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Caulfield Cup Tips & Predictions - Can Incentivise be beaten at Caulfield?

  • The Caulfield Cup is run on Saturday, October 16
  • The Group 1 is one of the Melbourne Spring Carnival majors
  • The feature race is run over 2400 metres
  • Can Incentivise continue his winning run?
Caulfield Cup Tips
Incentivise will run as a short priced facourite in the 2021 Caulfield Cup. (Getty)
Justin Darcy 14 Oct 2021
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The Caulfield Cup is considered one the three majors of the Melbourne Spring Carnival and history could be made in 2021 with one of the shortest-priced favourites in history.

This staying feature dates back to 1879 and it has many champions on the winners list, with stars such as Rising Fast, Ming Dynasty, Might And Power, Northerly and last year's winner Verry Elleegant.

This year, Incentivise will run as one of the shortest priced favourites in history after claiming the Makybe Diva Stakes and Turnbull Stakes double. Will he make it three in a row in the Caulfield Cup?

Caulfield Cup Tips

Best Bet – Incentivise

Wet ground, dry ground, a mile, 2400m, this bloke has it all and he has certainly convinced me that he is one of Australia’s premier horses after making it back-to-back WFA Group One wins in the Turnbull Stakes last start.

What was most impressive about last start was that Incentivise went hard early, and set the race up for the backmarkers, but when they challenged, he found something within to kick and win which very few horses can do.

This has been his target race for the spring en-route to the Melbourne Cup and without any internationals in the event, he just picks himself as the horse to beat.

Incentivise - 2.40Caulfield Cup Best BetBET HERE
New customers only. 18+ T&Cs and wagering requirements apply.

Next Best Bet – Young Werther

It is hard to see him turning the tables on Incentivise (although there is a case with the wide draw) after he had every chance to get past him in the Turnbull, but frankly, nothing was getting past him there and I don’t see anything getting past him here.

The boxes Young Werther ticks is that he will love a genuine tempo that we are expecting and he is a proper stayer with a touch of brilliance, so the 2400m is right up his alley. 

The wet track is ideal having placed on two soft tracks previously, he gets in light with 52kg and looks to me as the one who can upset Incentivise if he was to have an off day.

Young Werther - 11.00Caulfield Cup Next Best BetBET HERE
New customers only. 18+ T&Cs and wagering requirements apply.

Value Bet – The Chosen One

He has been going a lot better this prep than he was this time last year when he ran less than a length third to Verry Elleegant and Anthony Van Dyck (an arguably stronger edition of the race) last year.

That was a deteriorating soft six track and we know this track is likely to be wetter this year is the Bureau is correct, so he is going to handle the ground.

The Chosen One has finished fourth in a Melbourne Cup, so if any horses are found wanting on this wet track, this is the one that will come charging at them late.

The Chosen One - 13.00Caulfield Cup Value BetBET HERE
New customers only. 18+ T&Cs and wagering requirements apply.

Caulfield Cup FAQs

When is the 2021 Caulfield Cup?

The 2021 Caulfield Cup is scheduled to run on Saturday, October 16 at Caulfield Racecourse in Melbourne.

What distance is the Caulfield Cup?

The Caulfield Cup is run over a distance of 2400 metres.

Who won the 2020 Caulfield Cup?

Verry Elleegant won the 2020 Caulfield Cup.

How can I live stream the 2021 Caulfield Cup?

Visit our live streaming hub for all the information on how to live stream the Caulfield Cup and all other Australian horse races.



Incentivise is the best bet to fulfil his huge potential, while Young Werther and The Chosen One are value alternatives.

Best Bet: Incentivise To Win $2.40 at Ladbrokes Australia - 8 Units
Next Best Bet: Young Werther Each-Way $11.00 at Neds - 1 Unit
Value Bet: The Chosen One Each-Way $13.00 at Bookmaker - 1 Unit

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