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Canberra Raiders vs North Queensland Cowboys Tips - Green Machine to cover in high scoring NRL game

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 13 Jun 2024
Ryan Tucker 13 Jun 2024
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  • Canberra Raiders vs North QLD Cowboys expert predictions for Friday’s Round 15 NRL game
  • Tight game predicted; Raiders expected to narrowly win
  • Over 48.5 game total seen as favorable
Expired
Hudson Young
Hudson Young of the Raiders (Getty Images)

Canberra Raiders vs North Queensland Cowboys Preview


Another tight game is predicted between these two sides with the Raiders backed to come out on top narrowly. Over the points total can also deliver.
  • Canberra Raiders vs North Queensland Cowboys Preview
  • Head to Head 
  • Canberra Raiders Form
  • Canberra Raiders Team News
  • Canberra Raiders Team List
  • North Queensland Cowboys Form
  • North Queensland Cowboys Team News
  • North Queensland Cowboys Team List

  • Canberra are 7-5 ATS this season whilst the Cowboys are 4-10
  • The Cowboys miss the 4th most Tackles per game at 33.9
  • Both of these teams are top 4 in Run Metres per game
  • Forwards have a high strike rate in tryscoring against the Cowboys with 6 of the last 13 tries conceded coming from opposition forwards.

Head to Head 


These teams have met seven times since the beginning of the 2019 season with North Queensland winning five of those including the last four in a row. 

Five of the last seven games have all finished with Winning Margins of six points or less. The 1-12 Margin is hitting at a 56% rate in all games played this season.

Canberra Raiders Form


The Raiders had the luxury of the Bye last weekend and have used the time to recuperate after a hectic first half of the season. 

Prior to their bye in round 13, Canberra were able to secure a Golden Point victory over the Dolphins with Jordan Rapana the man of the hour. 

The stand-in fullback levelled the scores in the 77th minute with his first field goal then was instrumental in stopping a Dolphins try in extra time before slotting the final 1 pointer to win the game for his team.

It is a game the Raiders should have lost with statistics showing they underperformed compared to their opponents. The Dolphins missed 4 opportunities to win the game in extra time. 

Canberra Raiders Team News


Hudson Young missed the last Raiders game before their bye due to Origin. He returns to the lineup pushing Ata Mariota back to the pine and Simi Sasagi to the reserves.

Canberra Raiders Team List


1. Jordan Rapana
2. Nick Cotric
3. Matt Timoko
4. Seb Kris
5. Xavier Savage
6. Ethan Strange
7. Kaeo Weekes 
8. Josh Papalii
9. Danny Levi
10. Joseph Tapine
11. Hudson Young
12. Elliott Whitehead
13. Morgan Smithies

Interchange
14. Tom Starling
15. Ata Mariota
16. Trey Mooney
17.  Emre Guler

Reserves
18. Albert Hopoate
19. Zac Woolford
20. Peter Hola
21. Simi Sasagi
22. Hohepa Puru

North Queensland Cowboys Form


The Cowboys will be the last team to have their first Bye next week in round 16 and it couldn’t come sooner with a host of players having a large workload around the Origin period. 

North Queensland were out ran, out played and out scored last week against the Warriors giving their opposition 60% of the Territory as well as 56% of Possession across the 80 minutes. 

The Cowboys were only able to Run for 1136m themselves, around 300m less than the league average per game whilst giving up 1683m to their opposition. 

North Queensland Cowboys Team News


Murray Taulagi and Reece Robson return after not backing up from Origin duties. Braidon Burns goes straight back to the reserves along with Harrison Edwards.

Jeremiah Nanai comes back into the starting line up with Kulikefu Finefeuiaki going back to his normal bench role. Griffin Neame also starts from the interchange with Jordan McLean returning to the starting side.

North Queensland Cowboys Team List


1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Kyle Feldt
3. Valentine Holmes
4. Villiami Vailea
5. Murray Taulagi
6. Tom Dearden 
7. Chad Townsend
8. Jordan McLean
9. Reece Robson
10. Reuben Cotter
11. Heilum Luki
12. Jeremiah Nanai
13. Jason Taumalolo

Interchange
14. Sam McIntyre
15. Thomas Mikaele
16. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
17. Griffin Neame

Reserves
18. Braidon Burns
19. Harrison Edwards
20. Tom Chester
21. Jaxon Purdue
​​​​​​​22. Jamal Shibasaki

Verdict

Canberra are fresh from a bye and the Cowboys look tired. The Raiders can cover and the game total go over.

Best Bet1: Canebrra -2.5 Line @1/1 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 48.5 Game Total @10/11 at Betgoodwin - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Hudson Young Anytime Tryscorer @2/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
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