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Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors Tips & Preview - Over points today backed in NRL Sunday showdown

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: 11 Apr 2025

Jeremy Darke 11 Apr 2025

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Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 6 NRL game
Storm have won their last 16 games against the Warriors
Predicted high-scoring match: both teams over 14.5 points and game total over 51.5.

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Melbourne Storm (Getty Images)

Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors Preview
Head to Head
Melbourne Storm Form
Melbourne Storm Team News
Melbourne Storm Team List
New Zealand Warriors Form
New Zealand Warriors Team News
New Zealand Warriors Team List

Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors Preview

There are usually plenty of points scored when the Storm and the Warriors clash and I'm backing that to be the case again on Sunday. I like both teams to score 14.5 points or more and for Xavier Coates to get a try.

Melbourne Storm have won the last 16 matches against the New Zealand Warriors
Melbourne Storm are averaging 35.5 PPG in 2025.
The Warriors are conceding an average of 27 points when playing outside of New Zealand.
8 of the last 9 games between Melbourne and the Warriors have gone over the game total.
Xavier Coates has 32 tries in 29 games at AAMI Park.

Head to Head

The Storm have won the last 16 games against the Warriors. The last two matches at AAMI Park have been decided by eight points or less.

The last nine matches have had an average score of 56 points between the Storm and the Warriors.

Melbourne Storm Form

Melbourne have been clinical in attack in 2025, especially with Jahrome Hughes in the lineup scoring an average of 44 points per game when the Dally M winner is in the side after they put on another masterclass in their 48-24 victory over Manly last week at Brookvale.

Despite Melbourne averaging just 24 tackles inside their opponents 20m (14th in NRL), they are clearly the best attacking team in the comp, still averaging 35.5 per game after a clumsy performance against St George where they scored just 8 points in Hughes absence.

The Storm are potent from anywhere and are not afraid to spread the ball early to create space and get early ball to their backs.

Defensively they could improve a little, ranked 7th in the NRL, conceding an average of 20 points per game, however, a lot of those points have come when they game was already sealed.

Melbourne Storm Team News

The Storm have some niggles but all of their stars have been cleared to play with Ryan Papenhuyzen (cork), Xavier Coates (hamstring), Jahrome Hughes (hand) all getting the nod

Bronson Garlick remains on the interchange bench with Nelson Asofa-Solomona still out..

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Ryan Papenhuyzen

2. Grant Anderson

3. Jack Howarth

4. Moses Leo

5. Xavier Coates

6. Cameron Munster

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Stefano Utoikamanu

9. Harry Grant

10. Josh King

11. Shawn Blore

12. Eli Katoa

13. Trent Loiero

Interchange

14. Tyran Wishart

15. Alec MacDonald

16. Tui Kamikamica

17. Bronson Garlick

Reserves

18. Joe Chan

19. Lazarus Vaalepu

20. Kane Bradley

21. Sua Fa'alogo

22. Keagan Russell-Smith

New Zealand Warriors Form

After a poor showing in Vegas against the Raiders, the Warriors have gone unbeaten in the southern hemisphere with victories over Manly and Sydney in New Zealand and taking the the Tigers at Campbelltown 26-24 before their bye in Round 5.

The Warriors are doing the basics right and leading the comp in a few of the important key stats that we base our analysis on.

They lead the NRL run metres (1554), Tackles inside opponent 20m (40.8) and territory (59.8&), while on the defensive side of the ball they lead the league in opposition territory and opposition tackles inside their 20m.

The concern for the Warriors though is that with all of the key stats on their side, in raw points and against they do not balance, ranked 10th, scoring an average of 21 points per game.

The Warriors are the best team defensively at home, however, are averaging 27 points against away from home which is 12th in the NRL.

New Zealand Warriors Team News

Rocco Berry has recovered from his hamstring injury during the bye week and is good to go. Edward Kosi drops out and Adam Pompey moves to the wing.

New Zealand Warriors Team List

1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad

2. Taine Tuaupiki

3. Rocco Berry

4. Ali Leiataua

5. Adam Pompey

6. Chanel Harris-Tavita

7. Luke Metcalf

8. James Fisher-Harris

9. Wayde Egan

10. Mitch Barnett

11. Kurt Capewell

12. Marata Niukore

13. Erin Clark

Interchange

14. Bunty Afoa

15. Jackson Ford

16. Demitric Vaimauga

17. Leka Halasima

Reserves

18. Tanah Boyd

20. Jacob Laban

21. Samuel Healey

22. Te Maire Martin

23. Edward Kosi

Verdict

Melbourne Storm v New Zealand Warriors

Points will be scored with both teams going over 14.5 points and the game total over 51.5. Xavier Coates will keep his try a game at AAMI Park record intact with a 4-pointer.

14 Points

Both Teams to Score 14 Points

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