2018 Emirates Stakes Tips & Betting Predictions


DateSaturday November 10, 2018
TrackFlemington
Distance2000m
ClassGroup 1
Race TypeWeight-for-age
Prize Money$2 million
Age3YO+

The Emirates Stakes runs on the final day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival and is considered one of the best betting races of the Australian spring.

Held on Day 4 of the carnival, the Emirates Stakes is often targeted by trainers as the field is generally wide open without there being a short-priced favourite.

It gives the Cox Plate runners something to chase following the Moonee Valley feature and the Emirates Stakes draws in a big crowd at Flemington every year.

Emirates Stakes betting card 2018


Held on the same day as the Darley Classic, the Emirates Stakes betting card features a quality nine-race schedule with stakes races throughout.

Race No.
Race Name
1Maribyrnong Plate
2Foundation Plate
3Rating 96 Trophy
4Sensis Trophy
5Queen Elizabeth Stakes
6Matriarch Stakes
7Darley Classic
8Emirates Stakes
9Emirates Handicap

2018 Emirates Stakes betting selections & tips


We will have expert tips for the Emirates Stakes available when the final-field markets are released by bookmakers.

Being such a big race, bookmakers will have early futures markets open.

Emirates Stakes history


The Emirates Stakes was formerly known as the Mackinnon Stakes from 1937-2015 and changed names when major airline Emirates took over the sponsorship rights in 2016.

That created a change in the schedule of the Melbourne Cup Carnival, which now sees the Emirates Stakes run on the final day alongside the Darley Classic for the sprinters.

Victoria Racing decided to run the Emirates Stakes on the final day of the carnival to attract the runners left over from the Cox Plate. The Emirates Stakes acts as a better race for the Cox Plate runners as opposed to the Melbourne Cup, which is a much bigger rise in distance.

First run in 1869, the Emirates Stakes has established itself as one of the premier weight-for-age races in Australia and it’s only growing in popularity as more-and-more Cox Plate runners line up in the Flemington Day 4 feature.

When run as the Mackinnon Stakes on the first day of the carnival, it was regarded as a key lead-up to the Melbourne Cup run on the following Tuesday. It yielded four Melbourne Cup winners, including Rogan Josh and Let’s Elope.

Now not used as a lead-up to the Melbourne Cup, the Emirates Stakes acts as a grand final for the middle-distance runners during the Cup Carnival and it’s a great way to bring the carnival to a close. It’s the second-to-last race during the carnival and punters will wait for the final Group 1 to be played out.

Emirates Stakes betting guide


Due to the even nature of the Emirates Stakes, favourites have a poor record in the 2000m feature on the final day of the carnival.

There has been only one favourite to win in the last 10 years and during that stretch, only three favourites managed to place in the Emirates Stakes.

Because the field is so even, bookmakers often offer loose odds for the favourite, which can influence the statistics regarding favourites. For instance, 2017 winner Tosen Stardom was well-backed at 6.50 in the betting but wasn’t classed as the favourite.

The lack of short-priced favourites in recent history makes for a good each way betting race but there have been some hot-pots to get beaten. Ocean Park, El Segundo, The Phantom Chance and Surfers Paradise were all beaten at short odds.

Typically regarded as a “good horses” race, the Emirates Stakes has been taken out by some champions of the turf. So You Think, Lonhro, Paris Lane, Better Loosen Up and Rubiton were all successful.

The best jockey to follow is Damien Oliver who has five wins from 19 rides. Bart Cummings was the most successful trainer with five wins from 20 starters.

Since 1983, there has been seven winners paying double figures with favourites winning nine and placing five times during that stretch.

The best barrier to follow is barrier four. Seven winners have jumped from barrier four with four winners coming from barriers 2, 3, 5 and 8.

Emirates Stakes form guide


The Cox Plate is a big form guide for the Emirates Stakes but punters should look for the runners that didn’t ensure a tough run at Moonee Valley.

Due to the schedule change, the impact of the Emirates Stakes isn’t as big as it used to be, but many runners come out of the Emirates Stakes and head to the Sandown Classic.

Run a week following the Melbourne Cup Carnival, the Sandown Classic is a good race for those staying in work and the Emirates Stakes is a good form guide with The Taj Mahal winning in 2017 following his fourth placing in the Emirates.

Recent Emirates Stakes winners


Year
Race Winner
2017Tosen Stardom
2016Awesome Rock
2015Gailo Chop
2014Happy Trails
2013Side Glance
2012Alcopop
2011Glass Harmonium
2010So You Think
2009Scenic Shot
2008Thesio
2007Sirmione
2006Desert War
2005Lad Of The Manor
2004Grand Armee
2003Casual Pass
2002Lonhro
2001La Bella Dama
2000Oliver Twist
1999Rogan Josh
1998Champagne
1997Ebony Grosve
1996All Our Mob
1995Danewin
1994Paris Lane
1993The Phantom
1992Veandercross
1991Let’s Elope
1990Better Loosen Up
1989Horlicks
1988Empire Rose