El Clasico: Barcelona vs Real Madrid Predictions & Tips – May 11

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips - Goals Markets in Play in La Liga

Eddy Tora

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Last updated: 09 May 2025

Eddy Tora 09 May 2025

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Barcelona lead Real Madrid by 4 points at the top of La Liga
The season is coming to a close with four matches remaining
I am predicting a high scoring clash in El Clasico

Expired

Barcelona have a four point lead over Real Madrid in La Liga (Getty)

Barcelona and Real Madrid are regularly involved in high scoring games and this should be no exception. I am backing BTTS with over 3.5 goals the value play in La Liga.

Stats
HTH
Last 5 Meetings
Barcelona Form
Real Madrid Form
Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News

Stats

Barcelona have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Barcelona have seen over 3.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches.
Barcelona’s Raphinha has scored 4 goals in his last 4 starts.
Barcelona have seen over 3.5 goals in their last 5 matches against Real Madrid.
Real Madrid have seen BTTS & seen over 3.5 goals in their last 2 matches.

HTH

Real Madrid have a 105-103 advantage against Barcelona alongside 52 draws.

They met in the Copa del Rey final last month, Barcelona winning 3-2 in extra time.

Last 5 Meetings

Competition	Date	Home	Score	Away
Copa del Rey	26.04.2025	Barcelona	3:2 AET	Real Madrid
Supercopa	12.01.2025	Real Madrid	2:5	Barcelona
La Liga	26.10.2024	Real Madrid	0:4	Barcelona
La Liga	21.04.2024	Real Madrid	3:2	Barcelona
Supercopa	14.01.2024	Real Madrid	4:1	Barcelona

Barcelona Form

Barcelona have won 13 of their last 14 matches in La Liga, building a four point lead over Real Madrid at the top of the table. They won 2-1 at Real Valladolid last week, Raphinha and Fermín López scoring in the second half.

Hansi Flick’s side recently claimed the Copa del Rey title against their Real Madrid. They were 2-1 down with 10 minutes remaining, Ferran Torres’ late strike taking it to extra time where Jules Koundé scored to earn a 3-2 victory.

The Blaugrana are coming off a heartbreaking exit to Inter Milan in the Champions League semi-finals. The first leg ended in a 3-3 draw in Spain, conceding late in another 3-3 draw in Italy where they conceded in added time to go down 4-3.

Real Madrid Form

Real Madrid have been inconsistent since April, beaten twice against Arsenal in the Champions League quarter-finals, a 3-0 defeat in London and 2-1 loss in Spain.

Los Blancos went close against Barcelona in the Copa del Rey final. Late goals to Kylian Mbappé and Aurélien Tchouaméni established a 2-1 lead, they couldn’t hold on and went down 3-2 in extra time.

Carlo Ancelotti’s side have won four straight games in La Liga where they trail leaders Barcelona by four points. Mbappé scored twice in a 3-2 victory over Celta Vigo on Sunday, holding on after conceding two late goals.

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News

Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Marc-Andre ter Stegen; Eric García, Pau Cubarsi, Inigo Martínez, Gerard Martín; Pedri, Frenkie de Jong; Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Raphinha; Ferran Torres.

Marc-Andre ter Stegen should replace Wojciech Szczesny in goal after being ineligible in the Champions League.

Alejandro Balde and Jules Koundé are injured alongside midfielders Marc Casado and Marc Bernal. Robert Lewandowski came off the bench late in Milan and might have to settle for another spot on the bench.

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois; Lucas Vázquez, Antonio Rüdiger, Raúl Asencio, Fran García; Federico Valverde, Aurélien Tchouaméni; Arda Güler, Jude Bellingham, Vinícius Júnior; Kylian Mbappé.

Defenders Dani Carvajal and Éder Militão are sidelined with knee injuries. David Alaba and Ferland Mendy are doubtful.

Eduardo Camavinga is out for the rest of the season due to an adductor injury.

Verdict

Barcelona v Real Madrid

Barcelona and Real Madrid met in the Copa del Rey final last month with Barca winning 3-2 in added time. I am expecting another shootout in La Liga with Raphinha to find the net.

BTTS & Over 3.5 Goals

BTTS & Total Goals

@1/1 - 4 Units

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Raphinha

Anytime Goalscorer

@9/5 - 2 Units

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BTTS & Over 4.5 Goals

BTTS & Total Goals

@11/5 - 1 Unit

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Raphinha

First Goalscorer

@6/1 - 1 Unit

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