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2019 Northern Trust Betting Tips - Brooks Koepka the player to beat at first FedEx Cup play-off event

PGA Tour’s top 125 players compete at the Liberty National in the first of three FedEx Cup play-off tournaments
brooks koepka
Brooks Koepka is the PGA Tour's most dominant player and is favourite to win the 2019 Northern Trust (Getty Images)

2019 Northern Trust Golf Preview, Betting Tips & Live Stream


The first event of the 2019 FedEx Cup playoffs begins on Thursday when the top 125 players on the PGA Tour’s points list compete at The Northern Trust. Ahead of the first tee shot at Liberty National Country Club, we profile the leading contenders and best outsiders, look at the key stats, and pick our best bets for the tournament.

2019 Northern Trust Betting Odds


The top 10 contenders to win The Northern Trust outright based on their pre-tournament odds. All odds provided by bet365 and correct on 8 August, 2019.

  • Brooks Koepka (9.00)
  • Rory McIlroy (12.00)
  • Jon Rahm (17.00)
  • Dustin Johnson (17.00)
  • Justin Thomas (19.00)
  • Justin Rose (21.00)
  • Patrick Cantlay (23.00)
  • Rickie Fowler (23.00)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (23.00)
  • Webb Simpson (26.00)

2019 The Northern Trust Top Contenders


Brooks Koepka (9.00)


Brooks Koepka has dashed the myth that he only delivers at the majors. The World No. 1 enters The Northern Trust following victory two weeks ago at the WGC St Jude Invitational, which came after a tied-fourth at the British Open – despite never really getting going at Royal Portrush. 

There is a strong belief that if Koepka is motivated, he can’t be stopped. Motivation should not be hard to find with the FedEx Cup trophy and riches on the horizon. Koepka should be right in the mix this week.

Rory McIlroy (12.00)


In his past seven strokeplay events, Rory McIlroy has one title (Canadian Open) and four more top-10 finishes, proving his outing at the British Open was nothing more than an unfortunate blip. 

However, his inability to contend against Koepka in Sunday’s final round at the WGC was the latest example of McIlroy’s struggles to close out tournaments from the final group. Perhaps not the title, but a high finish could be in store for McIlroy.

Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy was in contention at the WGC St Jude Invitational before fading in the final round (Getty Images)

Jon Rahm (17.00)


There have been two missed cuts in his past nine events, but there has also been a title – at the Zurich Classic – and four more top-10 finishes. In the last nine months, Jon Rahm has won three titles worldwide and claimed 14 top-10s.

The Spaniard has the form to be right in the mix at The Northern Trust. This will be his first time playing at the Liberty, so that could be a factor, but there will be few surprises to see Rahm contending come Sunday.

Dustin Johnson (17.00)


Since a pair of runner-up finishes at the US Masters and the PGA Championship, it has been a subdued summer for Dustin Johnson, with two top-20 finishes his best efforts from five events. However, the World No. 2 is a two-time champion at this event – albeit at different venues – and is familiar with the Liberty course having played it in 2009, 2013, and 2017, the latter for the President’s Cup. It would be unwise to completely dismiss DJ’s chances, but as third favourite, his ordinary form does not warrant the relatively short odds.

Justin Thomas (19.00)


Justin Thomas narrowly missed out on delivering us a win at the WGC St Jude Invitational, finishing just two places outside our top-10 tip. The wrist injury that scuppered part of his season seems to be behind him and he has reeled off three successive top-15 finishes heading into The Northern Trust. Thomas’ odds for a top-20 finish at Liberty look enticing and that is where we expect him to place.

Justin Thomas
Justin Thomas has finished in the top-15 in his past three events worldwide (Getty Images)

2019 Northern Trust Outsiders


Rickie Fowler (23.00)


Rickie Fowler enters The Northern Trust following a tied-sixth at the British Open – his best finish at a major since the 2018 US Masters. The American has a good record at the Liberty, having been part of the United States’ dominant President’s Cup team in 2017 and placing tied-ninth at this event in 2013.

Tommy Fleetwood (23.00)


Tommy Fleetwood has not won since January last year, but arrives at the Liberty following a stunning performance at the British Open to finish a comfortable runner-up and a tied-fourth at the WGC St Jude. His FedEx Cup debut last year saw Fleetwood go tied-20th, tied-24th, tied-eighth and tied-11th so he clearly revels in these conditions and the occasion.

Webb Simpson (26.00)


Were it not for JT Poston’s sublime final round at the Wyndham Championship last week, Webb Simpson would have claimed his first title of the season. Instead, he had to settle for a second successive runner-up finish, making it three second-places in his past five events. Simpson also has two top-15s from his past two visits to the Liberty, so will fancy his chances of contending this week.

Adam Scott (41.00)


The winner of this tournament when it was last held at the Liberty in 2013, Adam Scott is somehow slipping under the radar of the bookmakers, despite three top-10 finishes in his past three PGA Tour starts, including at the PGA Championship and US Open . At these odds, Scott is worth considering for a top-20 finish.

Adam Scott
Adam Scott has finished in the top-10 in three of his past five events and is a former champion at the Liberty course (Getty Images)

2019 Northern Trust Live Stream


The Northern Trust and many other leading golf tournaments are available to watch online through live streaming services, making it easy to view the action on the go.

Bet365 has a wide-ranging live streaming service, with golf, tennis, football, horse racing and many other sports available to watch live. No subscriptions are required, simply have a funded Sports account or place a bet in the previous 24 hours to gain access to all of bet365’s live sport.

Geo-restrictions may apply so be sure to visit bet365 for their full terms and conditions.

2019 The Northern Trust Key Stats


  • There are seven former champions competing at the 2019 Northern Trust: Bryson Dechambeau, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Nick Watney, and Sergio Garcia.
  • Webb Simpson was the 36-hole leader at the Liberty in 2009 before finishing tied-15th and was tied-second after 36 holes in 2013 before finishing eighth.
  • Of all the players competing at the 2019 Northern Trust, Justin Thomas ranks second for strokes gained: tee-to-green
  • Of all the players competing at the 2019 Northern Trust, Brooks Koepka ranks in the top-10 of ball striking (third), bogey avoidance (10th) and strokes gained: tee-to-green (ninth).

2019 Northern Trust Betting Odds

We can’t look any further than Brooks Koepka to win the 2019 Northern Trust. The World No. 1 is in typically scintillating form and if he is focused and motivated, he should win his fourth title of the season to take a stranglehold on the FedEx Cup race. We also expect successful tournaments for Justin Thomas and Adam Scott.

Winner: Brooks Koepka @9.00 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Top 20 Finish: Justin Thomas @2.10 at bet365 - 3 Units
Top Australian: Adam Scott @3.50 at bet365 - 2 Units

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Post bet analysis

Brooks Koepka couldn't get it done for us this week, but we still came out well on top with a tied-12th for Justin Thomas and a tied-fourth for Adam Scott.
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