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Spain vs Italy Predictions & Tips – Alvaro Morata to Keep Scoring in Euro 2024

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: 18 Jun 2024
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Vedran Ostojic 18 Jun 2024
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  • Spain dominated Croatia in a recent match
  • Spain have 3 wins in the last 4 games against Italy
  • High expectations for Spain's continued success with Morata leading the way
Expired
Spain’s Alvaro Morata has scored 2 goals in his last 2 games (Getty)

Spain vs Italy Preview 


Italy didn’t look confident against Albania or in their June friendlies. Spain were impressive in their opening game against Croatia so I am siding with the Red Fury on Thursday. 
  • Spain vs Italy Preview 
  • Head to Head 
  • Spain Form 
  • Spain Squad & Team News 
  • Italy Form 
  • Italy Squad & Team News 

  • Spain have won their last 3 matches. 
  • Spain have won 3 of their last 4 matches against Italy. 
  • Spain’s Alvaro Morata has scored 2 goals in his last 2 games. 

Head to Head 


Spain have a 15-12 advantage against Italy with 13 draws in 40 matches. 

They last met in June 2023, the game being won by Spain 2-1. 

Spain Form 


Spain made a winning start to Euro 2024 as they outclassed Croatia 3-0 in the opening match at Olympiastadion in Berlin, scoring all three goals in the first half. 

The first two goals were scored in the space of four minutes as Alvaro Morata and Fabain Ruiz found the net, while the job was finished by Real Madrid’s Dani Carvajal, scoring his first goal for the national team. 

Luis de la Fuente’s side headed into Euro 2024 with high confidence after earning two convincing victories in friendly matches earlier this month.  

The Red Fury had zero troubles against minnows Andorra 5-0, while even better performance was seen three days after against Northern Ireland 5-1. Mikel Oyarzabal scoring four goals in those encounters, Pedri bagging two. 

Spain were one of the most successful teams in the EURO 2024 qualifiers, topping their group with 21 points (seven wins, one loss) ahead of Scotland, Norway, Georgia and Cyprus, scoring 25 and allowing just five goals.    

Spain Squad & Team News 


Goalkeepers: Unai Simón, David Raya, Álex Remiro,    
Defenders: Jesús Navas, Dani Carvajal, Aymeric Laporte, Nacho, Robin Le Normand, Pau Cubarsí, Marc Cucurella, Álex Grimaldo, Daniel Vivian    
Midfielders: Rodri, Fabián Ruiz, Mikel Merino, Marcos Llorente, Pedri, Martín Zubimendi, Álex Baena, Aleix García, Fermín López     
Forwards: Álvaro Morata (captain), Ferran Torres, Dani Olmo, Mikel Oyarzabal, Nico Williams, Joselu, Lamine Yamal, Ayoze Pérez 

There are no injury concerns for Spain ahead of this match. 

Álvaro Morata has the most appearances for the national team on this roster (76) and is also the top scorer with 36 goals. 

Italy Form 


Italy began their Euro title defense with a narrow 2-1 victory against Albania. Their opponents drew first blood with Nedim Bajrami scoring after just 22 seconds of play, but Azzurri bounced back quickly with goals from Alessandro Bastoni and Nicolo Barella. 

It was a well-deserved victory with 1.67-0.38 expected goals, 66% possession and 16-8 shots for Luciano Spaletti’s side. 

Gli Azzurri failed to impress in their last two test matches ahead of the tournament. Against Turkey, they ended in a 0-0 draw with 0.67-0.68 expected goals, 55% possession, and 11-10 shots. In the match against minnows Bosnia, they narrowly won 1-0, with Davide Frattesi scoring the only goal. 

Italy qualified for EURO 2024 as the 2nd placed team from Group C, winning just four of their eight games. They finished behind England, ahead of Ukraine, North Macedonia, and Malta. 

Italy Squad & Team News 


Goalkeepers: Gianluigi Donnarumma (captain), Alex Meret, Guglielmo Vicario    
Defenders: Ivan Provedel, Matteo Darmian, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Federico Dimarco, Gianluca Mancini, Alessandro Buongiorno, Federico Gatti, Andrea Cambiaso , Raoul Bellanova, Riccardo Calafiori    
Midfielders: Nicolò Barella, Jorginho, Bryan Cristante, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Davide Frattesi, Samuele Ricci, Nicolo Fagioli, Michael Folorunsho    
Forwards: Federico Chiesa, Stephan El Shaarawy, Giacomo Raspadori, Gianluca Scamacca, Riccardo Orsolini, Mateo Retegui, Mattia Zaccagni    

There are no injury concerns for Azzurri ahead of this match. 

Nicolo Barella is the top scorer on the team (10 goals), while the captain Gianluigi Donnarumma has the most appearances (63). 

Verdict

Spain left a strong impression by crushing Croatia, and they have a great record against Italy in the last few years, with three wins in four games. I will back the Red Fury to keep winning at the Euros, with Morata on the scoresheet. 

Best Bet1: Spain Win Full-Time Result @23/20 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Alvaro Morata Anytime Goalscorer @21/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Alvaro Morata First Goalscorer @5/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Spain Win
Full-Time Result
@23/20 - 2 Units
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Alvaro Morata
Anytime Goalscorer
@21/10 - 2 Units
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Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365
Alvaro Morata
First Goalscorer
@5/1 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

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20 Jun 2024

Spain v Italy