is on international duty, while Malachi Jones and Keaton Parks are injured. 

Toronto are having lengthy injury list of this clash, Jonathan Osorio, Zane Monlouis, Kobe Franklin, Federico Bernardeschi (top contributor with 4 goals and 4 assists) all being sidelined. 

Predicted Starting Lineups  


New York City FC: Romero, Haak, Risa, Martins, Tanasijevic, Perea, Moralez, Ojeda, Wolf, Fernandez, Martinez 

Toronto: Johnson, Long, Rosted, Thompson, Petretta, Coello, Etienne, Kerr, Spicer, Corbeanu, Brynhildsen 

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Verdict

Toronto are having a poor season and have lost their last five h2h matches against New York City FC. I’m backing the Pigeons to secure their eighth win in eleven MLS home appearances. 

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