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2020 Commonwealth Cup Tips – 5/1 chance has Golden opportunity on day four

  • Quality field set to line up in day four's only Group One
  • Pierre Lapin will be looking to extend unbeaten record
  • We take him on with two each-way shots
earthlight
Golden Horde (second right) is narrowly beaten by Earthlight (second left) in the Middle Park Stakes. (Getty)

We take a look through the betting for this Group One on day four of Royal Ascot and provide readers with our tips on Friday 19th June.

The solitary Group One race on day four’s card in 2020 is the thrilling Commonwealth Cup. This six-furlong sprint for three-year-olds is the youngest Grade One at Royal Ascot, having been created just five years ago. 

Many feel the three-year-old sprinters don’t need a Grade One of their own, and should be thrown into either the King’s Stand or the Diamond Jubilee Stakes. Never-the-less, it seems the Commonwealth Cup is here to stay, and this year’s renewal is shaping up to be a cracker.

2020 Commonwealth Cup Odds


Name
Best Odds
Pierre Lapin4/1
Golden Horde6/1
Lope Y Fernandes13/2
Kimari7/1
Wooded7/1
Millisle11/1
Mums Tipple14/1
Bar16/1

Odds correct as of 18/6/20

2020 Commonwealth Cup Favourite


Pierre Lapin2020 Commonwealth Cup FavouriteGET 4/1 HERE
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Pierre Lapin ran just twice during his two-year-old campaign, and still managed to make a lasting impression. Roger Varian’s youngster jumped the path which crosses the track at Haydock, and still pulled clear to win by four lengths. It then took Andrea Atzeni a little longer than expected to get the favourite rolling in the Mill Reef, but once he hit top gear, Pierre Lapin quickened away from his rivals in impressive fashion.

There’s no doubting this half-brother to Harry Angel has star potential and could go on to achieve great things at three. However, he’ll be in with several seasoned, Group One performers for the first time in the Commonwealth Cup, and I fear the testing nature of the sprint-course at Ascot could catch this inexperienced sort out.

pierre lapin
Pierre Lapin bounds clear in The Mill Reef Stakes at Newbury. (Getty Images)

2020 Commonwealth Cup Form Guide


Golden Horde has been heavily backed in the last week, and it's easy to see why. Adam Kirby’s mount beat Threat in the Richmond Stakes at Goodwood, and then went on to place behind Earthlight in both the Prix Morny and the Middle Park Stakes. Golden Horde went down by just a neck at Newmarket, and must be regarded as a prime contender here, if he has progressed well between two and three.

Wooded has already been out and won this term, powering to an impressive victory at Chantilly in May. That was his first start over six-furlongs and this son of Wootton Bassett could be in for a successful season. The form of his return victory doesn’t seem that strong, though, and Wooded has never been tested beyond Group Three company.

Wesley Ward will send Kimari over to Ascot for the second year in a row, having watched his filly surge to victory on her first six-furlong start at Oaklawn Hill in May. Kimari went down by just a head to Raffle Prize in the Queen Mary Stakes last year, and has proven herself very versatile when it comes to the ground. If she runs, Kimari will be a big player.

Lope Y Fernandes will be the leading light for Ballydoyle, despite running in the Irish Guineas less than a week ago. O'Brien's colt was heavily backed that day, and loomed menacingly into contention, before fading back through the field, causing havoc in behind. Dropping back to six furlong seems ideal, and he'll try to come with a late, withering run.

Mums Tipple finished last in the 2000 Guineas, despite Richard Hannon stating in the spring that he would be going straight to the Commonwealth Cup. Maybe that was just a tune-up before a crack at this six-furlong Group One, but I still don't really fancy him.

Millisle will also drop back to six furlongs, after failing to see out a mile in the 1000 Guineas. Despite plenty of market support, I was never confident that Jessica Harrington’s filly would get a mile, and that turned out to be the case. That performance shouldn’t put punter off backing the Cheveley Park Stakes winner here though, and Millisle’s price looks awfully tempting.

2020 Commonwealth Cup Tips


Golden Horde2020 Commonwealth Cup TipsGET 6/1 HERE
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Although there's been a clear stands' side bias so far this week, most of the early pace could come from low numbers in this Grade One. GOLDEN HORDE could prove to have a tricky stall in gate ten. However, he really impressed me last term, and I’m definitely having a punt on Clive Cox’s sprinter.

Golden Horde looked a cut above his rivals when claiming a snug victory in the Richmond Stakes, and both Threat and Royal Dornoch went on to boost the form with Group Two victories of their own. Despite the ground going against him, Adam Kirby’s mount stuck to his guns gamely to place third on his French debut in the Prix Morny.

Golden Horde then found Earthlight a little too good once again in the Middle Park, but I thought, considering Kirby was one of the first to act, Cox’s charge ran a blinder to go down by just a neck. Earthlight aside, Gordon Horde brings the best two-year-old form to Ascot and 10/1 looks a massive price.

Millisle E/W2020 Commonwealth Cup TipsGET 11/1 HERE
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The draw could play right into the hands of Lope Y Fernandes. However, another late-finisher to fear is MILLISLE, and she'll be my second selection at an each-way price.

Oisin Murphy never looked that comfortable in the Guineas, and I wasn’t the least bit surprised to see Millisle drift out of contention during the second half of the race.

Millisle may have been a 16/1 shot in the Cheveley Park Stakes, but the way she swooped late on and ploughed clear of Raffle Prize was hugely impressive. The time she clocked over the six-furlong strip at Newmarket that day was really good too, setting the quickest time any Cheveley Park winner has managed since records began in the mid-70s.

This well-balanced filly should take well to the Rowley Mile and I can see Millisle coming with a withering run late on in the piece.

millisle
Millisle (second right) comes through to beat Raffle Prize in the Cheveley Park Stakes. (Getty)

Commonwealth Cup FAQs

When was the Commonwealth Cup first run?

The Commonwealth Cup is the newest Group One of Royal Ascot, having been introduced in 2015.

Who can run in the Commonwealth Cup?

The Commonwealth Cup is only open to three-year-olds. Both colts and fillies are welcome to enter.

How can I watch the Commonwealth Cup?

Streaming page to find out how you can watch every race at Royal Ascot on your mobile or tablet.

What horses can run in the Commonwealth Cup?

The race is only open to three-year-old colts and fillies.

US

Verdict

I’m going to fire two arrows at Pierre Lapin. The first being Golden Horde, who boasts some excellent two-year-old form and Clive Cox has professed himself delighted with the way his sprinter has wintered. (Originally tipped at 10/1, now 6/1)

Millisle may have struggled in the Guineas, but the Middle Park winner is much more effective over this shorter trip and Jessica Harrington’s stable have started the season in excellent form. (Originally tipped at 16/1, now 11/1)

2020 Commonwealth Cup Tip 1: Golden Horde Each-Way @600 at BetMGM - 15 Units
2020 Commonwealth Cup Tip 2: Millisle Each-Way @1100 at William Hill - 10 Units

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