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2020 Breeders' Cup Turf Tips - 7/2 shot to Tarn on the style at Keeneland

jon-vine
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Last updated: 05 Nov 2020
Jon Vine 05 Nov 2020
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  • We take a look through the field set to run in the 2020 Breeder's Cup Turf
  • The Breeders' Cup Turf is the co-main events on day two of the 2020 Breeders' Cup
  • Magical sits just ahead of Mogul and Tarnawa in the betting
  • Lord North and Medhaayih will represent John Gosden
  • We look through the form and provide our Breeders' Cup tips
Expired
Breeders' Cup Turf found
Found (left) beating Golden Horn (right) in the last Breeders' Cup Turf to be staged at Keeneland in 2015. (Getty)

We take a look through the odds for this massive race on day two of the Breeders' Cup and provide readers with our 2020 Breeders' Cup Turf tips.

Day two of the Breeders' Cup features a number of lucrative Group Ones. The biggest race to be staged on grass is the Breeders' Cup Turf, a race which has been won by greats like Conduit, Sir Nicholas Abbey and Enable in recent years.

A handful of Grade One winners will clash in the 2020 Breeders' Cup Turf. We've looked through the odds and the form, before coming up with our best bet.

2020 Breeders' Cup Turf Odds


Name
Best Odds
Magical5/2
Mogul7/2
Tarnawa7/2
Lord North7/1
Bar11/1

*Odds taken from bet365 on 5/11/20*

2020 Breeders' Cup Turf Favourite

Aidan O'Brien will be looking for a seventh victory in the Breeders' Cup Turf this weekend, and it's his mare, Magical who tops the current betting.

Runner-up to Enable in this race two-years-ago, Magical has collected six Group Ones since then. O'Brien's six-year-old defeated Ghaiyyath - the top-rated flat horse in the world - at Leopardstown on her penultimate start, and didn't appreciate very testing ground at Ascot last time out.

2020 Breeders' Cup Turf Runners

Sitting just behind his stablemate in the market is Mogul, who fulfilled his potential with a Group One win in the Grand Prix de Paris on his last start.

Tarnawa has collected two Group One victories out in France this season, and carries an unbeaten seasonal record into the 2020 Breeders' Cup Turf.

Royal Ascot winner, Lord North will step up to 12-furlongs for the first time. He, however, looks an out-and-out mile-and-a-quarter horse to me, and he's been beaten on both occasions the word "firm" has featured in the going description.

Bricks And Mortar struck a rare blow for the home runners in last years' Turf, becoming just the fifth US-based horse to win this Grade One in the last 20 years.

Channel Maker has won two Grade Ones from the front in recent starts and has to be respected. The fact he's never run at Keeneland, despite running 34 times in his career, suggests that William Mott is worried the track won't suit his stable star.

Richard Mandella will be hoping that four-time Grade Two winner United can hand him a third win in the Breeders' Cup Turf. Arklow and Red King will also take up their entry, with Mehdaayih and Donjah bolstering the European contingent.

tarnawa
Tarnawa winning at the Curragh in 2019. (Getty)

2020 Breeders' Cup Turf Tips

Like his full brother, Japan, Mogul has improved with every start as a three-year-old, and he poses a significant danger. However, only five three-year-olds have won the Turf in the last 25 years, so history is against the younger brigade.

United and Channel Maker are both expected to go forward from wide stalls, and they will make sure this turns into a stern test of stamina. Magical won't be too far off the early pace is she starts well from stall two. However, I feel the race will be run to suit a powerful closer, and TARNAWA ticks practically every box.

Dermot Weld's four-year-old announced her intentions for the upcoming campaign in the Give Thanks Stakes, where Tarnawa comfortably saw off future Blandford Stakes winner Cayenne Pepper, when giving her younger rival ten pounds at the weights.

I feel Tarnawa's win in the Prix Vermeille was underappreciated, given hot-favourite Raabihah underperformed. Even at the top of her game, though, I don't think Raabihah could have matched the flying finish Christophe Soumillon's mount produced that day, as she cruised to an excellent three-length success.

Tarnawa then dropped down in trip to secure her second Group One of the season, edging out a classy, tenacious sort on Alpine Star in the Prix l'Opera.

Although she has won on heavy ground, Tarnawa is certainly more comfortable on better going and I'm convinced that 12-furlongs is her best trip. Dermot Weld's filly has taken her game to a whole new level this season, and Soumillon - who won this race on Shirocco in 2005 - is the perfect jockey to execute the "fast and late" tactics.

Verdict

Tarnawa has been in the form of her life this season, winning two Group Ones and a Group Three in impressive fashion. The race could be run to suit those coming from off the pace, and Christophe Soumillion is the perfect jockey to guide Tarnawa to victory.

2020 Breeders' Cup Turf Tips: Tarnawa Straight Win @7/2 at bet365 - 20 Units
Tarnawa
Straight Win
@7/2 - 20 Units
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