2018 Kennedy Oaks Tips & Betting Predictions


DateThursday November 8, 2018
TrackFlemington
Distance2500m
ClassGroup 1
Race TypeSet weights
Prize Money$1 million
Age3YO fillies

The sole Group 1 race on Day 3 of the Melbourne Cup Carnival, the Kennedy (Victoria) Oaks steals the show.

Held on Ladies Day at Flemington, the Oaks is the biggest staying event for fillies in Victoria and that’s evident by the past winners of the race, which includes Jameka, Dear Demi and Miss Finland.

It always produces quality winners and it attracts big bets from across Australia and around the world. On the glamour day at Flemington, the Oaks stands out among the other races.

Kennedy Oaks betting card 2018


Held on the Thursday, the Kennedy Oaks is the lone Group 1 on the quality betting card.

Race No.
Race Name
1Drinkwise Plate
2Twitter Trophy
3Subzero Handicap
4Country Final
5TCL TV Stakes
6Absolut Stakes
7Seppelt Wines Stakes
8Kennedy Oaks
9Kennedy Plate

2018 Kennedy Oaks betting selections & tips


Kennedy Oaks history


The Oaks is a time-honoured race held on the third day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival at Flemington.

Held two days after the Melbourne Cup, the Oaks features the best staying fillies and it has always been one of the highlight races of the carnival. 

Known as the VRC Oaks from 1861-2006, Kennedy took over sponsorship in 2017 and there’s plenty of history attached to the race. It is held on Ladies' Day, the most fashionable race day during carnival and the crowd attendance is significantly building over the last few years.

Over 70,000 people attend the glamourous race day each year and although the “Fashions on the Field” is a big attraction, punters look towards the Oaks as a major betting race.

Some of Australia’s best staying fillies have won the Oaks, including Light Fingers, Surround and Research. They’re greats of the Australian turf and we haven’t yet mentioned more recent names such as Miss Finland, Samantha Miss and Caulfield Cup winner Jameka.

Throughout the course of history there has been many critics stating that the Oaks shouldn’t be held over 2500m on the third day of the carnival, but the Oaks tradition is strong and it’s unlikely to change any time soon.

Kennedy Oaks betting guide


It’s usually the classy fillies that take home the Kennedy Oaks and punters should look for the favourites when betting this race.

Four of the last 10 favourites have won the Oaks and four have failed to place, including Yankee Rose at 1.90, which finished a disappointing 14th after running well in the Cox Plate prior.

Favourites have a good overall record with 15 favourites winning since 1983 and many of them were well-backed to win. Faint Perfume (1.70), Samantha Miss (1.90) and Tristanagh (1.35) were some of the more heavily-supported winners of the Oaks.

There have been only five winners pay double-figure odds in the last 35 years.

Barrier draws often don’t make much difference over this distance but barriers two and seven have yielded the most winners recently.

Kennedy Oaks form guide


The major lead-up to the Oaks is the Group 2 Wakeful Stakes. Held on Victoria Derby Day, the key form guide has produced some quality winners over the years.

The Cox Plate has been used in the past as the three-year-old fillies get into the Cox Plate with 49kg on their back, but they don’t always run well in the Oaks. Samantha Miss was an exception in 2008 when she placed in the Cox Plate before taking out the Oaks.

2017 winner Pinot took out the Group 3 Ethereal Stakes at Caulfield prior to her win, but easily the best race to keep tabs on is the Wakeful, which has produced five recent winners.

Recent Kennedy Oaks winners


Year
Oaks Winner
2017Pinot
2016Lasqueti Spirit
2015Jameka
2014Set Square
2013Kirramosa
2012Dear Demi
2011Mosheen
2010Brazilian Pulse
2009Faint Perfume
2008Samantha Miss
2007Arapaho Miss
2006Miss Finland
2005Serenade Rose
2004Hollow Bullet
2003Special Harmony
2002Bulla Borghese
2001Magical Miss
2000Lovelorn
1999Tributes
1998Grand Archway
1997Kensington Palace
1996My Brightia
1995Saleous
1994Northwood Plume
1993Arborea
1992Slight Chance
1991Richfield Lady
1990Weekend Delight
1989Tristanagh
1988Research