Best Bet - Montefilia
This dual Group One winner rocketed into favouritism for the Metropolitan off the back of this eye-catching run from off the speed behind She's Ideel, who had the gun run throughout via the Kingston Town Stakes.
Yet to prove herself past 2000m in her three-year-old season, we will well and truly find out now whether Montefilia can run out that trip as a more seasoned and stronger mare now, who has had a more conventional lead-up.
While gate 17 isn't ideal for Bowman, they'll come in a few slots if the emergencies don't get a run and with the ability to handle all conditions, Hugh could simply just be on the best horse in the race.
Next Best Bet - Entente
Another who won't be bothered with whatever the conditions are is this son of Dundeel, who is backing up for a third week in a row, which is my main query, albeit the Waterhouse & Bott yard are absolutely flying.
Entente is a galloper that I've always had a stack of time for, a gelding that was winning a Port Macquarie Cup and competing in a Geelong Cup last spring, and mainly just doing it on ability then.
Against many plodders, he's one of the few in this line up with a bit of class and better suited when he has a bunny to follow, that may just play out with Hush Writer and Spirit Ridge pushing forward.
Value - Warning
The 2019 VRC Derby winner isn't the easiest horse to catch, with the five-year-old breaking a long winning drought over the Brisbane Carnival via the Group Three Chairman's at Doomben.
To be fair on Warning, he's produced some cracking runs in better races, motoring home for a one-length defeat in the Turnbull last year, a super effort at WFA level, so he certainly has the class when right.
Keeping residual fitness from the winter, the five-year-old has flashed home fresh with 61kg on September 11 behind a handy Floating Artist, making the lead-up near on faultless for this Metropolitan attempt.