Portugal U19 vs Spain U19 - Over 2.5 goals expected in exciting encounter

Tournament favourites likely to attack in Yerevan
portugal u19
Portugal beat Italy in their opening match at the 2019 UEFA U19 European Championship (Getty Images)

Portugal U19 vs Spain U19 Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


Portugal and Spain meet at Banants Stadion in a high profile UEFA U19 European Championship match. Both nations have quality attacks and have been scoring plenty of goals, I am avoiding the win market and backing over 2.5 and over 3.5 goals.

Portugal U19 Form & Team News


Portugal got their U19 European Championship title defence off to a solid start with a 3-0 win against Italy. Gonçalo Cardoso headed home a corner in the first half, Gonçalo Ramos and Felix Correia scoring just after the break in a comfortable win.

The victory followed three straight wins at the World Youth Festival in Toulon where Portugal finished fifth. Those recent matches give Portugal a form advantage against Spain but they represent a significant step up from a disappointing Italy side.

Manager Filipe Ramos is unlikely to make many changes to his side against Spain. All of his starters ply their trade for Portugal’s big three of Porto, Sporting and Benfica except Boavista’s Gonçalo Cardoso. Victory will ensure an early passage into the semi-finals and he can rest his stars in the final group game against host nation Armenia.

Portugal U19 are priced at 2.75 to beat Italy U19 with a draw paying 3.50. Goals might be a better option here and over 2.5 goals can be backed at 1.75 which is one of my tips.

Goncalo Cardoso
Portugal's U19 central defender Goncalo Cardoso plays for Boavista (Getty Images)

Spain U19 Form & Team News


Spain’s U19 European Championship campaign got off to a winning start with a 4-1 win against host nation Armenia. Jandro Orellana gave Spain the lead and assisted Juan Miranda who made it 2-1, Alejandro Marqués and Víctor Mollejo wrapping up a comfortable victory.

Manager Santi Denia has a strong squad at his disposal including wingers Bryan Gil and Ferran Torres. Ander Barrenetxea and Víctor Mollejo came off the bench against Armenia which highlights their strength in depth.

Barrenetxea replaced Moha and could start against Portugal but few changes are expected. Barcelona striker Abel Ruiz didn’t get off the bench against Armenia as he continues to recover from injury.

Spain are priced at 2.30 to beat Portugal which shows what a tight contest this should be. Many punters will snap up that price with youngsters from Barcelona, Real Madrid, Valencia, Manchester City, Sevilla and Atletico Madrid in Spain’s U19 squad.

Portugal U19 vs Spain U19 Head to Head


Portugal and Spain have met on eight occasions, Spain holding a 3-2 lead with three draws. The latest encounter was a friendly in November 2017, Portugal winning 2-1 at the Estádio do Bonfim.

Portugal U19 vs Spain U19 Match Up


Portugal have the advantage of recently competing at the World Youth Festival in Toulon. That experience could be a difference here with many players used to playing with each other and building combinations.

Spain have a quality squad but struggled at the start of 2019. They were beaten 3-0 by Italy and failed to beat Scotland and Slovenia. As such, their win against Armenia may not have been as convincing as it appears on paper.

Ferran Torres
Valencia winger Ferran Torres is an important player for the Spain U19 side (Getty Images)

Portugal U19 vs Spain U19 Key Statistics


  • Portugal U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 12 matches in all competitions. 
  • Portugal U19 have seen over 3.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches (UEFA U19 European Championship).
  • Portugal U19 have scored 3+ goals in 6 of their last 8 matches in all competitions.
  • Spain U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches against Portugal U19 (all competitions).
  • Spain U19 have scored 4+ goals in 2 of their last 3 matches in all competitions.

Verdict


This is a tricky match and I am going to avoid the win markets. Portugal and Spain have an abundance of attacking talent so I am siding with over 2.5 goals while over 3.5 goals is also worth a shout.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 at bet365 - 5 Units
Value Bet: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.90 at bet365 - 2 Units
Correct Score Tip: 2-2 Draw @ 10.00 at bet365 - 1 Unit

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