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Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons Preview & Tips - Dragons to cover against the Broncos in NRL

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 11 Jul 2024
Jeremy Darke 11 Jul 2024
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  • Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 19 NRL game
  • Broncos on a five-game losing streak
  • Dragons favored to cover the line with the game tipped to go under 50.5 points
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Brisbane Broncos vs St George Dragons
Dragons can cover against the Broncos (Getty)

Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons Preview


This should be a tight game with under the game total favoured. If that happens, it will favour the Dragons to cover the line, which is the value with Brisbane are on a five-game skid and struggling with the ball in hand.
  • Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Brisbane Broncos Form
  • Brisbane Broncos Team News
  • Brisbane Broncos Team List
  • St George Illawarra Dragons Form 
  • St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
  • St George Illawarra Dragons Team List

  • The Dragons have beaten Brisbane in 3 of their past 5 matches at Suncorp Stadium.
  • Brisbane have lost 4 of their past 5 games at Suncorp Stadium
  • Brisbane average just 11.6 points per game in their past 4 matches.
  • Opposing hookers have scored on Brisbane in their past three matches.

Head to Head 


The Broncos got a comfortable 40-18 victory over the Dragons in the only meeting between the two clubs last season.

Brisbane have won the past two games at Suncorp Stadium however they have just a 2-4 record against St George since the 2019 season.

Brisbane Broncos Form


Brisbane have lost five games on the trot after another 14-6 loss to the Penrith Panthers in round 18. 

The attack of Brisbane has been stale to say the list since halfback Adam Reynolds has been sidelined. 

The Broncos have averaged just 11.6 points per game over the past 4 weeks failing to build any real pressure on their opponents accumulating an average of just 37.5% of the territory in their past 4 matches.

The Origin period has been tough for Brisbane and they will be glad to see the end of it after the next round of games.

Brisbane Broncos Team News


Brisbane will be without Reece Walsh, Selwyn Cobbo, Patrick Carrigan and Payne Haas who are all out on Origin duty. Tristan Sailor, Kotoni Staggs, Jordan Riki and Blake Mozer all come into the side. 

Josh Rogers will replace Jock Madden who suffered a hamstring injury last weekend. 

Brisbane Broncos Team List


1. Tristan Sailor
2. Corey Oates
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Deine Mariner
5. Jesse Arthars
6. Ezra Mam
7. Josh Rogers
8. Corey Jensen
9. Billy Walters
10. Xavier Willison
11. Brendan Piakura
12. Jordan Riki
13. Tyson Smoothy

Interchange
14. Blake Mozer
15. Kobe Hetherington
16. Josiah Karapani
17. Martin Taupau

Reserves
18. Va'a Semu
19. Cory Paix
20. Israel Leota

St George Illawarra Dragons Form 


The Saints have impressed this season but they were certainly put back in their place last week against the Roosters, going down to Sydney City 42-12 at Allianz Stadium.

The Dragons were in it at 14-6 down at the break but a second half collapse or better yet, masterclass from the Roosters saw the Chooks run away with it. 

The Dragons were outmuscled with just 37% of the territory in the second half with the Roosters totalling 444 run metres more than the Dragons after the break giving them no real opportunity to score points.

The worrying sign for the Dragons is their inability to keep games close when they start to trail, with 7 of their 8 losses all by 13+ margins. 

St George Illawarra Dragons Team News


Zac Lomax and Ben Hunt will play for their respective states and will miss the match. Mikaele Ravalwa and Jesse Marschke will be their replacements.

Raymond Faitala-Mariner comes back into the side with Luciano Leilua moving to the pine. Hame Sele will also join the interchange bench with Fa’amanu Brown dropping out. 

St George Illawarra Dragons Team List


1. Tyrell Sloan
2. Christian Tuipulotu
3. Moses Suli
4. Max Feagai
5. Mikaele Ravalawa
6. Kyle Flanagan
7. Jesse Marschke
8. Francis Molo
9. Jacob Liddle
10. Jack de Belin
11. Raymond Faitala-Mariner
12. Jaydn Su'A
13. Tom Eisenhuth

Interchange
14. Hame Sele
15. Luciano Leilua
16. Toby Couchman
17. Ben Murdoch-Masila

Reserves
18. Jack Bird
19. Savelio Tamale
20. Fa'amanu Brown
21. Ryan Couchman
​​​​​​​22. Michael Molo

Verdict

This game is tipped to go under the game total of 50.5 with the Dragons covering the line as the underdog.

Best Bet1: Dragons +6.5 Handicap/Line @6/7 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 50.5 Game Total @6/7 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Jacob Liddle Anytime Tryscorer @18/5 at 10bet - 1 Unit
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13 Jul 2024

Brisbane Broncos v St George