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Barcelona vs Inter Milan Predictions & Betting Tips - Barcelona to Win at Home in the Champions League

eddy-tora
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Last updated: 30 Apr 2025
Eddy Tora 30 Apr 2025
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  • Inter have lost to nil in their last 3 matches
  • Barcelona beat Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey final
  • I am backing the Catalan club in the Champions League
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2022 Barcelona Inter Camp Nou raphinha
Barcelona have won 5 of their last 6 home games against Inter (Getty)

Barcelona vs Inter Milan Preview


Barcelona have scored 21 goals in six Champions League home games this season. Inter Milan are struggling at the wrong time of the season, Barca backed to take the advantage in the first leg.
  • Barcelona vs Inter Milan Preview
  • Stats
  • HTH
  • Barcelona Form
  • Inter Milan Form
  • Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News

Stats


  • Barcelona have won 11 of their last 14 matches.
  • Barcelona have won by 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches (Champions League).
  • Barcelona’s Ferran Torres has scored 2 goals in his last 3 matches.
  • Barcelona have won 5 of their last 6 home matches against Inter Milan.
  • Inter Milan have lost to nil in their last 3 matches.

HTH


Barcelona have an 8-3 advantage against Inter Milan alongside five draws.

They last met in the 2022/23 Champions League group stage, Inter winning 1-0 in Italy before a 3-3 draw in Spain.

Barcelona Form


Barcelona have won 11 of their last 14 matches and are scoring a lot of goals. They got past Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League quarter-finals, a 4-0 victory in Spain followed by a 3-1 defeat in Germany.

Hansi Flick’s side have played their last two La Liga games at home, beating Celta Vigo 4-3 after finding themselves 3-1 down in the second half. They had 78% possession and 40-4 shots in a 1-0 win against Mallorca, Dani Olmo’s goal the difference.

The Catalans did it the hard way in the Copa del Rey final on Saturday. Pedri put them ahead but they were 2-1 down with 10 minutes remaining, Ferran Torres’ late strike taking it to extra time where Jules Koundé found the net to earn a 3-2 victory.

Inter Milan Form


Inter Milan were on fire this season but the wheels have fallen off since they got past Bayern Munich 4-3 on aggregate in the quarter-finals. They have lost three straight games and severely dented their treble aspirations.

Simone Inzaghi’s side lost 1-0 at Bologna which allowed Napoli to join them at the top of Serie A. Inter had drawn 1-1 against AC Milan in the Coppa Italia semi-final first leg and slumped to a 3-0 second leg defeat at San Siro.

Inter lost 1-0 against Roma on Sunday and can have no complaints after ending with 1.10-2.80 expected goals. The result saw Napoli take a three point lead in the title race.

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Wojciech Szczesny; Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsí, Inigo Martínez, Gerard Martín; Pedri, Frenkie de Jong; Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Raphinha; Ferran Torres.

Marc-Andre ter Stegen has recovered from a knee injury but is not registered for the Champions League. Left-back Alejandro Balde is doubtful due to a hamstring injury.

Midfielders Marc Casado and Marc Bernal are both sidelined with knee injuries and Robert Lewandowski is out with a thigh injury.

Inter Milan (3-5-2): Yann Sommer; Yann Aurel Bisseck, Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni; Denzel Dumfries, Nicolò Barella, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco; Marcus Thuram, Lautaro Martínez.

Benjamin Pavard is ruled out due to an ankle injury with Yann Aurel Bisseck or Stefan de Vrij set to start.

Mehdi Taremi could start up front with Marcus Thuram only returning to training this week.

Verdict

Inter Milan have lost three straight without scoring, their slump coming at an inconvenient point of the season. Barcelona have scored 3+ goals in five Champions League home wins and should be too good in Spain.

Best Bet1: Barcelona Win Full Time Result @4/6 at Betgoodwin - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Ferran Torres Anytime Goalscorer @13/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Barcelona -1 Handicap @8/5 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Ferran Torres First Goalscorer @9/2 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Barcelona Win
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