PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions & Tips – Visitors are Underestimated in the Champions League

Vedran Ostojic

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Last updated: 06 May 2024

Vedran Ostojic 06 May 2024

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PSG vs Borussia Dortmund predictions for Tuesday’s match
Borussia Dortmund have won the first match 1-0
Can they hold on to that lead and advance to the grand finals?

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Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in 10 of their last 12 away matches (Getty)

PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Preview

Borussia Dortmund’s spirits were additionally boosted by beating Augsburg 5-1 on Saturday. PSG are not consistent at home in the UCL, winning just one of their last three games, so a draw or away win is value.

PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Preview
Head to Head
PSG Form
PSG Injuries & Team News
Borussia Dortmund Form
Borussia Dortmund Injuries & Team News

PSG are winless in 2 of their last 3 home matches (Champions League).
PSG are winless in 3 of their last 4 home matches.
PSG have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in 10 of their last 12 away matches.
Borussia Dortmund beat PSG 1-0 in the first tie.
Borussia Dortmund have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 matches.

Head to Head

PSG and Borussia Dortmund have locked horns 7 times so far and the score is tied 2-2.

Borussia Dortmund won the first leg 1-0 last week in Germany.

PSG Form

PSG were defeated in the Champions League semi-finals first tie 1-0 last week in Germany, hitting the post two times and ending the match with 1.45-1.21 expected goals, 54% possession and 14-12 shots.

The Saints stunned Barcelona in the quarterfinals, winning the second leg 4-1 at the Nou Camp for a 6-4 aggregate win, Kylian Mbappe (x2), Vitinha and Ousmane Dembele on target.

In terms of their recent performances in Ligue 1, Luis Enrique’s side ended their two-game winning streak (4-1 against Lyon and 4-1 against Lorient) with a 3-3 draw at home against Le Havre, yet they still sit comfortably at the top of the table.

PSG Injuries & Team News

Lucas Hernandez, Sergio Rico and Layvin Kurzawa are injured.

Borussia Dortmund Form

Borussia Dortmund are defending the 1-0 lead they secured at Signal Iduna Park last Wednesday, with Niclas Fullkrug scoring from Nico Schlotterbeck’s excellent assist.

That was a great recovery after suffering a convincing 4-1 defeat to RB Leipzig in Bundesliga. They gained an early lead in that match through Jadon Sancho but then conceded four unanswered goals.

Edin Terzic’s side returned to winning ways in the German top flight last weekend with a commanding 5-1 victory against Augsburg, Youssoufa Moukoko (x2), Donyell Malen, Marco Reus and Felix Nmecha finding the net.

Borussia Dortmund Injuries & Team News

Ramy Bensebaini, Sebastien Haller and Julien Duranville are injured.

Verdict

PSG v Borussia Dortmund

PSG won just one of their last four home games across competitions, so I don’t view them as massive favorites on Tuesday. Backing the German side with a double chance is value.

BTTS Yes

Both Teams To Score

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Borussia Dortmund

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