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Croatia vs Italy Predictions & Tips – Points Shared in Euro 2024 Group B Clash

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: 22 Jun 2024
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Vedran Ostojic 22 Jun 2024
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  • Italy requires just one point from the match to advance to the Round of 16
  • The last three head-to-head games between Croatia and Italy ended in draws
  • Both teams to score seems likely given their recent form and past encounters
Expired
Croatia have drawn their last 3 matches against Italy (Getty)

Croatia vs Italy Preview 


Italy will advance to the Round of 16 with a point here, while Croatia are underperforming in the tournament. The last three head to head games ended without a winner, so a draw is value. 
  • Croatia vs Italy Preview 
  • Head to Head 
  • Croatia Form 
  • Croatia Squad & Team News 
  • Italy Form 
  • Italy Squad & Team News 

  • Croatia have drawn their last 3 matches against Italy. 
  • Croatia have seen BTTS in their last 3 matches against Italy. 
  • Croatia have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches. 
  • Italy are unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 matches. 

Head to Head 


Croatia have a 3-1 advantage against Italy with 5 draws in 9 matches. 

They last met in June 2015, the game ending in a 1-1 draw. 

Croatia Form 


Croatia failed to clinch their first Euro 2024 victory on Wednesday, being held to a 2-2 draw by Albania. 

The Blazers were behind for 74 minutes when Andrej Kramaric bagged an equalizer. Just two minutes later they were ahead Klaus Gjasula scoring an own goal. The same player found the net in stoppage time to secure a point for Albania. 

Zlatko Dalic’s side had 2.25-1.27 expected goals, 61% possession and 20-15 shots in that match. 

Croatia were overrun by Spain 3-0 in their Euro 2024 opening match, conceding all three goals in the first half. Bruno Petkovic failed to score a consolation goal, missing a penalty kick in 80th minute.  

They made an impressive appearance in Lisbon last week, defeating the favored Portugal 2-1 in the final warm up match before Euro. Luka Modric scored a penalty in the first half, and Ante Budimir bagged the winning goal in the second half.   

Croatia Squad & Team News 


Goalkeepers: Dominik Livaković, Nediljko Labrović, Ivica Ivušić   
Defenders: Josip Stanišić, Marin Pongračić, Joško Gvardiol, Martin Erlić, Josip Šutalo, Borna Sosa, Domagoj Vida, Josip Juranović   
Midfielders: Lovro Majer, Mateo Kovačić, Luka Modrić, Marcelo Brozović, Nikola Vlašić, Mario Pašalić, Luka Ivanušec, Luka Sučić, Martin Baturina   
Forwards: Andrej Kramarić, Ivan Perišić, Ante Budimir, Bruno Petković, Marko Pjaca, Marco Pašalić   

Dominik Kotarski, Borna Barišić, Duje Ćaleta-Car and Kristijan Jakić didn't make it to the final cut, but were on a preliminary list.  

Andrej Kramarić has scored 29 goals in his 95 appearances for the national team. 

Italy Form 


Italy began their Euro title defense with a narrow 2-1 victory against Albania. Their opponents drew first blood with Nedim Bajrami scoring after just 22 seconds of play, but Azzurri bounced back quickly with goals from Alessandro Bastoni and Nicolo Barella.  

It was a well-deserved victory with 1.67-0.38 expected goals, 66% possession and 16-8 shots for Luciano Spaletti’s side. 

They were defeated in the second round by Spain 1-0, ending the contest with just 0.25 expected goals, 43% possession and 4-20 shots. 

Gli Azzurri failed to impress in their last two test matches ahead of the tournament. Against Turkey, they ended in a 0-0 draw with 0.67-0.68 expected goals, 55% possession, and 11-10 shots. In the match against minnows Bosnia, they narrowly won 1-0, with Davide Frattesi scoring the only goal.  

Italy Squad & Team News 


Goalkeepers: Gianluigi Donnarumma (captain), Alex Meret, Guglielmo Vicario     
Defenders: Ivan Provedel, Matteo Darmian, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Federico Dimarco, Gianluca Mancini, Alessandro Buongiorno, Federico Gatti, Andrea Cambiaso , Raoul Bellanova, Riccardo Calafiori     
Midfielders: Nicolò Barella, Jorginho, Bryan Cristante, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Davide Frattesi, Samuele Ricci, Nicolo Fagioli, Michael Folorunsho     
Forwards: Federico Chiesa, Stephan El Shaarawy, Giacomo Raspadori, Gianluca Scamacca, Riccardo Orsolini, Mateo Retegui, Mattia Zaccagni     

There are no injury concerns for Gli Azzurri ahead of this match.  

Nicolo Barella is the top scorer on the team (10 goals), while the captain Gianluigi Donnarumma has the most appearances (64). 

Verdict

Italy have been one of the biggest masterminds when it comes to defending for years. All they need from this clash to advance is one point. Since Croatia are inconsistent, I will back these sides to share the spoils. 

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes Both Teams To Score @7/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Draw Full-Time Result @23/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: 1-1 Draw Correct Score @11/2 at bet365 - 1 Unit
BTTS Yes
Both Teams To Score
@7/10 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
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Bet at bet365
Draw
Full-Time Result
@23/10 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
1-1 Draw
Correct Score
@11/2 - 1 Unit
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