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Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos Preview & Tips - Can the Broncos break the trend?

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 02 Apr 2024
Jeremy Darke 02 Apr 2024
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  • Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 5 NRL game
  • Storm have a dominant record against Brisbane Broncos, winning every game since 2016 before last season's defeat
  • Broncos have managed to secure just five wins against Storm since 2007
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Ryan Papenhuyzen
Ryan Papenhuyzen looking slick in his return. (Getty Images)

Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos Preview


Melbourne Storm dominated Brisbane Broncos, winning every game since Round 25, 2016 before going down in last year's Preliminary Finals. Can the Broncos now go back to back in this fixture?

The Broncos have won just five time in this head to head since 2007 and I'm backing the Storm at home, particularly given they have had the week off to prepare for this one following a bye.

  • Melbourne won all 4 of their Thursday night games last season, including both against Brisbane 
  • Melbourne has won their last 14 regular season games against Brisbane, including their last 7 games at AAMI Park.
  • Brisbane have scored less than 18 points in 6 of their past 7 games at AAMI Park.
  • Ryan Papenhuyzen has scored 6 tries in 3 games against Brisbane in his career.

Head to Head 


Brisbane won the last meeting between these two clubs, a 26-0 defeat at Suncorp in the Preliminary Final last season. The last time Brisbane beat Melbourne was back in round 25, 2016.

Melbourne Storm Form


Melbourne come into this game off the bye and will be hoping that the extra week off has helped heal some small niggles in the squad which were part of the cause of their 14-12 loss to the Knights before the week off, when they were also missing Jahrome Hughes through suspension. 

The Storm started the season well with two tough victories against two top four teams from 2023, the Warriors (30-26) and Panthers.(8-0) and got it done without star five-eight Cameron Munster who has been out with a groin injury.

Melbourne Storm Team News


Melbournes halves are whole again with Cam Munster playing his first game of the season at five-eight, while Jahrome Hughes returns from suspension at halfback.

Christian Welch has returned from a concussion, however Joe Chan and Nelson Asofa-Solomona are still  out of the side.

Melbourne Storm Team List


1. Ryan Papenhuyzen
2. Will Warbrick
3. Reimis Smith
4. Nick Meaney
5. Xavier Coates
6. Cameron Munster
7. Jahrome Hughes
8. Tui Kamikamica
9. Harry Grant
10. Josh King
11. Shawn Blore
12. Eli Katoa
13. Trent Loiero

Interchange
14. Tyran Wishart
15. Christian Welch
16. Tepai Moeroa
17. Alec MacDonald

Reserves
18. Chris Lewis
19. Jack Howarth
20. Marion Seve
21. Jonah Pezet
22. Aaron Pene

Brisbane Broncos Form


Brisbane looked really sharp last Friday in their 38-12 wet weather victory over their QLD rivals the Cowboys. 

Adam Reynolds was absolutely superb, tormenting Scott Drinkwater at the back with towering, swirling bombs that would have been difficult to track even in the dry. 

Brisbane then capitalized on their chances and played controlled bad weather footy, not giving the Cowboys anything for free.

Despite their 2-2 start, the Broncos are looking like they will be contenders again this season once their draw lightens up a little.

Brisbane Broncos Team News


Benjamin Te Kura will debut off the bench with Xavier Willison dropping out of the 17. 

Brisbane Broncos Team List


1. Tristan Sailor
2. Jesse Arthars
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Selwyn Cobbo
5. Deine Mariner
6. Ezra Mam
7. Adam Reynolds
8. Corey Jensen
9. Billy Walters
10. Fletcher Baker
11. Jaiyden Hunt
12. Jordan Riki
13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange
14. Tyson Smoothy
15. Benjamin Te Kura
16. Kobe Hetherington
17. Corey Oates

Reserves
18. Martin Taupau
19. Jock Madden
20. Delouise Hoeter
21. Jordan Pereira
22. Blake Mozer

Verdict

Melbourne can topple Brisbane again by taking advantage of their week off last round. The Storm can cover by holding the Broncos under 18 points and Ryan Papenhuyzen can get a try.

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Best Bet4: Ryan Papenhuyzen First Tryscorer @10/1 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
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