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Lazio vs Roma Predictions & Tips – Giallorossi Tipped to Win in Derby della Capitale

Vedran Ostojic

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Last updated: 12 Apr 2025

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Vedran Ostojic 12 Apr 2025

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Roma's recent results in Serie A have been sensational
We are backing them to beat their archrival Lazio on Sunday
Check our match preview & team news for Lazio vs Roma below

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Roma have won their last 2 matches against Lazio (Getty)

Lazio vs Roma Preview

Both sides will be searching for three points on Sunday to keep their Top 4 placement hopes alive. Lazio’s defense has collapsed multiple times in the last few weeks, so I see value in backing Roma to win Derby della Capitale.

Lazio vs Roma Preview
Stats
HTH
Lazio Form
Roma Form
Team News
Predicted Starting Lineups

Stats

Lazio have lost 2 of their last 4 matches.
Roma have won 7 of their last 8 matches (Serie A).
Roma have won their last 2 matches against Lazio.
Roma’s Artem Dovbyk has scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches (Serie A).

HTH

Roma have a 27-22 advantage against Lazio with 21 draws in 70 matches.

The last met in January, the game being won by Roma 2-0.

Lazio Form

Lazio are coming off a disappointing performance and a 2-0 loss to Bodo/Glimt in the Europa League quarterfinals 1st leg on Thursday, ending that match in Norway with 0.34-2.88 expected goals, 42% possession and 6-18 shots.

As for their form in Serie A, the Biancocelesti have been quite inconsistent, registering two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five appearances and currently sit in 6th place, just two points short of desired Top 4 zone.

After suffering a humiliating 5-0 loss to Bologna in mid-March, they wrapped up the previous month with a 1-1 draw against Torino, while beating Atalanta 1-0 last weekend in Bergamo, Gustav Isaksen on target.

Roma Form

After they got eliminated from the Europa League in Round of 16 by Bilbao 4-3 on aggregate in mid-March, Roma can solely focus on their Serie A campaign where they sit in 7th place with 53 points after 31 rounds.

Giallorossi had an amazing run in March, earning back to back victories against Como 2-1, Empoli 1-0, Cagliari 1-0 and Lecce 1-0, Artem Dovbyk scoring three goals in these encounters.

Roma’s winning streak has come to an end last weekend at Olimpico where they draw against Juventus 1-1, Eldor Shomurodov scoring an equalizer early in second half.

Team News

One of Lazio’s key players in the first half of the season Taty Castellanos has finally recovered from an injury and is expected to feature here. Nuno Tavares and Patric are still sidelined.

As for the visitors, Paulo Dybala and Saud Abdulhamid are ruled out due to injuries, while Alexis Saelemaekers is back after serving a yellow-card suspension last weekend.

Predicted Starting Lineups

Lazio: Provedel, Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini, Guendouzi, Rovella, Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni, Castellanos

Roma: Svilar, Mancini, Hummels, Ndicka, Saelemaekers, Kone, Paredes, Angelino, Soule, Pellegrini, Dovbyk

Verdict

Lazio v Roma

Roma won seven of their last eight matches in Serie A and are in good position to exploit Lazio’s defensive woes. The Biancocelesti conceded eight goals in their last four games, so I am backing Ranieri’s side to win on Sunday and in-form Artem Dovbyk to find the net.

Roma Win

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