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2021 Steward's Cup Tips - Odds, trends and tips for Glorious Goodwood

jon-vine
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Last updated: 30 Jul 2021
Jon Vine 30 Jul 2021
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  • We've published our guide to the 2021 Steward's Cup
  • This historic handicap headlines the action on day five of Glorious Goodwood on July 31st
  • Fresh leads Hurricane Ivor and Commanche Falls in the betting
  • We bring you the latest odds, key trends and two horses to back
Expired
stewards' cup goodwood
Runners in the Steward's Cup. (Getty)

The fifth and final day of racing at Glorious Goodwood is headlined by one of the biggest betting races of the entire season, the Steward's Cup. This Heritage Handicap was first staged at Goodwood in 1840, and a capacity field of 28 will attempt to follow in the footsteps of great sprinters like  Lochsong, Danetime and Borderlescott, who all managed to win the Steward's Cup.

We take a look through the odds and list some key trends, before picking out our best Glorious Goodwood betting tips.
    Table Of Contents
  • 2021 Steward's Cup Odds
  • 2021 Steward's Cup Trends
  • 2021 Steward's Cup Draw Analysis
  • 2021 Steward's Cup Tip 1
  • 2021 Steward's Cup Tip 2

2021 Steward's Cup Odds


Name
Odds
Fresh7/1
Hurricane Ivor8/1
Commanche Falls12/1
Chiefofchiefs14/1
Ejtilaab14/1
Bielsa16/1
Chil Chil16/1
Bar

*Odds taken on 30/7/21*

2021 Steward's Cup Trends


  • All of the last 15 winners had previously won over six furlongs
  • 14 of the last 15 winners had won at least three times during their career
  • 14 of the last 15 winners had run at least three times that season
  • 14 of the last 15 winners had run at Class Two level or above last time out
  • 14 of the last 15 winners were six-years-old or younger
  • 12 of the last 15 winners carried a weight of 8-12 or more
  • 12 of the last 15 winners were rated 100 or higher
  • 11 of the last 15 winners were drawn in stall 10 or wider
  • 10 of the last 15 winners had an SP of 14/1 or shorter
  • 9 of the last 15 winners had won or placed last time out
  • 2 of the last 15 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey

2021 Steward's Cup Draw Analysis


Looking through the draw, there's a clear lack of early pace down the centre of the track, meaning the field could split into two distinct groups. 

Punchbowl Flyer and Major Jumbo both like to go forward, and they've been drawn next to each other in stalls three and four. On the near side, where most of the winners have come from in recent years, Meraas and Ejtilaab will probably come forward from stalls 24 and 25.

Favourite, Fresh has been placed in stall 16. Kieran Shoemark will probably drift left and latch onto the pace-setters on the stands' rail and look to make his challenge late. I just worry that Fresh is a little too inexperienced for this sort of challenge, having only won twice in ten career starts.

2021 Steward's Cup Tip 1

On his first crack at the Steward's Cup, William Haggas saddled a 1-2 as Conquest beat King's Apostle in 2008. Haggas has only had seven runners since then, winning again with Rex Imperator in 2013, while also placing with Raucous and Muthmir.

Nahaarr was backed into favouritism last year, but couldn't really land a blow after getting swallowed by the pack. Haggas will be hopeful that his sole representative, HURRICANE IVOR fares better this year, and Tom Marquand's mount will be my first selection at 8/1.

Hurricane Ivor was highly touted during his time in France, but was moved to Haggas' yard after results tailed off in 2020. After a poor run on his stable debut at York, Hurricane Ivor produced a career-best effort in a hot handicap at Sandown, dead-heating for the win when giving the other winner, Phoenix Star a whopping 22 pounds at the weights.

Despite being drawn on the wrong side of the track in stall 2, Hurricane Ivor ran another cracker at Ascot last time out, losing out to the progressive Significantly by a short-head. Haggas' recruit is due to go up to 103 after the Stewards' Cup, meaning he's three-pounds well in and, after a kind draw down in stall 18, Hurricane Ivor looks poised to mount a serious challenge.

hurricane ivor
Hurricane Ivor (centre, far) sneaks through on the inside to win at Sandown. (Getty)

2021 Steward's Cup Tip 2

I'm also keen to take a punt on LAMPANG, who's been running very well this season and he's certainly got the class to carry 9-3 to victory in a race of this stature. 

Tim Easterby's four-year-old won with 10-00 on his back at Hamilton in June, beating a future winner in Rathbone by a neck. Lampang then got very unlucky with the draw in the Wokingham. The first seven past the post all came from the pack on the inside of the track. Lampang crossed the line tenth, just half-a-length behind Punchbowl Flyer, the highest finisher from the stand's side group.

Four non-runners meant Lampang faced just two rivals on soft ground at Haydock last time out, and Silvestre De Sousa's mount ran well again, losing out to Danzeno by a neck, when giving four pounds to both his rivals. 

That was the second occasion in three starts that Lampang has clocked an RPR of 109, and he runs again off the same mark of 103. Although he's been drawn low in stall five, the pacemakers on his side are drawn right on his shoulder, so that low draw shouldn't prevent Lampang from challenging for the win.

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