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Stuttgart vs Porto Predictions & Betting Tips - Deniz Undav to Fire Stuttgart to Victory in the Europa League

matthew-marshall
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Last updated: Wed 11 Mar 2026 23:15
Stuttgart face Porto in a highly anticipated UEFA Europa League clash. Stuttgart have demonstrated formidable home performance, winning 13 of their 18 matches, including four Europa League victories. Porto, however, have struggled on the road, with only one victory in their last five away matches. The matchup is closely contested, with prior encounters often ending in narrow results. Deniz Undav is in exceptional form for Stuttgart, positioning them for a potential home win. With injuries affecting both sides, Stuttgart capitalizes on their home advantage to edge closer to triumph.
Matthew Marshall 11 Mar 2026
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  • Stuttgart won 4 of 5 home games in the Europa League
  • Porto have won 1 of their previous 5 away matches
  • I am backing the German club to take the advantage
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Deniz Undav
Stuttgart's Deniz Undav has scored in 3 of his last 4 matches (Getty)

Stuttgart vs Porto Preview


Stuttgart have won 13 of their 18 home matches this season which includes four victories in the Europa League. 

Porto have been unconvincing on the road in Europe, the German club to take a narrow advantage in the round of 16.

HTH


This will be the first match between Stuttgart and Porto.

Stuttgart Strong at Home


Stuttgart got past Celtic in the Europa League playoffs, winning 4-1 in Scotland before a 1-0 defeat in Germany. They had 24-4 shots and 2.12-0.30 xG in the second leg.

Sebastian Hoeness’ side are fighting for third spot in the Bundesliga. Their previous home game ended in a 4-0 win against Wolfsburg, Jamie Leweling scoring twice to make it 11 goals for the season.

The Swabians are coming off a 2-2 draw at Mainz, Deniz Undav assisting Ermedin Demirovic before scoring to take a 2-1 lead. They conceded the equaliser in the 91st minute.

Hoeness admitted his side had some luck: “We gave away gifts today. Just like with the first goal we conceded. But the gifts weren't accepted.

“We had two turnovers that you simply can't afford, especially against Mainz, who are always waiting for those turnovers. So we were lucky to stay in the game.”

Porto Face Third Straight Road Trip


Porto failed to win in their opening two matches in February before reeling off three straight victories.

Narrow 1-0 wins against Nacional and Rio Ave were followed by a 3-1 victory against Arouca. Oskar Pietuszewski opened the scoring after 13 seconds but they required two added time goals to take all three points.

The Dragons suffered a 1-0 defeat at Sporting in the Portuguese Cup semi-final first leg, ending with 0.33-2.32 xG in Lisbon.

Francesco Farioli’s side took a 2-0 half-time lead at Benfica on Sunday but were unable to hold on. They were under heavy pressure and conceded the equaliser in the 88th minute.

The manager was disappointed with the second half performance: “We controlled the game and dominated possession in the first half, but in the second half we lacked effectiveness in front of goal.

“That kept the opposition in the game and, with the quality they have, we paid the price. That's the way it is. It's a shame we didn't get the three points, but it's very important to change our mindset and start thinking about the next game.”

Predicted Lineups & Team News


Stuttgart (4-2-3-1) Alexander Nubel; Lorenz Assignon, Finn Jeltsch, Jeff Chabot, Maximilian Mittelstadt; Atakan Karazor, Angelo Stiller; Jamie Leweling, Deniz Undav, Chris Fuhrich; Ermedin Demirovic

Right-back Josha Vagnoman has a thigh injury and winger Lazar Jovanovic is out with a back injury.

Porto (4-3-3) Diogo Costa; Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura; Victor Froholdt, Pablo Rosario, Gabri Veiga; Pepe, Deniz Gul, Borja Sainz

Nehuen Perez remains out injured alongside strikers Luuk de Jong and Samu Aghehowa. Oskar Pietuszewski is ineligible with Borja Sainz set to start.

The Spanish winger came off the bench against Benfica, Farioli saying: "Borja was back with the team for the first time (after his mother's passing) and he got some playing time, and he'll be a starter tomorrow. I like to think that everyone will have an important role in the team."

Martim Fernandes has been battling gastroenteritis but the manager confirmed his inclusion in the squad: "Martim had a physical problem in the last game but he has recovered. Today he had a full session with the team and is fit to play."

Pablo Rosario and Terem Moffi will be hoping to start in Germany.

Verdict

Porto have been below their best on the road in the Europa League and Stuttgart do their best work at home. Deniz Undav is in fine form and backed to fire the Bundesliga side to victory.

Best Bet1: Stuttgart Win Full Time Result @11/10 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Deniz Undav Anytime Goalscorer @6/4 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Deniz Undav First Goalscorer @5/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
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