Grand National Festival 2024 Tips - April 11-13

Grand National 2024 Trends - Key stats and top performers

Jon Vine

Editor

Last updated: 10 Apr 2024

Jon Vine 10 Apr 2024

Share this article

Key trends and stats ahead for the 2024 Grand National
This famous handicap takes place at Aintree on Saturday 13th April
Galia Des Liteaux came out best at the trends

Harry Skelton riding Galia Des Liteaux clear the last to win The eventmasters.co.uk Hampton Novices' Chase at Warwick Racecourse. (Getty)

We're now weeks away from the 2024 renewal of the Grand National. The final field may have been reduced to 34 runners this year, but we can still look forward to a fantastic renewal of this famous handicap come April 13th.

Before last year's Grand National, I gathered a list of key recurring ten-year trends that could help point punters in the right direction. Corach Rambler ticked off 11 of the key trends and fulfilling the all-important criteria below stood him in good stead, as Lucinda Russell's star went on to justify favourism with a comfortable victory.

Here are those key trends again, with Corach Rambler's information added, and a look at how this year's entrants performance against the trends.

2024 Grand National Key Trends

11 of the last 11 winners ran in a high-profile race last time out
11 of the last 11 winners had run at least 3 times that season
10 of the last 11 winners were aged between 8 and 11
9 of the last 11 winners had started at least 10 races over fences
9 of the last 11 winners had won no more than two handicap chases
9 of the last 11 winners had their last run in February or March
9 of the last 11 winners were rated 146 or higher
9 of the last 11 winners finished no worse than 5th last time out
9 of the last 11 winners had won or placed over 3m2f or further
8 of the last 11 winners carried 10-13 or less
8 of the last 11 winners had won that season
8 of the last 11 winners had never run over the Grand National fences before
8 of the last 11 winners had won a chase over at least 3m

2024 Grand National Trend Setters

Name	Score	Missing Trends
Galia Des Liteaux	12/13	Only 9 Chase Starts
Conflated	11/13	Weight	No Win That Season
I Am Maximus	11/13	Weight	Only 9 Chase Starts
Eldorado Allen	11/13	No Win That Season	Pulled Up LTO
Ain't That A Shame	11/13	No Run Since January	Jumped National Fences Before
Latenightpass	11/13	Only 8 Chase Starts (19 P2P)	Jumped National Fences Before
Adamantly Chosen	11/13	Only 7YO	Low Profile Race LTO
The Goffer	11/13	Only 7YO	Never Won Over 3m
Panda Boy	11/13	Only 9 Chase Starts	No Win That Season

We put the top 38 entrants for the 2024 Grand National against the trends above. The majority of the runners ticked off either nine or ten of the 13 key trends. No horse managed a perfect 13 from 13, but GALIA DES LITEAUX came agonisingly close.

Dan Skelton's mare was only let down by the fact that she hasn't started 10 or more chases under rules. Neither of the last two winners of the Grand National, Noble Yeats and Corach Rambler had reached double figures in chasing appearances either, so I doubt whether Galia Des Liteaux's fans will be put off by that solitary missing trend.

Eight entrants ticked off 11 of the 13 key trends, including Tom Ellis' Latenightpass and Joe Tizzard's Eldorado Allen. Fancied runners I Am Maximus and Conflated did well too, along with Irish counterparts Ain't That A Shame, Adamantly Chosen, The Goffer and Panda Boy.

2024 Grand National Trends Shirkers

Name	Score
Bronn	7/10
Mahler Mission	8/10
Janidil	8/10
Classic Getaway	8/10
Farouk D'Alene	8/10
Mr Incredible	8/10
Chemical Energy	8/10
Glengouly	8/10

The worst that any of the 38 entrants achieved was seven out of 13, a score achieved by BRONN. Willie Mullins' entrant is only seven years old and is yet to win a chase over three miles. Poor seasonal form and a lack of experience also counted against the top trends shirker.

Seven horses ticked off just eight of the 13 key trends, including the fancied Mahler Mission, who performed surprisingly poorly. Willie Mullins' quartet of Janidil, Classic Getaway, Mr Incredible and Glengouly only matched Mahler Mission's score of eight, as did Gordon Elliott's duo of Farouk D'alene and Chemical Energy.

Verdict

Galiea Des Liteaux was the top trendsetter for the 2024 Grand National.

Galia Des Liteaux

2024 Grand National

@50/1 - 5 Units

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365