Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Predictions & Tips – BVB to Bounce Back in the Champions League

Vedran Ostojic

Editor

Last updated: 04 Nov 2024

Listen

Vedran Ostojic 04 Nov 2024

Share this article

Sturm Graz had just over 1.00 xG in 2 home UCL games
Borussia Dortmund are massive favorites to win the match
Check out our match preview and top predictions below

Expired

Borussia Dortmund have won their last 9 home matches (Getty Images)

Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Preview

Sturm Graz scored just one goal in three UCL games and had only 1.06 expected goals in last two home contests. I expect Borussia Dortmund to win and match to end with less than four goals since visitors struggle offensively.

Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Preview
Head to Head
Borussia Dortmund Form
Borussia Dortmund Injuries & Team News
Sturm Graz Form
Sturm Graz Injuries & Team News

Borussia Dortmund have won their last 9 home matches.
Sturm Graz have lost 9 of their last 10 matches (Champions League).
Sturm Graz have seen under 3.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches.

Head to Head

This is going to be the first head to head match between Borussia Dortmund and Sturm Graz.

Borussia Dortmund Form

Borussia Dortmund had a strong start to the Champions League group stages, earning back to back victories against Club Brugge 3-0 and Celtic 7-1.

They had a 2-0 lead against Real Madrid in the third round with Donyell Malen and Jamie Gittens finding the net, but conceded five unanswered goals in the second half and lost 5-2 at Santiago Bernabeu.

BVB have been inconsistent in Bundesliga, grabbing 16 points from nine matches and currently sit in 5th position. They looked good in last weekend’s home victory against RB Leipzig 2-1 though.

Borussia Dortmund Injuries & Team News

Starting goalkeeper Gregor Kobel is sidelined with hip problems, while defenders Waldemar Anton (thigh problems) and Niklas Sule (ankle injury) are also ruled out.

Yan Couto and Julian Ryerson are doubtful for this match, both struggling with muscle injuries.

Karim Adeyemi is expected to be back in two weeks due to a torn muscle fibre, while Jamie Gittens is ruled out due to ankle injury.

Sturm Graz Form

Sturm Graz are having a disappointing start to the Champions League group stages, losing all three encounters so far while scoring just one goal.

After the initial 2-1 defeat at Brest, the Blackies then lost two home appearances to Club Brugge 1-0 and Sporting Lisbon 2-0, having just 1.06 expected goals in those two games combined.

They are looking much better in the Austrian Bundesliga, sitting top of the table with 26 points from 12 matches. Their four-game winning streak has ended last weekend with a 1-1 home draw against Rapid Wien, Erencan Yardimci finding the net.

Sturm Graz Injuries & Team News

One of Sturm’s best defenders Gregory Wuthrich is unavailable due to a capsular injury.

Manager Christian Ilzer also can’t count on Jon Gorenc Stankovic due to a forearm injury.

Verdict

Borussia Dortmund v SK Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz had just above 1.00 expected goals in their last two home UCL games against Brugge and Sporting Lisbon. I expect them to struggle offensively in Germany, home win & under 3.5 goals being the best bet.

Dortmund & Under 3.5

Result/Total Goals

@8/5 - 2 Units

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365

Dortmund Win 2-0

Correct Score

@7/1 - 1 Unit

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Bet at bet365