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Penny Mordaunt next leader odds improve

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Last updated: 08 Jun 2024
Freetips staff 08 Jun 2024
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  • Penny Mordaunt's odds improved to 7/1 after BBC debate.
  • She is now the second favorite behind Kemi Badenoch.
  • Labour remains favored for Portsmouth North at 4/6 odds.
Penny Mordaunt
Deputy Labour leader Angela Rayner and Commons Leader Penny Mordaunt, take part in the BBC Election Debate
Penny Mordaunt is now the second favourite behind Kemi Badenoch to become next Tory leader following her showing in last night's BBC debate. Her odds tumbled to 7/1 from 10/1 before the debate, leapfrogging the likes of Priti Patel and Suella Braverman.

Indeed, she remains 6/5 to win the seat in Portsmouth North constituency, with Labout the 4/6 odds on favourites.

While Nigel Farage represented his new party Reform UK last night, his odds of taking over from Sunak also shortened from 13/1 to 11/1 .

Next Conservative leader odds


  • Kemi Badenoch 7/2 (22% chance)
  • Penny Mordaunt 7/1 (13% chance)
  • Priti Patel 15/2 (12% chance)
  • Tom Tugendhat 15/2 (12% chance)
  • Suella Braverman 10/1 (9% chance)
  • James Cleverly 12/1 (8% chance)
  • Nigel Farage 11/1 (8% chance)

Sam Rosbottom, Betfair spokesperson, told Freetips.com:


 "On the Betfair Exchange, Mordaunt has come up trumps, elbowing Suella Braverman, Tom Tugendhat, and Priti Patel out of the way to come second in the market to become next Conservative leader. She is now 7/1 (13% chance) to become the next Conservative leader, from 10/1 (9% chance) yesterday before the debate"
"The Navy reservist stuck to her guns during the debate, sparring with Angela Rayner and insisting that the Prime Minister had apologised for his D-Day blunder, and that people should move on."
"Despite her improving chances of becoming next Conservative leader, her odds of winning her Portsmouth North seat have worsened. Labour are 4/6 (60% chance) to win her seat, with Mordaunt trailing at 6/5 (45% chance)."
"Outside of the runners and riders to succeed Rishi Sunak, punters were unmoved by the seven-way debate hosted by the BBC last night, suggesting that such set-piece events do little to move the dial in the middle of a frenetic election campaign."


Latest Election Odds


Most seats

Labour 1/33 (97% chance)

Conservative 43/1 (2% chance)

Reform UK 69/1 (1% chance)

Liberal Democrat 999/1 (<1% chance)

Overall Majority

Labour majority 1/14 (93% chance)

No overall majority 19/1 (5% chance)

Conservative majority 74/1 (1% chance)

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