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Serbia vs Austria Predictions & Tips – Austria Tipped to Win in the UEFA Nations League

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: 21 Mar 2025
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Vedran Ostojic 21 Mar 2025
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  • Austria dominated the first tie, Serbia scoring from their only shot on target
  • We are backing Ralph Rangnick's side to win in Belgrade on Sunday
  • Check our full match preview and team news for Serbia vs Austria
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Austria have won 3 of their last 5 matches (Getty)

Serbia vs Austria Preview 


Austria dominated the first clash, registering 24 shots and had 2.31-0.36 expected goals. I think they will have better luck in Belgrade and beat The Eagles. 
  • Serbia vs Austria Preview 
  • Stats 
  • HTH 
  • Serbia Form 
  • Austria Form 
  • Team News 
  • Predicted Starting Lineups  

Stats 


  • Serbia are winless in 9 of their last 10 matches. 
  • Austria have won 3 of their last 5 matches. 
  • Austria have won 2 of their last 3 matches against Serbia. 

HTH 


Serbia have a 3-2 advantage against Austria with 1 draw in 6 matches. 

Last week’s clash in Wien has ended without a winner 1-1. 

Serbia Form 


After their disappointing run in EURO 2024, Serbia also underperformed in the UEFA Nations League A, claiming just one win in six games to end 3rd behind Spain and Denmark, ahead of Switzerland.  

Their only victory was secured in the 3rd round, beating Switzerland 2-0 at home in mid-October with Aleksandar Mitrovic and Nico Elvedi (own goal) appearing on the scoresheet. They failed to connect though and lost the follow up clash to Spain 3-0.  

Dragan Stojkovic’s side wrapped up the campaign with a 1-1 draw against Switzerland in Zurich and a goalless draw against Denmark at home in mid-November. 

The Eagles were lucky to get a 1-1 draw in last week’s first leg against Austria, Lazar Samardzic hitting a long-range shot which was Serbia’s only attempt on target. 

Austria Form 


Austria were close to securing direct promotion to the UEFA Nations League A in late 2024, ending 2nd in Group C with 11 points (three wins, two draws and one loss), just behind Norway, ahead of Slovenia and Kazakhstan.  

Das Team recovered from a 2-1 loss to Norway in September and won their next three matches against Kazakhstan 4-0 & 2-0 and Norway 5-1. Christoph Baumgartner recorded three goals and one assist in these encounters.  

Austria’s winning run has ended when they needed points the most, claiming just one point in the final match against Slovenia, conceding late goal. 

Ralph Rangnick’s side deserved much more than a 1-1 draw against Serbia last week in Wien. Marko Arnautovic provided an assist for Michael Gregoritsh in the first half, but they wasted plenty of chances and conceded in the second half. Austria had 2.31-0.36 expected goals 69% possession and 24-8 shots. 

Team News 


The home side can’t count on services of injured, Andrija Zivkovic, Strahinja Pavlovic, Filip Terzic and Nikola Milenkovic, while Filip Mladenovic is back after serving a one-match suspension. Vanja Milikovic-Savic and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic were not called up. 

There are no reported injuries or suspensions for Ralph Rangnick’s side. Stefen Posch and Andreas Weimann were not called up even though they played the last UNL clash against Slovenia. Marko Arnautovic has 122 appearances and scored 39 goals for the national team. 

Predicted Starting Lineups  


Serbia: Petrovic, Babic, Mimovic, Erakovic, Mladenovic, N. Maksimovic, Lukic, A. Maksimovic, Samardzic, Vlahovic, Birmancevic 

Austria: Schlager, Querfeld, Lienhart, Trauner, Mwene, Grigoritsch, Seiwald. Schmid, Baumgartner, Wimmer, Arnautovic 

Verdict

Serbia scored from their only shot on target in Wien last week, while Austria dominated the game but missed opportunities. Ralph Rangnick’s side look like the better team at the moment, so I see value in backing them to win in Belgrade. 

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