2019 Caulfield Cup - Avilius tipped to win for the local charge at Caulfield

The world's best stayers embark on Caulfield for the biggest meeting on the Caulfield calendar
The Caulfield Cup is one of Australia's biggest staying thoroughbred races

2019 Caulfield Cup Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips


DateSaturday October 19, 2019
TimeTBA
TrackCaulfield
Distance2400m
ConditionsHandicap
Prize Money$5 million
Age3YO+

The Caulfield Cup is the second biggest cup race in Australia, behind only the Melbourne Cup, and it holds massive importance.
 
Held just weeks before the Melbourne Cup, horses that run well in the Caulfield Cup often kick on to the Melbourne Cup and it offers a great form guide for punters.
 
A full field of runners will line up in the 2019 Caulfield Cup on October 19 and once again it will be a truly international affair.

Australasian stalwarts Avilius and Verry Elleegant top the betting, but the likes of Cross Counter, Look Twice, Django Freeman and Ispolini have been well-backed to win.

2019 Caulfield Cup Best Bet – Avilius @ 17.00


Avilius is one of the boom horses on the Australian racing scene and although disappointing in the 2018 Melbourne Cup, there were plenty of excuses for the run.

The James Cummings-trained six-year-old is a winner of 10 from 18 starts and that includes wins in the Group 1 Tancred Stakes and Group 1 Ranvet Stakes at his last two attempts.

Finishing 22nd in the Melbourne Cup last year won’t deter punters from having a go in the Caulfield Cup as he was one of the runners inconvenienced during the run. 

There was plenty of merit in the run and his form since has been testament to that.

He’s unbeaten in two starts at Caulfield, which includes the Group 2 Peter Young Stakes and if he lines up in the 2019 Caulfield, he’s going to be awfully tough to hold out.

Avilius
Avilius hits the work outs before his Caulfield Cup preparation

2019 Caulfield Cup Best Each Way – Look Twice @ 21.00


Look Twice is the next cab off the rank from the Japanese. The stallion by Stay Gold finished second at Group 2 level when last in work in January and although fresh, he could run well at Caulfield.

The Japanese have a good record in Australia and especially in the Caulfield Cup. Look Twice doesn’t have Group 1 form like many runners coming over for the cup have, but he’s a five-time winner and they are battle hardened in Japan.

He has a place percentage of 81.3% and punters shouldn’t think twice about backing Look Twice in the 2019 Caulfield Cup.

He should attract plenty of attention come race day and his trainer will have him looking a million dollars.

21.00 is a fair price from bookmakers given the risks and we recommend having a few bob each way.

2019 Caulfield Cup Best Roughie – Jaameh @ 101.00


We’re going super rough with this selection but there’s plenty of value with the odds.

Jaameh was an ROI of 402.7% and that’s one positive factor straight off the bat. He’s a seven-time winner from 27 starts and his form during the 2018 Melbourne Spring Carnival was credible.

He finished third in the Lexus Stakes behind A Prince of Arran before winning the Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Flemington on Stakes Day.

He also finished second in the Bart Cummings behind Avilius and only narrowly missed out on getting into the Melbourne Cup.

His results since have been mixed in Sydney but he is a much better spring runner and he could return to his best form.

101.00 is certainly worth taking the risk.

Verdict:

Avilius will start much shorter on the day. The 17.00 on offer is a great price for a favoured runner and he could take the next step this season.

Look Twice is an unknown factor and a dangerous type. Look Twice and Jaameh both offer each-way value at odds. 

Best Bet: Avilius – 17.00 @ bet365 
Best Each Way: Look Twice – 21.00 @ bet365 
Best Roughie: Jaameh – 101.00 @ bet365

Verdict

Avilius will start much shorter on the day. The 17.00 on offer is a great price for a favoured runner and he could take the next step this season. Look Twice is an unknown factor and a dangerous type. Look Twice and Jaameh both offer each-way value at odds.
Best Bet: Avilius @ 17.00 at bet365 - 5 Units
Best Each Way: Look Twice @ 21.00 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Roughie: Jaameh @ 101.00 at bet365 - 1 Unit

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Betting Slip | 19 Oct 2019

Caulfield Cup

days

hours

min

Best Bet

Bet 5 Win 85.00
Avilius

Best Each Way

Bet 2 Win 42.00
Look Twice

Best Roughie

Bet 1 Win 101.00
Jaameh
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