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Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Tips - Browns backed to cover the line in the NFL

  • Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs tips for Sunday, September 12
  • Matchup gets underway at 21:25 BST at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Chiefs favourites to win repeat of last season's playoff game
  • KC struggled to cover as a home favourite in 2021
  • Preview, stats & head-to-head
Arrowhead stadium, home of the Kansas City Chiefs. (Getty Images)
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Leigh Copson 10 Sep 2021
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    Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Tips
  • Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Tips
  • Head To Head
  • Cleveland Browns Form
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  • Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs FAQs

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions


Kansas City can bounce back from their Super Bowl shocker with a Week 1 win.

The Chiefs’ offensive line has been revamped and will provide Patrick Mahomes time to weave his magic.

Cleveland have plenty of firepower on offense and a tough defense though. They could cover.

  • Kansas City Chiefs beat Cleveland Browns 22-19 in the playoffs last season
  • Kansas City Chiefs were 7-9 against the spread in the 2020 regular season
  • Kansas City Chiefs were 3-5 against the spread at home in the 2020 regular season
  • Kansas City Chiefs ranked #1 in total offense in the 2020 regular season
  • Cleveland Browns covered a +7.5 spread in last season’s playoff loss to Kansas City
  • Cleveland Browns were 4-2 against the spread as an underdog on the road last regular season
  • Cleveland Browns ranked #3 in rushing in the 2020 regular season
  • 4 of the last 6 meetings have been won by 6 points or less
  • The last 3 meetings at Arrowhead have been won by 6 points or less

Head To Head


  • Kansas City Chiefs lead the all-time series 14-11-2
  • Kansas City Chiefs won the last meeting 22-17 in January 2021
  • Cleveland Browns last won at Arrowhead in December 2009 (41-34)

Cleveland Browns Form


Cleveland enjoyed their first winning season since 2007 as they finished 11-5 in 2020.

Despite that strong record they could only finish third in the AFC North, although that was enough to make the playoffs.

The Browns managed their first playoff win since 1994, but were beaten by Kansas City in the Divisional Playoff.

Cleveland were 3-5 against the spread on the road but were 4-2 in road games where they were underdogs.

They covered a +7.5 spread in that five-point loss to the Chiefs in the playoffs.

Kansas City Chiefs Form


Kansas City failed in their quest to win back-to-back Super Bowls, losing to Tampa Bay in Super Bowl LV.

The Chiefs negotiated the regular season with a 14-2 record and beat Cleveland and Buffalo in the playoffs.

Their offensive line was overwhelmed in the Super Bowl though as they were blown out by the Bucs.

Despite their excellent regular season record they were not great against the spread, going 7-9.

As a home favourite they were 3-4 while their overall home record against the spread was 4-6.

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs FAQs

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Verdict

Kansas City should make another deep run in the postseason and are expected to win here.

The Chiefs were not great at covering though and this is a talented Cleveland team, so we could see the Browns cover.

Best Bet: Cleveland +6.0 Spread $1.90 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Value Bet: Kansas City & -53.0 Moneyline & Total Points $2.61 at Neds - 1 Unit
Touchdown Scorer: Kareem Hunt Anytime Touchdown Scorer $2.60 at Bookmaker - 1 Unit

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12 Sep 2021

CLE Browns at KC Chiefs