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Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions & Tips - Manly troubles to continue in NRL Magic Round

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 15 May 2024
Ryan Tucker 15 May 2024
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  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Friday’s Round 11 NRL game
  • Broncos maintain a strong 4-1 home record this season
  • Tom Trbojevic's absence affects the Sea Eagles' performance significantly
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Selwyn Cobbo
Selwyn Cobbo (Getty Images)

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos Preview


Manly’s finals aspirations are up in the air and I'm predicting things won't get any better in NRL Magic Round with the Sea Eagles having lost three of the four games played at Suncorp since the concept started in 2019. 

They have scored only 6 points total in their past two games against the Broncos and Brisbane will look improve their good home record from an already impressive 4-1 this season.

  • Manly are 27-54 (33%) without Tom Trbojevic in the lineup since his debut in 2015 compared to 72-63 (52%) with him on the park
  • The Sea Eagles average only 13.8 points in their last 6 games at Suncorp Stadium
  • Brisbane have won 6 of their last 7 games at Suncorp averaging over 30 points in the span
  • Selwyn Cobbo has scored 6 tries in his last 2 games against Manly

Head to Head 


Manly and Brisbane have met once per year since the start of 2019 with the Broncos holding a 3-2 Head to Head advantage.

This particular matchup has been the Friday Night blockbuster at Magic Round since its inception with the Sea Eagles only winning one of the 4 games played at Suncorp being kept to 0 points last year and only 6 points in 2022.

Manly Sea Eagles Form


So much promise yet so much disappointment from Manly with the Sea Eagles slump to their fourth loss of the season last weekend.

The point gained from the draw keeps them in the 8 but they have one of the toughest schedules of any team over the next few games having to play the Broncos this week at Suncorp followed by Melbourne and then the Panthers in Round 14 following their first bye.

The Sea Eagles are a complete shell of themselves without Tom Trbojevic in the lineup and with the possibility of Daly Cherry-Evans and possibly even Luke Brooks going to Origin the season might just come crashing down around them. 

Manly Sea Eagles Team News


Tolu Koula wins the vacant fullback spot following Tom Trbojevic’s injury. Ray Vaega and Jaxson Paulo are the new wingers in the re-shuffle with Jason Saab also out injured. Tommy Talau moves to centre.

Haumole Olakau’atu returns from suspension with Corey Waddell reverting to the bench and Toafofoa Sipley to the reserves.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List


1. Tolu Koula
2. Raymond Tuaimalo Vaega
3. Tommy Talau
4. Reuben Garrick
5. Jaxson Paulo
6. Luke Brooks
7. Daly Cherry-Evans
8. Taniela Paseka
9. Karl Lawton
10. Josh Aloiai
11. Haumole Olakau'atu
12. Ben Trbojevic
13. Jake Trbojevic

Interchange
14. Gordon Chan Kum Tong
15. Corey Waddell
16. Ethan Bullemor
17. Matthew Lodge

Reserves
18. Aaron Woods
19. Jake Arthur
20. Dean Matterson
21. Brandon Wakeham
22. Toafofoa Sipley

Brisbane Broncos Form


The Broncs got out to an early lead in their last clash against the Eels and never looked back finishing with a 16 point victory putting them at 6-4 on the season and 6th on the NRL ladder. 

Surprisingly Brisbane were able to enjoy their win despite having only 40% Territory and 47% Possession in the game while also giving up 1638 Run Metres to their opposition.

Parramatta also had 41 Tackles Inside 20m which puts into question their ability to convert compared to the Brisbane line defence. 

Brisbane Broncos Team News


Jock Madden comes in at half back after recovering from injury, Josh Rogers makes way. Billy Walters has himself succumbed to injury which sees Tyson Smoothy start at hooker and Blake Mozer grab the 14 jumper.

Brisbane Broncos Team List


1. Reece Walsh
2. Corey Oates
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Selwyn Cobbo
5. Deine Mariner
6. Ezra Mam
7. Jock Madden
8. Corey Jensen
9. Tyson Smoothy
10. Payne Haas
11. Brendan Piakura
12. Jordan Riki
13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange
14. Blake Mozer
15. Xavier Willison
16. Kobe Hetherington
17. Jack Gosiewski

Reserves
18. Josh Rogers
19. Martin Taupau
20. Jaiyden Hunt
21. Josiah Karapani
22. Cory Paix

Verdict

The Broncos have dominated this Magic Round matchup and they are tipped to win big. 

Best Bet1: Brisbane 13+ Winning Margin @1/1 at bet365 - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 47.5 Game Total @17/20 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Selwyn Cobbo Anytime Tryscorer @22/15 at Grosvenor Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Selwyn Cobbo First Tryscorer @14/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Brisbane 13+
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