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Swansea vs Cardiff Predictions & Tips - Low scoring draw on the cards

  • Swansea vs Cardiff predictions for Saturday’s Championship match
  • The game is being played at the Liberty Stadium (5.30pm GMT)
  • Swansea are unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 home matches in the Championship
  • I am backing a draw with Cardiff unbeaten in their last 7 away matches
  • Preview, stats, team news & predictions
Liberty Stadium view
Swansea are unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 Championship matches at Liberty Stadium (Getty Images)
Freetips staff 17 Mar 2021
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Swansea vs Cardiff Predictions


Swansea and Cardiff have been hard to beat in 2021. These Welsh rivals are expected to produce a low scoring draw. 

  • Swansea are unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 home matches (Championship)
  • Swansea have seen under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches (Championship)
  • Swansea have seen under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 home matches (Championship)
  • Swansea are unbeaten in their last 4 matches against Cardiff (all competitions)
  • Cardiff are unbeaten in 12 of their last 13 matches (Championship)
  • Cardiff are unbeaten in their last 7 away matches (Championship)
  • Cardiff have seen under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 away matches (Championship)

Head-to-Head 


Swansea have the historical edge in this fixture, winning 27 and drawing 17 of the 65 games between the two sides. Cardiff have won 21 times.

Swansea are unbeaten in the last four meetings between the sides, winning 3 three.

The last game was in December and Swansea ran out 2-0 victors as Jamal Lowe's two goals sealed the derby victory.

Swansea Form


Swansea were in strong from but have hit a road bump that could seriously affect their automatic promotion hopes.  

They followed up a 1-0 victory at home to Luton with a crushing defeat last time out. The were beaten 3-0 away to Bournemouth with goals conceded inside the first 10 minutes, on the stroke of half time and in injury time.

Their defensive frailties were at the fore and they have illustrated how small mistakes can derail an automatic promotion push. Swansea remain unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 home matches in the Championship.

They know a derby win can get their promotion hopes back on track.

Swansea Injuries and Team News


Substitute Morgan Whittaker made a big impact when he came on for Joel Latibeaudiere and he will be hoping this was enough to show that he deserves a starting role in this game.

Cardiff Form


The wheels have come off on Mick McCarthy’s winning machine. After a run of 6 straight victories, they’ve only won 1 of the last 5.

However, they’ve still proven to be a tough team to beat as they’ve only lost 1 of the last 13 games and kept 3 clean sheets in their last 4 games.

Their only defeat in this run came at home against Watford where an injury time free kick won the game for the Hornets as they cancelled out a Francisco Sierralta own goal that had put Cardiff ahead but was not enough to stop McCarthy enduring his first defeat as Cardiff manager.

Their next and most recent match was a bore draw at home to Stoke City which certainly didn’t help their push for the play-offs, but they are still within touching distance and their defensive stability will certainly help them on this run-in.

Cardiff Injuries and Team News


Defenders Joe Bennett, Joel Bagan and of course the sad case of Sol Bamba, are all out of the running for this match.

McCarthy made 3 changes for the Stoke game with Nelson, Ralls, Wilson, and Murphy all being replaced by Sang, Pack, Bacuna and Ojo. 

The disappointing results in both games will mean that all the players will be hoping to play and McCarthy may ring the changes again.

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Verdict

Swansea are unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 home matches in the Championship. A low scoring draw is expected against Cardiff in the Welsh derby.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals Total Goals @-161.29 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Draw Full Time Result @220.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units
Correct Score Tip: 1-1 Draw Correct Score @500.00 at Borgata Sports - 1 Unit

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