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Germany vs Italy Predictions & Tips - Germany to Win in the Nations League

Eddy Tora

Editor

Last updated: 22 Mar 2025

Eddy Tora 22 Mar 2025

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Germany vs Italy predictions & tips in the Nations League
Tim Kleindienst scored as Germany won 2-1 in the first leg
I am backing the striker to score again in Dortmund

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Germany have won their last 2 matches against Italy (Getty)

Germany vs Italy Preview

Germany beat Italy 2-1 in Milan and return home where they didn’t concede a goal in the group stage. I am sticking with the Germans in the Nations League, Tim Kleindienst to start and score first.

Germany vs Italy Preview
Stats
HTH
Last 5 Meetings
Germany Form
Germany Squad & Team News
Italy Form
Italy Squad & Team News

Stats

Germany have won to nil in their last 3 home matches.
Germany have won their last 2 matches against Italy.
Italy have lost their last 2 matches.

HTH

Italy have a 13-10 advantage against Germany alongside 15 draws.

Last 5 Meetings

Competition	Date	Home	Score	Away
UEFA Nations League Finals	20.03.2025	Italy	1:2	Germany
UEFA Nations League A	14.06.2022	Germany	5:2	Italy
UEFA Nations League A	04.06.2022	Italy	1:1	Germany
International Friendlies	15.11.2016	Italy	0:0	Germany
EURO 2016	02.07.2016	Germany	1:1	Italy

Germany Form

Germany went unbeaten in the Nations League group stage, winning all three home games without conceding a goal. They beat Hungary 5-0, Netherlands 1-0 and Bosnia-Herzegovina 7-0.

Die Mannschaft were unable to keep a clean sheet on the road, beginning with a 2-2 draw in the Netherlands. Deniz Undav scored twice in a 2-1 win at Bosnia & Herzegovina before a 1-1 draw in Hungary.

Julian Nagelsmann’s side came back in the quarter-final first leg, overcoming a 1-0 half-time deficit to win 2-1 in Italy. Tim Kleindienst came off the bench and took four minutes to score, Leon Goretzka with the winning goal in the 76th minute.

Germany Squad & Team News

Goalkeepers: Oliver Baumann, Alexander Nübel, Stefan Ortega

Defenders: Antonio Rüdiger, Robin Koch, Jonathan Tah, Joshua Kimmich, Nico Schlotterbeck, Yann Aurel Bisseck, Maximilian Mittelstädt, David Raum

Midfielders: Pascal Gross, Leon Goretzka, Jamal Musiala, Nadiem Amiri, Jamie Leweling, Angelo Stiller, Leroy Sané, Karim Adeyemi, Robert Andrich

Forwards: Jonathan Burkardt, Tim Kleindienst, Deniz Undav

Robin Gosens and Julian Brandt miss out with Marc-André ter Stegen, Florian Wirtz and Kai Havertz injured.

Tim Kleindienst came off the bench in Italy to score his third goal in five internationals. The Borussia Mönchengladbach striker should start here.

Italy Form

Italy won their opening two games in the Nations League, both on the road. They overcame an early deficit to win 3-1 in France and beat Israel 2-0 in Budapest.

Luciano Spalletti’s side beat Israel 4-1 in Udine, either side of two encunters against Belgium. They came back to draw 2-2 in Rome, followed by a 1-0 victory in Brussels where Sandro Tonali scored the winning goal.

Qualification was assured before their final match, a 3-1 defeat to France in Milan.

Tonali scored in the 9th minute as Italy took the lead against Germany in the quarter-final first leg. They conceded twice in the second half on Thursday which gives them a mountain to climb in Dortmund.

Italy Squad & Team News

Goalkeepers: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Guglielmo Vicario, Alex Meret

Defenders: Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Andrea Cambiaso, Alessandro Buongiorno, Destiny Udogie, Riccardo Calafiori, Federico Gatti, Raoul Bellanova, Pietro Comuzzo, Matteo Ruggeri

Midfielders: Nicolò Barella, Davide Frattesi, Sandro Tonali, Samuele Ricci, Nicolò Rovella, Cesare Casadei

Forwards: Giacomo Raspadori, Moise Kean, Matteo Politano, Mattia Zaccagni, Daniel Maldini, Lorenzo Lucca

Federico Dimarco and Manuel Locatelli missed out with Mateo Retegui withdrawing due to muscular problems.

Moise Kean has scored five goals in 20 internationals, Giacomo Raspadori with seven in 27 appearances.

Verdict

Germany v Italy

Germany won 2-1 in Italy to give themselves a great chance to progress in the Nations League. Tim Kleindienst came off the bench to score in Milan, the striker to score again in Dortmund.

Germany Win

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