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Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights Preview & Tips - Missing attacks makes unders appeal in NRL

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: 13 Jul 2024

Jeremy Darke 13 Jul 2024

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Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 19 NRL game
Low-scoring game expected due to key attackers on Origin duty
Game total predicted to go under 49.5 points

Expired

Can Manly get a win without their Origin stars? (Getty Images)

Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights Predictions

Key attackers from both sides are on Origin duty and I'm expecting a low-scoring game that goes under the game total as a result. That should mean either team winning by a 1-12 margin is an option.

Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights Predictions
Head to Head
Manly Sea Eagles Form
Manly Sea Eagles Team News
Manly Sea Eagles Team List
Newcastle Knights Form
Newcastle Knights Team News
Newcastle Knights Team List

7 of 8 Newcastle away games have been decided by a 1-12 margin
5 of the past 7 games between Manly and Newcastle have been decided by a 1-12 margin.
5 of the past 6 Manly games have gone under the game total.
Reuben Garrick has scored 4 tries in his past 4 games at 4 Pines Park

Head to Head

Newcastle have the slight edge at the moment in the head to head battle, getting a 28-18 win at McDonald Jones Stadium in round 13 last season and the pair playing a 32-32 draw in round 5.

Both the Knights and the Sea Eagles have four wins and a draw since 2019.

Manly Sea Eagles Form

It has been lose one, win one for Manly over their past 6 games and due to the tightness of the competition in 2024 they are still in seventh spot despite their inconsistent form.

Daly Cherry-Evans slotted a golden-point field goal to get them past North Queensland last weekend after the Cowboys rallied from 12 points down to tie things up late.

Manly are a mid-pack team in most key statistical categories, they play like it and they get these type of results, where you are just not sure which team will show up on the day.

However, the one consistency that they do have is they defend much better at home and have a decent 5-1 record at 4 Pines Park this season, conceding just 18.3 points per game at home this season.

Manly Sea Eagles Team News

Jamie Humphreys takes Daly Cherry-Evans place at halfback and Nathan Brown moves to lock for Jake Trbojevic with the veteran pair out on Origin duty.

Tom Trbojevic will move back to fullback with Tolu Koula out with a knee injury. Tommy Talau will play in the centres and Lehi Hopoate moves to the wing.

Karl Lawton will start on the edge with Ben Trbojevic out on concussion protocol.

Clayton Faulalo Gordon, Chan Kum Tong and Corey Waddell all join the bench.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List

1. Tom Trbojevic

2. Jason Saab

3. Tommy Talau

4. Reuben Garrick

5. Lehi Hopoate

6. Luke Brooks

7. Jamie Humphreys

8. Toafofoa Sipley

9. Jake Simpkin

10. Josh Aloiai

11. Haumole Olakau’atu

12. Karl Lawton

13. Nathan Brown

Interchange

14. Clayton Faulalo

15. Gordon Chan Kum Tong

16. Ethan Bullemor

17. Corey Waddell

Reserves

18. Caleb Navale

19. Aaron Schoupp

20. Dean Matterson

21. Ben Condon

22. Aitasi James

Newcastle Knights Form

Despite not faring well against top-eight sides this season going 2-6 against teams currently in finals contention, the Knights have one in patches when they have åplayed lesser teams and are just on the outskirts in ninth.

Injury has been a concern and the halves combination has had more changes than the oil in my HG Holden, but Will Pryce has looked good since coming in at No.6 with Jackson Hastings in the No.7 and the Knights are back on a two-game win streak, beating Parra and Canberra.

With Ponga eventually returning after Origin duties, Newcastle will be hoping that their attack lifts as they currently rank 16th in the league, scoring just 18.6 points per game and also in the same position with just 4.1 linebreaks per game.

The Knights complete the fourth-least amount of tackles in their oppositions 20m, playing the ball just 26.7 times in their attacking redzone.

Newcastle Knights Team News

Fletcher Sharpe is back in the No. 1 with Kalyn Ponga in the Queensland side. Dane Gagai and Bradman Best both got a call-up for Game 3 and will be replaced by Dylan Lucas and Thomas Cant in the centres.

Krystian Mapapalangi is named on the wing while Phoenix Crossland will start at hooker and Adam Elliot returns to lock out the scrum.

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. Fletcher Sharpe

2. Krystian Mapapalangi

3. Dylan Lucas

4. Thomas Cant

5. Greg Marzhew

6. Will Pryce

7. Jackson Hastings

8. Daniel Saifiti

9. Phoenix Crossland

10. Leo Thompson

11. Tyson Frizell

12. Kai Pearce-Paul

13. Adam Elliott

Interchange

14. Jayden Brailey

15. Jacob Saifiti

16. Brodie Jones

17. Mat Croker

Reserves

18. Jack Hetherington

19. Jack Cogger

20. Kyle McCarthy

21. Riley Jones

22. Thomas Jenkins

Verdict

Manly Sea Eagles v Newcastle Knights

Either team to win this match 1-12 with not a lot of scoring expected. The game should hit under on the 49.5-point total.

Either Team

1-12 Winning Margin

@9/10 - 3 Units

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Under 49.5

Game Total

@11/12 - 2 Units

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