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New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Predictions & Tips – Buffalo To End Patriots’ NFL Streak

  • New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills tips for Monday, December 6
  • Matchup gets underway at 01:15 GMT (Tuesday) at Highmark Stadium
  • Preview, stats & head-to-head
Highmark Stadium, home of the Buffalo Bills. (Getty Images)
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    New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Predictions & Tips
  • New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Predictions & Tips
  • Head To Head
  • New England Patriots Form
  • Buffalo Bills Form
  • New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills FAQs

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Predictions & Tips


Buffalo are backed to snap New England’s win streak on Monday Night Football.

Mac Jones has looked good but he now faces an elite defense in a hostile environment on Monday.

He is unlikely to fall apart, but I am backing the better team with the better QB (Josh Allen) here.

  • Buffalo Bills have covered in 4 of their last 5 AFC East games
  • Buffalo Bills are allowing 16.5 points per game (2nd in NFL)
  • Buffalo Bills are averaging 29.6 points per game (2nd in NFL)
  • Buffalo Bills have won by 3+ points in all 7 of their wins this season
  • New England Patriots are allowing 15.8 points per game (best in NFL)
  • Stefon Diggs has scored 6 touchdowns in his last 6 games

Head To Head


  • New England Patriots lead the all-time series 76-45-1
  • Buffalo Bills swept last season’s series 2-0

New England Patriots Form


New England are looking to extend their win streak to seven games before the head into the bye.

The Patriots opened the season with four defeats in their first six games, but they have exploded into life since.

They have reeled off six straight wins and have been delivering on both sides of the football.

Rookie QB Mac Jones has been in fine form and the defense has held five of their last six opponents to 13 points or less.

Jones is 268/381 for 2,850 yards, 16 touchdowns and eight interceptions this season.

Kendrick Bourne and Jakobi Meyers have been his favourite targets in the passing game, combined for 1,243 yards and six TDs. Hunter Henry has seven receiving scores.

The New England offense is built on the back of the run game with Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson combining for 994 yards on the ground and 11 TDs.

The defense is an elite unit, leading the league in points allowed per game (15.8) and fourth in yards allowed per game (316.7).

Buffalo Bills Form


Buffalo are one game behind New England in the AFC thanks to an inconsistent run of form.

The Bills rebounded from a season-opening loss at home to Pittsburgh with four straight wins.

They were beaten 34-31 in Tennessee prior to the bye week though and have traded wins and losses ever since.

Buffalo are 3-3 in their last six games but go into this on the back of a 31-6 blowout of New Orleans.

QB Josh Allen is 274/410 for 3,071 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also has 383 yards rushing and three scores.

Stefon Diggs is the team’s leading receiver with 847 yards and seven touchdowns off 67 receptions.

The pair of Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley have combined for 1,089 yards and five TDs, while Dawson Knox has seven receiving scores.

Devin Singletary and Zack Moss have combined for 1,008 yards from scrimmage and seven TDs out of the backfield.

The Bills also boast one of the best defenses in the league, ranking first in yards allowed per game (275.2) and second in points allowed per game (16.5).

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills FAQs

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Verdict

Two of the elite defenses in the NFL are taking to the field so points are likely to be at a premium.

Mac Jones has looked good but this is his biggest challenge, so we are backing Buffalo to cover in a low-scoring game.

Best Bet: Buffalo -2.5 Spread @9/10 at Paddy Power - 2 Units
Value Bet: Under 42.5 Total Points @10/11 at William Hill - 2 Units
Touchdown Scorer Tip: Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown @7/4 at bet365 - 1 Unit

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