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2025 Australian Federal Election Odds - Will Albanese stay in power?

robert-norman
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Last updated: 07 Apr 2025
Robert Norman 07 Apr 2025
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  • Election set for 3 May 2025
  • Anthony Albanese favored to retain PM position for 2025 election
  • Betting odds now available at Ladbrokes Australia
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Albanese
Prime Minister of Australia Anthony Albanese (Getty)
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is now favourite to remain in power by winning the 2025 Australian Federal Election on Saturday, 3 May.

Labor Party leader Albanese is bidding for a second term in office and goes head to head with opposition leader Peter Dutton, who is bid to win power for the Liberal-National Coalition.

Australian Federal Election Betting Markets &  Odds


2025 Australian Federal Election Winner
Odds
Labor$1.40
Coalition$2.75
Any Other Party$201

Labor are currently $1.40 favourites to remain in power over the Coalition, firming from $1.70 last week. The Coalition have drifted out from $2.10 to a current price of $2.75.

Ladbrokes are also offering odds on the Type of Government formed, which can be seen in the table below (odds correct from April 7, 2025).

*Pays on the type of government formed at the next federal election (48th Parliament of Australia) as per seats won in the Australian House of Reps. Majority counted as the party who wins 76 or more seats that provides the Prime Minister.

Type of Government Formed (48th Parliament)
Odds
Labor Minority$2.00
Labor Majority$3.00
Coalition Minority$4.00
Coalition Majority$10.00
Any Other$151


Marginal Divisions to Watch

Several electorates are considered marginal and could significantly influence the election outcome:

Higgins (VIC): Traditionally a Liberal stronghold, Higgins was won by Labor's Michelle Ananda-Rajah in 2022. The seat's abolition and redistribution may impact neighboring electorates. ​
Wikipedia

North Sydney (NSW): Held by independent Kylea Tink, this seat's abolition due to redistribution could affect adjacent divisions and the overall balance of power. ​
Wikipedia

Hasluck (WA): With boundary changes and the creation of the new seat of Bullwinkel, Hasluck's political landscape may shift, making it a key seat to monitor.

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