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Canterbury Bulldogs v North Queensland Cowboys Tips & Preview - Injury and suspension to keep this close

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 01 Apr 2023
Ryan Tucker 01 Apr 2023
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  • Canterbury Bulldogs v North Queensland Cowboys tips for Sunday's NRL Round 5 match (18:15 AEST)
  • The average winning margin in all games played in 2023 is 8 points
  • Can the Cowboys overcome injuries on the road at Accor?
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canterbury bulldogs
Will the Bulldogs push the Cowboys? (Getty Images)

Canterbury Bulldogs v North Queensland Cowboys Predictions


The last game of the round is predicted to go down to the wire with models punching out team totals of 20 & 21 points respectively for these two teams. 
  • Canterbury Bulldogs v North Queensland Cowboys Predictions
  • Head to Head 
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Form
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team News
  • Canterbury Bulldogs Team List
  • North Queensland Cowboys Form
  • North Queensland Cowboys Team News
  • North Queensland Cowboys Team List

Betting sites seem to agree and we have now seen the money tip in favour of the Bulldogs who have moved to 1.5 point favourites for the second week in a row. In a game that is too close to call I am looking for value in either team to win by 1-12.

  • 5 of the last 6 games between these two teams have been decided by 12 points or less. 
  • 3 out of the last 4 games have points totals of 40 points or more.
  • Both teams are allowing an average of 20 points to opposition through the start of 2023
  • 20 of 32 games in 2023 up until round 5 have gone Under the total, expect that number to start correcting soon.
  • North Queensland have averaged 1774 run metres in their two wins and 1556 run metres in their two losses. The Bulldogs allow 1765 run metres per game.

Head to Head 


The Bulldogs and Cowboys split the winnings in 2022 with the away team winning in both games. 

The Cowboys own the head to head 4-2, dating back to 2019.

Canterbury Bulldogs Form


The Bulldogs are coming off a narrow loss to the Warriors in Auckland 16-14 in a game where they had only 24 tacklebreaks. 

In both their previous two wins against Melbourne and the Tigers, Canterbury managed to break their tackles at a considerably higher rate (49 and 32 times).

Canterbury Bulldogs Team News


Josh Reynolds has been named on the bench for Fa’amanu Brown in what will be his first NRL appearance for Canterbury in six years. 

Canterbury Bulldogs Team List


1. Hayze Perham
2. Jacob Kiraz
3. Jake Averillo
4. Paul Alamoti
5. Josh Addo-Carr
6. Matt Burton
7. Kyle Flanagan
8. Max King
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Ryan Sutton
11. Viliame Kikau
12. Jacob Preston
13. Raymond Faitala-Mariner

Interchange

14. Josh Reynolds
15. Corey Waddell
16. Franklin Pele
17. Jayden Okunbor

Reserves

19. Jackson Topine
20. Kurtis Morrin
21. Karl Oloapu
22. Braidon Burns
23. Jayden Tanner

North Queensland Cowboys Form


The Cowboys are 2-2 to start the season with all games being relatively close in both directions. 

North Queensland are currently allowing 21 points per game compared to their stellar defensive efforts in 2022 where they allowed only 15 points per game.

North Queensland Cowboys Team News


A host of changes for the travelling Cowboys. 

Peta Hiku returns from suspension and takes the place of the injured Gehamat Shibasaki. Murray Taulagi is also injured, his spot on the wing taken by Brendon Elliot.

In the forwards Jeremiah Nanai has been suspended for two weeks following a dangerous throw, Heilum Luki takes the edge starting spot. 

James Tamou has also succumbed to injury with NRL debutant Riley Price (son of QLD great Steve Price) is named on the bench together with Mitch Dunn.

North Queensland Cowboys Team List


1. Tom Chester
2. Kyle Feldt
3. Valentine Holmes
4. Peta Hiku
5. Brendan Elliot
6. Tom Dearden
7. Chad Townsend
8. Jordan McLean
9. Reece Robson
10. Griffin Neame
11. Coen Hess
12. Heilum Luki
13. Jason Taumalolo

Interchange

14. Jake Granville
15. Mitch Dunn
16. Jamayne Taunoa-Brown
17. Riley Price

Reserves

18. Zac Laybutt
19. Taniela Sadrugu
20. Jack Gosiewski
21. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
22. Ben Hampton

Verdict

A lot of disruption with injury and suspension for the Cowboys should ensure this game is kept close. The Bulldogs are starting to find some attacking form and if both teams can roughly hit their season averages we should be laughing all the way to the bank. Any team by 1-12 and the total to go over.

Best Bet: Either Team by 1-12 Winning Margin @17/25 at bet365 - 3 Units
Value Bet: Over 39.5 Total Points @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Value Bet: Draw 80 Minutes Result @20/1 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Either Team by 1-12
Winning Margin
@17/25 - 3 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365
Over 39.5
Total Points
@9/10 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Bet at bet365
Draw
80 Minutes Result
@20/1 - 1 Unit
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

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Canterbury Bulldogs v North Queensland Cowboys