Falmouth Stakes Tips Betting Predictions & 2019 Tips


DateFriday July 12, 2019
TrackNewmarket
Distance1609m
ClassGroup 1
Race TypeSet weights
Prize money£200,000
Age3YO fillies and mares

Newmarket's July Festival features two Group 1 races and the Falmouth Stakes is a headline race, along with the July Cup.

The Falmouth Stakes is open for fillies and mares over the 1-mile distance and the Day 2 feature has produced some quality winners in the past including Goldikova and two-time winner Soviet Song.

Always popular with bettors, the Falmouth Stakes markets are open early with bookmakers.

Falmouth Stakes day betting card 2019


The second day of the July Festival at Newmarket features eight races, including the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes and the Falmouth Stakes.

Race No.
Race Name
1bet365 Handicap
2Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
3bet365 Handicap
4Falmouth Stakes
5Price Bailey Nursery
6Maiden Stakes
7Maiden Stakes
8Chelsea Waterfront Handicap

Falmouth Stakes 2019 betting selections & tips

Falmouth Stakes history


The Falmouth Stakes is named in honour of Evelyn Boscawen, 6th Viscount Falmouth. The Falmouth Stakes started in 1911 and has been featured in the Newmarket July Festival for many years.

It was originally a Group 3 before progressing to Group 2 level in 1987. Group 1 status was awarded in 2004 when Soviet Song won the first of two consecutive wins and in the process writing his name into the record books. Soviet Song was only the second runner to win back-to-back Falmouth Stakes after Sonic Lady won in 1986 and 1987.

Lester Piggott is the leading jockey with seven wins, but Ryan Moore has won three of the last four Falmouth Stakes' and he's riding in superb form. Moore won on Integral in 2014 and followed that up with victories aboard Alice Springs and Roly Poly in 2016 and 2017.

Trainer James Fanshaw scored three consecutive wins from 2003-2005. Fanshaw trained Macadamia and Soviet Song. Richard Hannon Sr also won the Falmouth Stakes three consecutive times with Niche, Lemon Souffle and Caramba.

It has often been the starting point to a successful career for especially the fillies. Goldikova won in 2009 before later winning at the Breeders' Cup for the third time in 2010.

Winners often compete in the Matron Stakes or Sun Chariot Stakes following the Falmouth Stakes.

Falmouth Stakes betting guide


The 2016 and 2017 races went to the well-backed runners, with Roly Poly winning at 6/4 and Alice Spring winning as the second favourite at 5/2, but the Falmouth Stakes hasn't been kind to favourites over the history of the Newmarket race.

Goldikova is the only other favourite to have won in the last 12 years and there have been some value winners along the way. Nahoodh paid 10/1 with Frankie Dettori in the saddle in 2008 and Music Show was a 13/2 winner in 2010. Timepiece (16/1) and Girofra (10/1) scored consecutive victories as double-figure chances and both had one at least one start that season.

Winning form isn't always great form for the Falmouth Stakes. Of the last 12 winners, only four had won previously that season from a combined 33 starts.

Fillies and mares have needed time to mature for the Falmouth Stakes, so bettors should be looking for the improved runners as opposed to those that have been winning.

Drawing a good barrier is key with only one winner starting from barrier nine or worse in the last 12 years.

Falmouth Stakes trends


  • Three of the last 12 winners have been favourites and only five of the last 12 winners were top three in the betting market.
  • Course knowledge is key with the Falmouth Stakes as nine of the previous 12 winners have had at least one run at Newmarket prior to winning.
  • Despite a number of upset winners, 10 of the last 12 winners had a rating of 110 or higher.
  • 10 of the last 12 winners have had at least two runs that season. Only Goldikova and Elusive Kate had one run leading into the race, with Elusive Kate defeating a field of only four runners.

Falmouth Stakes winners


Year
Falmouth Stakes winner
2018Alpha Centauri
2017Roly Poly
2016Alice Springs
2015Amazing Maria
2014Integral
2013Elusive Kate
2012Giofra
2011Timepiece
2010Music Show
2009Goldikova
2008Nahoodh
2007Simply Perfect
2006Rajeem
2005Soviet Song
2004Soviet Song
2003Macadamia
2002Tashahawk
2001Proudwings
2000Alshakr
1999Ronda
1998Lovers Knot
1997Ryafan
1996Sensation
1995Caramba
1994Lemon Souffle
1993Niche
1992Gussy Marlowe
1991Only Yours
1990Chimes of Freedom
1989Magic Gleam
1988Inchmurrin