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Sweden vs Poland Predictions & Tips - Tight match expected at Euro 2020

  • Sweden vs Poland predictions for Wednesday’s Euro 2020 match
  • The Group E clash is being played at 5pm BST at Saint-Petersburg Stadium
  • Sweden are undefeated in their last 7 matches
  • I am backing under 2.5 goals and a draw
Sweden
Sweden have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 6 matches at the European Championship (Getty)
Eddy Tora 23 Jun 2021
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Sweden vs Poland Predictions


Sweden have a very strong defence which means under 2.5 goals is a strong possibility here. The Swedes will be happy with a draw and go into the Euro 2020 knockout rounds unbeaten.

  • Sweden are undefeated in their last 7 matches (all competitions).
  • Sweden have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 7 matches (all competitions).
  • Sweden have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 6 matches (European Championship).
  • Poland are undefeated in 6 of their last 7 matches (European Championship).
  • Poland have drawn 3 of their last 4 matches (European Championship).
  • Poland have drawn 3 of their last 4 matches (all competitions).

Head to Head


Sweden have a 14-8 advantage against Poland with 4 draws in 26 matches.

Sweden have won the last five encounters, the latest coming in a friendly in 2004.

Sweden Form


Sweden won five straight matches before the European Championship.

The Scandinavians started Euro 2020 with a 0-0 draw against Spain in Sevilla. They had just 15% possession with goalkeeper Robin Olsen man of the match.

Janne Andersson’s side won 1-0 against Slovakia to put themselves in a strong position in Group E. Emil Forsberg’s penalty in the 77th minute was the difference in a close match. 

Sweden Squad & Team News


Goalkeepers: Robin Olsen, Karl-Johan Johnsson, Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Defenders: Mikael Lustig, Victor Lindelöf, Andreas Granqvist (captain), Pierre Bengtsson, Ludwig Augustinsson, Filip Helander, Emil Krafth, Pontus Jansson, Marcus Danielson
Midfielders: Sebastian Larsson (vice captain), Albin Ekdal, Emil Forsberg, Gustav Svensson, Ken Sema, Viktor Claesson, Mattias Svanberg, Kristoffer Olsson, Dejan Kulusevski, Jens Cajuste
Forwards: Marcus Berg, Alexander Isak, Robin Quaison, Jordan Larsson

AIK duo Mikael Lustig and Sebastian Larsson provide experience with a combined 223 caps.

Janne Andersson is unlikely to make many changes here but Robin Quaison could be in contention to replace Marcus Berg up front.

Juventus winger Dejan Kulusevski was an unused substitute against Slovakia having and should feature off the bench.

Poland Form


Poland have been in poor form with one win in their last nine matches.

The Eagles played two friendlies to prepare for Euro 2020. They drew 1-1 against Russia and 2-2 against Iceland.

Paulo Sousa’s side suffered a 2-1 defeat to Slovakia in their opening match at Euro 2020. Karol Linetty equalised but they conceded again after Grzegorz Krychowiak was sent off in the 62nd minute.

Poland drew 1-1 against Spain last time out. Robert Lewandowski equalised after half time and they held on after having 24% possession.

Poland Squad & Team News


Goalkeepers: Wojciech Szczęsny, Łukasz Skorupski, Łukasz Fabiański
Defenders: Kamil Piątkowski, Paweł Dawidowicz, Tomasz Kędziora, Jan Bednarek, Maciej Rybus, Kamil Glik (vice-captain), Bartosz Bereszyński, Michał Helik, Tymoteusz Puchacz
Midfielders: Kacper Kozłowski, Karol Linetty, Grzegorz Krychowiak, Mateusz Klich, Jakub Moder, Przemysław Płacheta, Przemysław Frankowski, Piotr Zieliński, Kamil Jóźwiak
Forwards: Arkadiusz Milik, Robert Lewandowski (captain), Karol Świderski, Dawid Kownacki, Jakub Świerczok

Defensive midfielder Grzegorz Krychowiak is available after suspension. He should start at the expense of Jakub Moder who is carrying a knock.

Robert Lewandowski has scored 67 goals in 121 internationals.

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Verdict

Sweden will be satisfied with a draw here while Poland have to win to have any chance of progressing. With Sweden very strong defensively, I am backing a low scoring match to end in a 1-1 draw.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals Total Goals @-144.93 at BetMGM - 4 Units
Value Bet: Draw Full Time Result @240.00 at Unibet - 2 Units
Correct Score Tip: 1-1 Draw Correct Score @550.00 at Borgata Sports - 1 Unit

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