Poland vs Portugal - Both teams tipped to score in a tight match

Even match up should see BTTS with the draw a likely result
Portugal got past Poland in the Euro 2016 quarter-finals on the way to winning the tournament (Getty Images).
Portugal got past Poland in the Euro 2016 quarter-finals on the way to winning the tournament (Getty Images).

Poland vs Portugal Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips

Poland host Portugal in the UEFA Nations League with a draw predicted at the Stadion Śląski in Chorzów. Both nations have extremely talented players with Lewandowski and Bernardo Silva leading the way. 

Poland Form & Team News

Poland disappointed at the World Cup, dumped out of the tournament after two defeats against Senegal and Colombia. Adam Nawalka was sacked and replaced by Jerzy Brzeczek in July. Brzeczek's first two games in charge have been draws as he attempts to get Poland back on track.

A 1-1 draw in Italy in the UEFA Nations League was followed by a 1-1 result in a home friendly against Republic of Ireland. Piotr Zieliński and Mateuzs Klich got the goals, but overall Poland have to find a way to score more if they want to start winning games.

The White Eagles have a strong spine with Wojciech Szczesny, Kamil Glik, Grzegorz Krychowiak and Piotr Zielinski providing a base for forwards Robert Lewandowski and Arkadiusz Milik. Lewandowski needs some confidence after failing to score in his last three games.

Poland's Robert Lewandowski is a world class striker (Getty Images).

Portugal Form & Team News

The Seleção drew 1-1 against Croatia in a friendly before beating Italy 1-0 in Lisbon to start their UEFA Nations League campaign. André Silva scored the winner as he continues his resurgence after moving to Sevilla. 

Manager Fernando Santos has left Cristiano Ronaldo out of the squad again but Wolves winger Hélder Costa earns a debut call-up. Euro 2016 star Eder Lopes is recalled and Danilo Pereira is back after a long injury. Real Sociedad’s Kevin Rodrigues gets a chance with Raphael Guerreiro still out.

Rúben Dias and Pepe will continue their partnership in central defence. Santos has plenty of options in central midfield and Gonçalo Guedes could get a chance on the left wing ahead of Bruma. 

Poland vs Portugal Head-to-Head

Poland and Portugal have met 11 times with Portugal winning five with three draws and three Poland victories. The last three meetings have all been draws, the latest a 1-1 result in the 2016 European Championships quarter-finals with Portugal advancing on penalties. 

The match in Marseille saw Robert Lewandowski score in the 2nd minute before Renato Sanches equalised in the first half.

Poland vs Portugal Match Up

Poland’s strength comes from experienced top level performers in Szczesny, Glik, Krychowiak and Zielinski who will make things difficult for Portugal. Up front, Lewandowski is always a danger and Milik is a strong striker.

Portugal's Bernardo Silva will be an influential player against Poland (Getty Images).

Portugal’s midfield is very strong and they have danger men out wide in what might be Portugal’s best route to goal. Bernardo Silva can influence the game by popping up across the forward line.

Poland vs Portugal Key Statistics

  • Poland have drawn their last 2 matches (All competitions).
  • Poland have drawn their last 3 matches against Portugal (All competitions). 
  • Poland have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 10 matches (All competitions).
  • Portugal have scored 1 or more goals in their last 7 matches (All competitions).
  • Portugal have drawn 5 of their last 9 matches (All competitions).


Poland are always a danger with Lewandowski on the pitch but have to regroup and build confidence under new manager Brzeczek. 

Portugal are still a very good team without Ronaldo and shouldn’t be underestimated. Their midfield strength should keep them competitive here.

Best Bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – 6 Units
Value Bet: Draw @ 3.20 – 3 Units
Correct Score: 1-1 @ 6.00 – 1 Unit
Matthew Marshall 08 October 2018

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