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France vs Italy Predictions & Tips – Low-Scoring Affair in Paris
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- Both sides struggled with efficiency in Euro 2024
- Italy have seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 games
- See our best predictions and tips for Friday's match in Paris
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France have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches (Getty)
France vs Italy Preview
France scored four goals in their six games at Euro 2024, two of which were own goals. Italy also struggled with efficiency, so I am predicting a low-scoring affair in Paris.
- France vs Italy Preview
- Head to Head
- France Form
- France Squad & Team News
- Italy Form
- Italy Squad & Team News
- France have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.
- France have seen under 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches.
- Italy have seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 matches.
- Italy have seen under 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Head to Head
Italy have a 19-12 advantage against France with 8 draws in 39 matches.
They last met in June 2018, game being won by France 3-1.
France Form
France collected five points in Euro 2024 group stages, kicking off the tournament with a 1-0 victory against Austria (Maximilian Wober’s own goal).
Second round match against Netherlands ended in a goalless draw, while a 1-1 draw against Poland was enough to advance to Round of 16.
Les Bleus eliminated Belgium 1-0 thanks to Jan Verthongen’s own goal in the 86th minute, proceeding to beat Portugal on penalties (no goals after 120 minutes of play).
Didier Deschamps’ side was knocked out in the semifinals by Spain 2-1 despite gaining an early lead through Randal Kolo Muani.
France Squad & Team News
| Pos. | Player | Date of birth (age) | Club |
| GK | Mike Maignan | 3 July 1995 (age 29) | AC Milan |
| GK | Alphonse Areola | 27 February 1993 (age 31) | West Ham United |
| GK | Brice Samba | 25 April 1994 (age 30) | Lens |
| DF | Lucas Digne | 20 July 1993 (age 31) | Aston Villa |
| DF | Jules Koundé | 12 November 1998 (age 25) | Barcelona |
| DF | Théo Hernandez | 6 October 1997 (age 26) | AC Milan |
| DF | Dayot Upamecano | 27 October 1998 (age 25) | Bayern Munich |
| DF | William Saliba | 24 March 2001 (age 23) | Arsenal |
| DF | Ibrahima Konaté | 25 May 1999 (age 25) | Liverpool |
| DF | Jonathan Clauss | 25 September 1992 (age 31) | Nice |
| DF | Loïc Badé | 11 April 2000 (age 24) | Sevilla |
| MF | N'Golo Kanté | 29 March 1991 (age 33) | Al-Ittihad |
| MF | Youssouf Fofana | 10 January 1999 (age 25) | AC Milan |
| MF | Mattéo Guendouzi | 14 April 1999 (age 25) | Lazio |
| MF | Warren Zaïre-Emery | 8 March 2006 (age 18) | Paris Saint-Germain |
| MF | Manu Koné | 17 May 2001 (age 23) | Roma |
| FW | Antoine Griezmann (vice-captain) | 21 March 1991 (age 33) | Atlético Madrid |
| FW | Kylian Mbappé (captain) | 20 December 1998 (age 25) | Real Madrid |
| FW | Ousmane Dembélé | 15 May 1997 (age 27) | Paris Saint-Germain |
| FW | Randal Kolo Muani | 5 December 1998 (age 25) | Paris Saint-Germain |
| FW | Marcus Thuram | 6 August 1997 (age 27) | Inter Milan |
| FW | Bradley Barcola | 2 September 2002 (age 22) | Paris Saint-Germain |
| FW | Michael Olise | 12 December 2001 (age 22) | Bayern Munich |
Michael Olise and Loic Bade are set for their debuts.
Benjamin Pavard, Adrien Rabiot and Kingsley Coman were not called up.
Eduardo Camavinga, Aurélien Tchouaméni and Ferland Mendy are injured.
Olivier Giroud retired from the national team after 137 appearances and scoring 57 goals.
Eduardo Camavinga, Aurélien Tchouaméni and Ferland Mendy are injured.
Olivier Giroud retired from the national team after 137 appearances and scoring 57 goals.
Italy Form
Italy had a disappointing run in Euro 2024, winning just one of their four games and getting eliminated in Round of 16.
They kicked off the tournament with a 2-1 win over Albania, Alessandro Bastoni and Nicolo Barella on target in the first half, followed with a 1-0 defeat to Spain.
A 1-1 draw in the third round against Croatia was enough to advance to the playoffs, Mattia Zacagni being the hero with his stoppage time equalizer.
Azzuri lost to Switzerland in the Round of 16, ending the match with 0.87-1.02 expected goals, 52% possession and 10-16 shots.
Italy Squad & Team News
| Position | Player | Date of Birth | Club |
| GK | Gianluigi Donnarumma (captain) | 25 February 1999 (age 25) | Paris Saint-Germain |
| GK | Alex Meret | 22 March 1997 (age 27) | Napoli |
| GK | Guglielmo Vicario | 7 October 1996 (age 27) | Tottenham Hotspur |
| DF | Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 4 August 1993 (age 31) | Napoli |
| DF | Alessandro Bastoni | 13 April 1999 (age 25) | Inter Milan |
| DF | Federico Dimarco | 10 November 1997 (age 26) | Inter Milan |
| DF | Andrea Cambiaso | 20 February 2000 (age 24) | Juventus |
| DF | Riccardo Calafiori | 19 May 2002 (age 22) | Arsenal |
| DF | Alessandro Buongiorno | 6 June 1999 (age 25) | Napoli |
| DF | Federico Gatti | 24 June 1998 (age 26) | Juventus |
| DF | Destiny Udogie | 28 November 2002 (age 21) | Tottenham Hotspur |
| DF | Raoul Bellanova | 17 May 2000 (age 24) | Atalanta |
| DF | Caleb Okoli | 13 July 2001 (age 23) | Leicester City |
| MF | Lorenzo Pellegrini | 19 June 1996 (age 28) | Roma |
| MF | Davide Frattesi | 22 September 1999 (age 24) | Inter Milan |
| MF | Sandro Tonali | 8 May 2000 (age 24) | Newcastle United |
| MF | Nicolò Fagioli | 12 February 2001 (age 23) | Juventus |
| MF | Samuele Ricci | 21 August 2001 (age 23) | Torino |
| MF | Marco Brescianini | 20 January 2000 (age 24) | Atalanta |
| FW | Giacomo Raspadori | 18 February 2000 (age 24) | Napoli |
| FW | Moise Kean | 28 February 2000 (age 24) | Fiorentina |
| FW | Mateo Retegui | 29 April 1999 (age 25) | Atalanta |
| FW | Mattia Zaccagni | 16 June 1995 (age 29) | Lazio |
Francesco Acerbi, Gianluca Scammaca, Rafael Toloi and Giorgio Scalvini are injured.
Stephan El Shaarawy, Nicolo Barella, Jorginho, Bryan Cristante and Federico Chiesa were not called up.
Caleb Okoli and Marco Brescianini could make their debuts.
Caleb Okoli and Marco Brescianini could make their debuts.
Verdict
Both sides struggled to produce goals in Euro 2024. Seven of Italy’s last nine games across competitions have seen under 2.5 goals, so this is the best bet.
Under 2.5 Goals
Total Goals
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Under 1.5 Goals
Total Goals
@5/2 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS
Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
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