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Atalanta vs Spezia Predictions & Tips - Atalanta to outscore Spezia in Serie A

  • Atalanta vs Spezia predictions for Friday’s Serie A match
  • The game is being played at 7.45pm GMT at Gewiss Stadium
  • Atalanta have scored 3+ goals in 7 their last 9 Serie A home matches
  • I am backing Atalanta to win 3-1 in Bergamo
  • Preview, predictions, stats & team news
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Atalanta have scored 3+ goals in 7 their last 9 home matches in Serie A (Getty Images)
Mat Marshall 11 Mar 2021
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Atalanta vs Spezia Predictions


Atalanta regularly score 3+ goals at home which can continue against Spezia. The hosts are backed to win 3-1 in Bergamo.

  • Atalanta have won 4 of their last 5 matches (Serie A).
  • Atalanta have scored 3+ goals in 7 their last 9 home matches (Serie A).
  • Atalanta have seen over 5.5 goals in their last 3 home matches (Serie A).
  • Atalanta have won their last 3 home matches against Spezia (all competitions).
  • Atalanta have won by 3+ goals in 2 of their last 3 home matches against Spezia (all competitions).
  • Spezia have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches (all competitions).
  • Spezia have conceded 3+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches (all competitions).
  • Spezia have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 away matches (all competitions).

Head to Head


Atalanta have a 5-1 advantage against Spezia with 7 draws in 13 matches.

Atalanta Form


Atalanta have won four of their last five matches in Serie A and sit just outside the top four.

They won 4-2 at home against Napoli before some back luck against Real Madrid in the Champions League. Remo Freuler was sent off in the 17th minute and Los Blancos scored the winner in the 86th minute.

Gian Piero Gasperini’s side returned to Serie A with a 2-0 win at Sampdoria and 5-1 home win against Crotone where they had 3.83-0.60 expected goals.

Atalanta’s last match was a 1-0 defeat at Inter Milan. They battled hard against the league leaders, having 55% possession, 15-3 shots and 0.68-0.18 expected goals.

Atalanta Injuries & Team News


Centre back Bosko Sutalo and right back Hans Hateboer are injured

Spezia Form


Spezia have seen some mixed results in recent weeks. They recorded back to back wins against Sassuolo and AC Milan but have failed to win in their last four.

Vincenzo Italiano’s side lost 3-0 at Fiorentina and drew 2-2 at home against Parma before a 3-0 defeat at Juventus. 

Spezia’s last match was a 1-1 draw against Benevento. They should have won after having 73% possession, 1.68-0.32 expected goals and hitting the woodwork twice.

Spezia Injuries & Team News


Spezia winger Riccardo Saponara is doubtful.

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Verdict

Atalanta score plenty of goals at home which should continue against Spezia. This should be an exciting match with the hosts backed to win 3-1.

Best Bet: Atalanta & Over 2.5 Win & Total Goals @-135.14 at BetMGM - 4 Units
Value Bet: Atalanta & Over 3.5 Win & Total Goals @175.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units
Correct Score Tip: Atalanta Win 3-1 Correct Score @1000.0 at Borgata Sports - 1 Unit

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