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Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons Preview & Tips - Broncos to dominate at home in NRL

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 16 May 2025

Ryan Tucker 16 May 2025

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Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 11 NRL game
Broncos favored to win and cover the line
Kotoni Staggs is highlighted in tryscoring bets

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Brisbane Broncos (Getty Images)

Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons Preview

The Dragons have played at Suncorp 9 times since the start of the 2021 season and have taken victory on just the one occasion. Take the Broncos to win and cover the line, and I also like them on the first half line too.

Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons Preview
Head to Head
Brisbane Broncos Form
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brisbane Broncos Team List
St George Illawarra Dragons Form
St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
St George Illawarra Dragons Team List

Brisbane are 4th in the league in Linebreaks averaging 5.7 per game.
Dragons allow 1477 Run Metres per game, ranked 13th in the NRL.
The Broncos have scored the first try in 3 straight games.
Kotoni Staggs has scored 7 tries in last 5 games against the Dragons.

Head to Head

The Broncos and Dragons have met on seven occasions since the start of the 2019 season. St George Illawarra have taken five wins in the time span including a 30-24 victory in the lone matchup last season.

The Game Total has gone Over in all but one of those seven games while the Win Margin has stayed between 1-12 in 4 of 7 clashes.

The Dragons are 4-3 ATS with 3 of the covers coming as the Underdog.

Brisbane Broncos Form

The Broncos suffered another loss at the weekend, this time to an understrength South Sydney Rabbitohs in a game that will be remembered for years to come, sadly not in a positive light for Brisbane fans.

Coming off a terrible loss to the Panthers, expectations were high that Brisbane would be able to turn things around against a Souths team that had been struggling for consistency. They did almost everything right, winning the majority of the major stat counts but failed to convert their chances into points in a similar fashion to their other recent losses.

They are still 4th in Average Points scored, 4th in Linebreaks and 6th in Tackles inside opposition 20m which gives hope to continued success if they can find consistency in attack close to the line.

Brisbane Broncos Team News

Ben Hunt will be out for over a month with a hamstring injury, Ezra Mam returns to the NRL side after serving his suspension and playing 40 mins in QCup last weekend.

Despite a late switch before kickoff last week Xavier Willison and Brendan Piakura have retained their respective spots in the starting side and interchange.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Selwyn Cobbo

2. Deine Mariner

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Jesse Arthars

6. Ezra Mam

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Patrick Carrigan

9. Billy Walters

10. Payne Haas

11. Xavier Willison

12. Jordan Riki

13. Kobe Hetherington

Interchange

14. Cory Paix

15. Corey Jensen

16. Brendan Piakura

17. Fletcher Baker

Reserves

18. Tyson Smoothy

19. Josiah Karapani

20. Martin Taupau

21. Jaiyden Hunt

22. Delouise Hoeter

St George Illawarra Dragons Form

The Dragons have dropped 3 straight games after winning 3 of the 4 prior to that. They now have 3 losses by 1 point this season with the Warriors kicking a field goal in the 70th minute to secure the victory at WIN stadium over the weekend.

St George Illawarra made 6 linebreaks to 2 and had 33 tackles in the Warriors 20m zone during the game coming up with 3 tries in the process. It was their errors though that compounded their inefficiency with the ball, 13 times they turned it over as well as giving away 6 penalties and 2 set restarts.

Lyhkan King-Togia seems to be settling in to the halfback role and is a live-wire with ball in hand. The back 5 are all contributing well with run metres out of their own end and with linebreaks when attacking but the scoring has dried up significantly compared to the start of the season.

St George Illawarra Dragons Team News

Toby Couchman will miss this game with a shoulder injury. Jack De Belin will start at prop with Blake Lawrie coming onto the bench.

St George Illawarra Dragons Team List

1. Clint Gutherson

2. Tyrell Sloan

3. Moses Suli

4. Valentine Holmes

5. Corey Allan

6. Kyle Flanagan

7. Lyhkan King-Togia

8. Jack de Belin

9. Damien Cook

10. David Klemmer

11. Dylan Egan

12. Jaydn Su'A

13. Hamish Stewart

Interchange

14. Jacob Liddle

15. Luciano Leilua

16. Loko Pasifiki Tonga

17. Blake Lawrie

Reserves

18. Nathan Lawson

19. Hame Sele

20. Lachlan Ilias

21. Raymond Faitala-Mariner

22. Michael Molo

Verdict

Brisbane Broncos v St George Illawarra Dragons

Take the Broncos to win and cover the line in this matchup against the Dragons. I also like them on the first half line under a converted try. Kotoni Staggs is the best value pick in my eyes as tryscorer in this matchup.

Broncos -10.5

Line

@9/10 - 3 Units

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Broncos -5.5

1st Half Line

@4/5 - 2 Units

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Kotoni Staggs

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Kotoni Staggs

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