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Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights Tips & Preview - Broncos to buck the Knights in high scoring thriller

By Ryan Tucker

09 Jun 2023

Ryan Tucker 09 Jun 2023

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Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights predictions for Saturday’s NRL game (17:30 AEST)
Brisbane have not lost to a team outside of the current top 8 so far in 2023
Can the Knights stop the Payne Train from tearing through the middle?

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Brisbane Broncos (Getty Images)

Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights Predictions

Brisbane are back home after a two-game away trip and are one of three teams heading into this weekend who still have not had a bye. With that said they do not look like slowing down and with the most wins in the league (10) they are the in-form team.

Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights Predictions
Head to Head
Brisbane Broncos Form
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brisbane Broncos Team List
Newcastle Knights Form
Newcastle Knights Team News
Newcastle Knights Team List

The Knights are coming off the back of their second bye of the season and their injury concerns from earlier in the year seem to be settling down.

The Knights concede the most run metres of any team in the NRL at 1515m per game, with Brisbane averaging 1493 metres off the back of Payne Haas’ barnstorming runs. Brisbane should win this game comfortably with the amount of attacking possession afforded to them.

Brisbane score on average 1 try per 6 tackles in their opposition 20.
Only one of the last 6 games between the Broncos and Knights has finished with a margin of less than 12 points.
2 of the last 3 games played between these teams have gone over the total.
Newcastle allow the majority of their tries to wingers and centres.

Head to Head

Brisbane have won the last three games in a row against Newcastle with two of those being at Suncorp. All three games have been by margins of over 12 points.

Prior to that the Knights had a four-game win streak stretching back to 2018.

Brisbane Broncos Form

The Broncos had an uplifting win last week against top 8 rivals Cronulla after some poor performances in rounds 11 & 12 against the Storm and Panthers.

Brisbane were also able to put away the Warriors in round 13 without their Origin stars.

Brisbane are 6-0 against teams currently outside of the top 8.

Brisbane Broncos Team News

Selwyn Cobbo returns from injury on the wing moving Jesse Arthars to 18th man.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Corey Oates

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Herbie Farnworth

5. Selwyn Cobbo

6. Ezra Mam

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Thomas Flegler

9. Billy Walters

10. Payne Haas

11. Kurt Capewell

12. Jordan Riki

13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange

14. Cory Paix

15. Brendan Piakura

16. Kobe Hetherington

17. Martin Taupau

Reserves

18. Jesse Arthars

19. Corey Jensen

20. Keenan Palasia

21. Deine Mariner

22. Tyson Smoothy

Newcastle Knights Form

The Knights have gone 2-1 since their bye in round 10 putting on sizeable scores against both the Titans and Manly.

They were held to only six points against the Sharks in round 12, their lowest total so far in 2023.

The Knights missed only 19 tackles in their last start, a win over Manly.

Newcastle Knights Team News

Tyson Frizell has been named in the Knights first game after Origin, Jack Johns is named on the reserves list.

Lachlan Fitzgibbon has been named to play despite suffering a calf injury against the Sea Eagles in Round 13.

Kurt Mann grabs the 14 jumper with Lachlan Miller missing selection this week.

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. Kalyn Ponga

2. Dominic Young

3. Dane Gagai

4. Bradman Best

5. Greg Marzhew

6. Tyson Gamble

7. Jackson Hastings

8. Daniel Saifiti

9. Phoenix Crossland

10. Leo Thompson

11. Tyson Frizell

12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon

13. Adam Elliott

Interchange

14. Kurt Mann

15. Jacob Saifiti

16. Jack Hetherington

17. Mat Croker

Reserves

18. Dylan Lucas

19. Enari Tuala

20. Jack Johns

21. Lachlan Miller

22. Brodie Jones

Verdict

Brisbane Broncos v Newcastle Knights

The Broncos are on another level this year and whilst the Knights have been competitive and have had some upset wins I can’t see it happening here.

The go forward of the Broncos pack is no match for the flimsy middle defence from Newcastle and Brisbane will have more than enough tackles inside opposition 20 to post points. Kotoni Staggs is peaking at the moment and can cross for a four pointer.

Over 42.5

Total Points

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Kotoni Staggs

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