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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Predictions & Betting Tips - Close Clash Expected in La Liga

Eddy Tora

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Last updated: 07 Feb 2025

Eddy Tora 07 Feb 2025

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Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Predictions & Betting Tips
Atletico are undefeated in 20 of their last 21 games
We are backing the derby to end in a draw in La Liga

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Real Madrid have drawn 6 of their last 7 games against Atletico Madrid (Getty)

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Preview

Real Madrid rarely lose at home in La Liga and Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in 20 of their previous 21 games. The Madrid derby has turned into a draw fest and everything points to another stalemate at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Preview
Stats
HTH
Last 5 Meetings
Real Madrid Form
Atletico Madrid Form
Injuries & Team News
Predicted Starting Lineups

Stats

Real Madrid are undefeated in 33 of their last 34 home matches (La Liga).
Real Madrid have drawn 6 of their last 7 matches against Atletico Madrid.
Atletico Madrid are undefeated in 20 of their last 21 matches.

HTH

Real Madrid have a 116-59 advantage Atletico Madrid alongside 62 draws.

Last 5 Meetings

Competition	Date	Home	Score	Away
La Liga	29.09.2024	Atletico Madrid	1-1	Real Madrid
La Liga	04.02.2024	Real Madrid	1-1	Atletico Madrid
Copa del Rey	18.01.2024	Atletico Madrid	4-2 AET	Real Madrid
Supercopa	10.01.2024	Real Madrid	5-3 AET	Atletico Madrid
La Liga	24.09.2023	Atletico Madrid	3-1	Real Madrid

Real Madrid Form

Real Madrid won their final four matches in January, scoring 15 goals with just two conceded. They won 5-1 against Salzburg and 3-0 at Brest to finish 11th on the Champions League table.

Los Blancos began February with a surprise 1-0 defeat at Espanyol. They had 76% possession and 7-2 shots on target, conceding in the 85th minute.

Carlo Ancelotti’s side bounced back in the Copa del Rey with a 3-2 win at Leganes. Luka Modric and Endrick scored to establish a 2-0 lead, but they needed a 93rd minute goal from Gonzalo Garcia to reach the semi-finals.

Atletico Madrid Form

Atletico Madrid went on a 15 match winning streak this season. The run came to an end in January at Leganes, losing 1-0 despite ending with 3.06-0.77 expected goals.

Diego Simeone’s side won their final five Champions League games to finish 5th on the table. They won 2-1 at PSG and 2-1 against Bayer Leverkusen during that spell, concluding with a 4-1 victory at Salzburg.

Colchoneros won 2-0 against Mallorca in their previous La Liga match, closing the gap behind Real Madrid to one point.

Atletico crushed Getafe 5-0 in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday. Giuliano Simeone scored the opening two goals as they eased into the semi-finals.

Injuries & Team News

Real Madrid defenders Eder Militão and Daniel Carvajal are out for the season after suffering cruciate ligament injuries.

David Alaba and Antonio Rüdiger will hope to return in the coming weeks.

Atletico centre-back Robin Le Normandis suspended after picking up a fifth yellow card in the game against Mallorca.

Predicted Starting Lineups

Ancelotti is likely to bring Dani Ceballos, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior and Kylian Mbappe into the starting side here. Luka Modric should be an option off the bench.

Real Madrid: Courtois, Vazquez, Tchouameni, Asencio, García, Ceballos, Valverde, Rodrygo, Bellingham, Junior, Mbappe

I expect Diego Simeone to recall Jan Oblak, Marcos Llorente and Pablo Barrios for the Madrid derby.

Clement Lenglet should replace Robin Le Normand in central defence.

Atletico Madrid: Oblak, Llorente, Gimenez, Lenglet, Galan, Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Lino, Griezmann, Alvarez

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Verdict

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid lead Atletico Madrid by one point in La Liga and will be desperate to maintain their advantage. Diego Simeone knows how to get a result in the Madrid derby, my money on a draw in La Liga.

Draw

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1-1 Draw

Correct Score

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