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Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Tips – Bills Could Cover In Arrowhead Shootout

  • Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs tips for Sunday, October 10
  • Matchup gets underway at 01:20 BST (Monday) at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Preview, stats & head-to-head
Highmark Stadium, home of the Buffalo Bills. (Getty Images)
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    Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Tips
  • Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Tips
  • Head To Head
  • Buffalo Bills Form
  • Kansas City Chiefs Form
  • Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs FAQs

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Tips


Buffalo could take advantage of Kansas City’s leaky defense to cover in primetime.

The Chiefs are piling up the points but so are their opponents, and that is why they are 2-2.

Buffalo have the offense to pick apart this group and a defense that could help keep this close.

  • Buffalo Bills have covered in 3 of their 4 game so far
  • Kansas City Chiefs have covered in just 1 of their last 8 home games
  • Buffalo Bills & Kansas City Chiefs are both averaging 33.5 points per game
  • Kansas City Chiefs are second to last in the NFL in points allowed per game (31.3)
  • The Over has hit in 3 of Kansas City’s 4 games this season

Head To Head


  • Buffalo Bills lead the all-time series 26-23-1
  • Kansas City beat Buffalo 38-24 in last season’s AFC Championship Game
  • Kansas City beat Buffalo 26-17 during the 2020 regular season

Buffalo Bills Form


Buffalo misfired on opening day as they lost 23-16 to Pittsburgh, but they have hit back with a vengeance.

The Bills shut out Miami in a 35-0 win to kickstart their season and followed that up with a 43-21 win over Washington.

Buffalo then took their record to 3-1 with another shutout win, this time smashing Houston 45-0.

QB Josh Allen is 99/156 for nine touchdowns and two picks, while he also has a rushing TD.

Stefon Diggs is once again the biggest threat in the passing game with 305 yards and a score. He is complimented by Emmanuel Sanders (268 yards, two TDs) and Cole Beasley (210 yards).

On the ground Devin Singletary leads in yardage with 259 yards and a TD. Zack Moss has 147 yards and three TDs, as well as a receiving score.

The Bills offense ranks #6 in total offense after four games and ranks #2 in average points per game (33.5).

Kansas City Chiefs Form


Kansas City’s early-season struggle has been one of the biggest surprises of the season so far.

They needed a late fightback to snatch a 33-29 win over Cleveland on opening day, and then blew an 11-point lead to lose to Baltimore 36-35.

The Chiefs then fell to a 30-24 loss at home to the Los Angeles Chargers to slip below .500.

They bounced back a week ago though, beating Philadelphia 42-30 to prevent talk of a crisis.

QB Patrick Mahomes is 102/141 for 1,218 yards and 14 touchdowns, but he has already thrown four picks. He has another 92 yards and a score on the ground. 

Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are once again his favourite targets, combining for 765 yards and seven touchdowns.

RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire has 341 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns, but he has already fumbled twice.

The Chiefs rank #3 in scoring with 33.5 points per game, but their undoing – aside from the turnovers – has been the defense.

KC rank #31 in total defense, allowing 437.8 yards per game, and #31 in average points allowed per game (31.3).

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs FAQs

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Verdict

Going against Kansas City at home is always a risky proposition, especially with this explosive offense.

The defense is a huge Achilles heel though and Buffalo’s talented, high-powered offense can take advantage.

This could turn into a shootout and at the end of it we could see Buffalo – at worst – cover the spread.

Best Bet: Buffalo +2.5 Spread $1.95 at Ladbrokes Australia - 1 Unit
Value Bet: Over 56.5 Total Points $1.90 at Neds - 2 Units

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BUF Bills at KC Chiefs