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Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions & Tips - Broncos to come back down to earth

  • Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos predictions for Friday's NRL Round 4 match
  • The match is being played at AAMI Park (10.05am BST)
  • Storm have won their last 8 matches against the Broncos
  • Storm are tipped for a big win with 6 of their last 8 against Broncos coming by 14+ points
  • Match preview, predictions and latest team news
Melbourne Storm Brisbane Broncos
Melbourne Storm are tipped to win big against Brisbane Broncos (Getty Images)
Gary Emmerson 01 Apr 2021
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Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions

Melbourne Storm have lost two in a row, but they get the chance to put their season back on track. They have dominated the Brisbane Broncos and should do so once again by covering a -19.5 point line. 

  • Melbourne Storm have won their last 8 matches against Brisbane Broncos.
  • Melbourne Storm have covered the handicap in their last 7 matches against Brisbane Brisbane.
  • Melbourne Storm have won by 14+ points in 6 of their last 8 matches against Brisbane Broncos.
  • Melbourne Storm have won their last 2 matches against Brisbane Broncos by 36 and 38 points.
  • Brisbane Broncos have lost 13 of their last 14 matches.

Head to Head

Melbourne Storm have dominated Brisbane Broncos, winning the last eight matches in a row and 30 of the last 35 in total. 

Storm have won six of the last eight by a margin of 14 points or more and the last two clashes by 36 and 38 points, underlining just how one-sided this match-up has been.

Melbourne Storm Form

Back-to-back defeats have put reigning premiers Melbourne Storm on the back foot a little heading into Round 4.

They began the defence of their premiership with a 26-18 victory over South Sydney Rabbitohs at home in the opening game of the season.

But they slipped to a 16-12 defeat to Parramatta Eels and lost a Grand Final rematch to the Penrith Panthers 12-10 last week.

Craig Bellamy's side were heading for victory away to the Panthers, but conceded a converted try with two minutes remaining.

Melbourne Storm Team News

Full-back Ryan Papenhuyzen is a welcome return for the Storm after a neck injury. Nicho Hynes drops out. 

Tom Eisenhuth has been named despite suffering a rib injury against the Panthers.

Brenko Lee (hamstring), Felise Kaufusi (suspension), Harry Grant (knee) and Dale Finucane (calf) remain on the sidelines.

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Ryan Papenhuyzen 2. George Jennings 3. Reimis Smith 4. Justin Olam 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Cameron Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Brandon Smith 10. Christian Welch 11. Tom Eisenhuth 12. Kenneath Bromwich 13. Nelson Asofa-Solomona 14. Tyson Smoothy 15. Tui Kamikamica 16. Chris Lewis 17. Darryn Schonig 18. Aaron Pene 19. Nicholas Hynes 20. Trent Loiero 21. Dean Ieremia

Brisbane Broncos Form

Brisbane Broncos landed their first win since Round 9 last year when defeating Canterbury Bulldogs 24-0 last week.

The victory ended a 13-game losing run for the Broncos since they won against the Bulldogs last season, and gave Kevin Walters his first victory as an NRL head coach.

The Broncos led at half-time against Parramatta Eels in Round 1 before going down 24-16.

Brisbane were then slow starters and never recovered in Round 2 when losing to Gold Coast Titans 28-16.

Brisbane Broncos Team News

The Broncos are boosted by the return of Payne Haas from suspension and Matt Lodge, who has recovered from his hamstring injury.

Tevita Pangai and Thomas Flegler drop down to the bench, with Rhys Kennedy, Thomas Dearden and Ethan Bullemor dropping out of the side.

John Asiata is also named among the replacements after shaking off a neck injury.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Jamayne Isaako 2. Xavier Coates 3. Herbie Farnworth 4. Tesi Niu 5. David Mead 6. Anthony Milford 7. Brodie Croft 8. Matthew Lodge 9. Jake Turpin 10. Payne Haas 11. Alex Glenn 12. Jordan Riki 13. Patrick Carrigan 14. John Asiata 15. Thomas Flegler 16. Tevita Pangai Junior 17. Ben Te’o 18. Tom Dearden 19. Rhys Kennedy 20. Richard Kennar 21. Ethan Bullemor

Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos FAQs

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The Storm are tipped for a wide-margin win over the Broncos. They more than up to covering the handicap and a 31-40 point winning margin isn't beyond them.

Best Bet: Storm -19.5 Handicap @-121.95 at BetMGM - 3 Units
Value Bet: Storm by 31-40 Alternative Winning Margin @500.00 at bet365 Sport NJ - 1 Unit

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Melbourne Storm v Brisbane Broncos