Italy vs Greece Betting Tips - Azzurri backed in the handicap market

Andrea Bellotti to star in comfortable home win for Italy over Greece
Italy vs Greece
Italy are backed to claim easy win over strugglers Greece in Euro qualifiers (Getty Images)

Italy vs Greece Betting Tips

Italy should be too strong for Greece in their Euro 2020 qualifier at the Stadio Olimpico. The hosts have a 100% record in the group and are backed in the handicap market over the Greeks who have had a woeful campaign.

Italy Form & Team News

Italy claimed a 2-1 victory over Finland in their previous Group J fixture. They were made to work hard by the Finns but secured the victory through second half goals from Jorginho and Ciro Immobile.

The Italians have a 100% record in the qualifiers after six matches and are just one win from booking their place in Euro 2020. Roberto Mancini’s men are priced at 1.18 to see off the struggling Greeks but with 18 goals scored and just three conceded in the group, a -1 handicap offers more value at 1.61.

Andrea Belotti has impressed for the Azzurri in recent matches and could be given the nod in attack on Saturday. He is likely to be supported by Federico Chiesa and Lorenzo Insigne, who have also shown some good form lately.

Italy have won their last 10 matches in Euro qualifying (Getty Images)

Greece Form & Team News 

Greece were held to a disappointing 1-1 draw at home by Liechtenstein in their last qualifying outing. They took a first half lead through Giorgios Masouras but were pegged back by the visitors five minutes from time.

The Greeks are having a horrible qualifying campaign with just one win in six matches. John van't Schip's men have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions which places an unlikely upset in Rome at odds of 19.00 while a draw is set at 6.00.

Greece will continue to be without midfielder Konstantinos Fortounis, who scored three qualifying goals before suffering an ACL injury. Efthymios Koulouris is expected to lead the line on Saturday with the striker still looking for his first goal in the qualifiers.

Italy vs Greece Head to Head 

Italy have six wins and three draws while Greece have just one win from 10 previous matches. The Italians claimed a 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture in Greece.

Italy vs Greece Betting Odds

Italy are priced at 1.18 for a win with a draw valued at 6.00. Greece are backed at odds of 19.00 to secure the victory while a -1 handicap is set at odds of 1.61. A win to nil is set at 1.57 while bet365 is offering 6.00 for a correct of 3-0.

There is value in the player market with Andrea Belotti backed at 4.50 to score the first goal while Ciro Immobile (4.00) and Lorenzo Insigne (5.50) could also be considered. 

Italy vs Greece Match Up 

Italy have looked dangerous in attack in the qualifiers with Andrea Belotti, Ciro Immobile and Lorenzo Insigne all impressing. Andrea Belotti heads into Saturday’s clash with seven goals in his last 10 matches for club and country and will be the one to watch for the hosts.

Greece are likely to miss Konstantinos Fortounis who was their major source of goals before his injury. Striker Efthymios Koulouris has looked off colour in recent matches and should struggle against the Italians.

Andrea Belotti
Italy’s Andrea Belotti has scored seven goals in his last 10 matches (Getty Images)

Italy vs Greece Key Statistics 

  • Italy have won their last 10 matches (European Championship Qualification).
  • Italy have scored 2+ goals in their last 8 matches (European Championship Qualification).
  • Italy’s Andrea Belotti has scored 7 goals in his last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Greece have lost 4 of their last 5 matches (all competitions).

Where is Italy vs Greece?

Italy vs Greece will take place at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Italy.

When is Italy vs Greece?

Italy vs Greece will kick off at 19.45 CET on Saturday 12 October 2019.

What happened in the last Italy vs Greece match?

Italy claimed a 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture against Greece.


Italy head into Saturday’s clash knowing a win will seal a place in Euro 2020. I am tipping Italy in the -1 handicap here with Andrea Belotti backed to score.

Handicap Bet: Italy -1 @ 1.61 at bet365 - 3 Units
Score & Win Tip: Andrea Belotti & Italy @ 2.20 at bet365 - 1 Unit
First Goalscorer Tip: Andrea Belotti @ 4.50 at bet365 - 1 Unit

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Post bet analysis

2-0 win for Italy made it seven wins in a row in Euro 2020 qualifying. Andrea Belotti came on as a second half substitute and failed to find the net.
Betting Slip | 12 Oct 2019

Italy v Greece

Handicap Bet WON

Bet 3 Win 4.83
Italy -1

Score & Win Tip LOST

Bet 1 Win 2.20
Andrea Belotti & Italy

First Goalscorer Tip LOST

Bet 1 Win 4.50
Andrea Belotti
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