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US Election Odds, Prediction & Betting Tips – Trump the value bet to win Arizona

Last updated: 31 Oct 2020
Conrad Castleton 31 Oct 2020
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  • Joe Biden odds-on to win Arizona
  • Polling gives Biden edge over Donald Trump
  • Republicans could be the value bet with close race in store
  • Read on for Arizona US Election odds and prediction!
Arizona Election odds Donald Trump
Donald Trump (Photo by OLIVIER DOULIERY/AFP via Getty Images)

Joe Biden and the Democrats may be favourites with bookmakers according to the latest Arizona Election odds, but there is reason to believe that Donald Trump and the Republicans can defy the odds and hold on here on November 3.

Based on the latest betting, Biden at time of writing has around a 60% implied probability of winning Arizona compared to Trump’s near-40% implied probability. The Democrats are 8/13 with bet365, with the Republicans currently 6/5 to win Arizona.

The forecast with FiveThirtyEight projects that former VP Biden wins Arizona 67 out of every 100 times (Trump 33 out of every 100), while their average of polls puts Biden ahead at around 48.8% vs Trump’s 45.4%.

The Covid-19 pandemic has dominated the conversation in the Grand Canyon State. Around 235,000 people in Arizona have tested positive to date, with close to 6,000 deaths.

Cases are back on the rise after showing signs of levelling off during the summer, and – as has been seen elsewhere – infections as well as deaths are disproportionately affecting older people and people of colour.

Many in those demographics are now turning to Biden, but many Republicans, including a number of strategists, believe the Democratic nominee wouldn’t stand a chance in Arizona if it wasn’t for Covid-19 and Trump’s response to the pandemic.

Its clear that a significant percentage of Arizona voters believe Biden is better suited than Trump to handle the pandemic, but although Biden is ahead in the polls, in recent days there is evidence that the gap is closing, and some experts believes that polls could be undercounting Trump support.

Trump, like Biden, has spent a lot of time on the ground in Arizona. Both he and VP Mike Pence have made several visits to the state over the past six weeks or so, while Donald Trump Jr, Eric Trump and Ivanka Trump have each held events in the state since mid-September.

The shifts towards Biden may have been significant, but this isn’t a blue state just yet, and if polls in the coming days even hint that the gap is closing further, you can't completely rule out the Republicans being odds-on to win come Election Day.

Arizona Election Odds FAQs

When is the US Election?

The 2020 United States presidential election is scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2020.

What are the latest US Election odds?

Joe Biden is odds-on favourite in the latest Presidential Election betting.

Biden is around 1/2 at time of writing with oddsmakers, with Donald Trump around 7/4 to win a second term.

What are the latest US Election odds in Arizona?

The Democrats are 8/13 favourites to win Georgia. Republicans are around 6/5 at time of writing with bookmakers.

Who will win Arizona?

Donald Trump.

Joe Biden may lead in the polls, but there is enough to suggest Trump’s odds will shorten in Arizona, and at odds-on against, this looks to be a good value bet.

What date is the 2020 US Presidential Election?

The US Election is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3rd 2020.


Biden may lead in the polls, but there is enough to suggest Trump’s odds will shorten in Arizona, and at odds-on against, this looks to be a good value bet.

Best Bet: Trump to win Arizona To Win State @6/5 at bet365 - 2 Units
Trump to win Arizona
To Win State
@6/5 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

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04 Nov 2020

US Election 2020 - Arizona Prediction