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Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights Tips & Preview - Coast to cover in Magic Round

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 16 May 2024
Ryan Tucker 16 May 2024
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  • Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 11 NRL game
  • Predicted low-scoring match between Titans and Knights
  • Titans expected to cover the line
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David Fifita
The Titans' David Fifita (Getty Images)

Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights Predictions


A low scoring Magic Round clash is predicted and under the game total backed with both sides hit by injuries. The Titans are alsp predicted to cover the line.

  • The Titans have covered the line in their past 6 matches.
  • 6 of 9 Titans matches have gone Under the Game Total in 2024.
  • 7 of 10 Newcastle matches have hit the Under Game Total in 2024.
  • David Fifita scored 2 tries against Newcastle in Round 11 last season.

Head to Head 


Since the 2019 season, the Gold Coast Titans and Newcastle Knights have met eight times with the winning record split 4-4.

The Titans and Knights met in round 11 last season with Newcastle putting up 46 points to the Gold Coast’s 26 after the game was locked 12-12 at halftime.

Gold Coast Titans Form


Throughout Des Hasler’s coaching career, his teams have been known for their resilience in defence and that is starting to shine through on the Gold Coast. 

The Titans got their second win of the season in Round 10, beating the Cowboys 20-18, absorbing 57% of the territory from North Queensland, who also had 40 tackles in the Titans 20m. 

Over the past three weeks the Gold Coast have faced 104 tackles inside their own 20m line and have done a miraculous job of repelling their opponents with countless effort tackles that have saved multiple tries.

Gold Coast Titans Team News


The Titans to most dangerous attacking weapons AJ Brimson and Kieran Foran will miss this week through injury and will be replaced by Chris Randall and Sam Verrills

Phillip Sami and Harley Smith-Shields failed to finish the last game and will be replaced by Alofiana Khan-Pereira and Aaron Schoupp in the backs.

Keenan Palasia has returned from a quad injury and willl join the bench with Joe Stimson also making it back onto the pine.

Gold Coast Titans Team List


1. Keano Kini
2. Alofiana Khan-Pereira
3. Brian Kelly
4. Aaron Schoupp
5. Jojo Fifita
6. Chris Randall
7. Sam Verrills
8. Moeaki Fotuaika
9. Erin Clark
10. Jaimin Jolliffe
11. David Fifita
12. Beau Fermor
13. Klese Haas

Interchange
14. Keenan Palasia
15. Isaac Liu
16. Josiah Pahulu
17. Joe Stimson

Reserves
18. Tom Weaver
19. Tony Francis
20. Jacob Alick-Wiencke
21. Iszac Fa'asuamaleaui
​​​​​​​22. Jaylan De Groot

Newcastle Knights Form


Since Kalyn Ponga was injured against the Bulldogs a month ago, the Knights have gone 3-0, beating the Dolphins, Warriors and Tigers.

Losing their star fullback has had a positive effect in a way, shifting their own focus of scoring points back to deterring their opponents, as they did at the end of the 2023 season.

In the first seven games of the 2024 season Newcastle averaged 21.28 points against per game. In the last 3 matches they have conceded an average of just 12 points per game. 

If the Knights are to continue to keep winning they are going to have to rely on holding their opponents to these lower team totals as they are clearly hurting in attack without Ponga in the lineup.

Newcastle Knights Team News


Tyson Gamble will be out for an extended period with a broken foot and will be replaced in the halves by Jack Cogger.

Dylan Lucas moves into the starting 13 with Kai Pearce-Paul moving to the bench.

Jacob Saifiti moves into the side with his brother Daniel being suspended for a week. 

Bradman Best, Dane Gagai and Tyson Frizell are all carrying injuries and may be late withdrawals. 

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. David Armstrong
2. Enari Tuala
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Jack Cogger
7. Jackson Hastings
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Jayden Brailey
10. Leo Thompson
11. Tyson Frizell
12. Dylan Lucas
13. Adam Elliott

Interchange
14. Phoenix Crossland
15. Kai Pearce-Paul
16. Brodie Jones
17. Jack Hetherington

Reserves
18. Mat Croker
19. Jed Cartwright
20. Krystian Mapapalangi
21. Thomas Cant
​​​​​​​22. Fletcher Sharpe

Verdict

The Titans can cover the 6.5 point handicap as underdogs. With both teams carrying injuries, under the game total is expected to hit.

Best Bet1: Gold Coast +6.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 45.5 Game Total @10/11 at Unibet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: David Fifita Anytime Tryscorer @41/20 at Betgoodwin - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: David Fifita First Tryscorer @16/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
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